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Went out to Los Alamos this evening.

Eclipse watchers really lucked out with the timing of weather systems. Most of the path of totality is getting soaked today through the next 48 hours.

Amazing events!

Both were pretty great IMBY! Dec 2022: Dec 2021:

You forgot 2022-23. Great winter for many and PDX had a 10” snow event.

.13” so far on the day, 1.69” for the month. Currently raining and 42 degrees. Wonder if we will roll with a -PNA until the end of the 2024/25 winter season.

Slow down plz.

Nino is dead.

FINALLY THE SUN!!!!

https://redfin.com

It was spectacular to see the solar flare (CME) timed well with the eclipse (that red dot at the bottom). A very rare event, we were incredibly lucky to see it. Your photo doesn't do any justice but during the eclipse you could see that bright dot sticking out, really added to the already spectacular eclipse. We went to Cherokee village in Arkansas to see the eclipse, we got 4m13s of clear totality! Learned my lesson from previous eclipses that having my camera out during the eclipse is a waste of precious limited time, because the photos usually suck unless you have a really good setup, so I didn't take any pics. Next time I plan to see an eclipse is the July 2028 one in the outback of Australia, at this point I don't think I'll try to see the 2026 Iceland eclipse. For anyone here who hasn't seen a total eclipse, please try to see one as soon as you have a chance, it is worth every dollar and minute of your time to view it. It is the most beautiful and spectacular event you can witness, it doesn't last long but it's so worthit.

Before, during, and after. Phone definitely didn't come close to doing it justice. In Gilbert we had just over three minutes of totality. The stillness of the air as the sun got swallowed up had such a serene quality to it, perforated only with the chatter of crickets as they started singing their evening song. Majestic experience!

The Macdonald-led Seahawks can't come any sooner, excited for the new era. A shame the Kraken couldn't continue their momentum from last year though

All of management needs to be canned.

Perfect, I’ll be ready!!

You’d be without power for a month.

Maybe 90/91? “All around” is a subjective term. For all intents and purposes, 16/17 was also a neutral winter, as it completely lost any semblance of LF niña forcing in Jan (and was closer to niño-costero by Feb).

Hopefully we can score an epic wind storm this coming fall/winter!

Stage One water restrictions start May 1st this year. https://vancouver.ca/home-property-development/understanding-watering-restrictions.aspx It’s coming!

They're really watering down the standards lately.

Is and always has been if I'm not mistaken. La nina has too many onshore flow events which just don't cut it for people not living in their mountain resorts above 1000' west of the cascades.

Neutral may seriously be the best ENSO state now for snow lovers

It’s funny how everyone on here loves Nina’s and you come in here with “best we can hope for.”

What a day it was yesterday. Definitely had some nerves about much of the model output showing OVC, but was watching visible satellite like a hawk all morning and into early afternoon. Looking at satellite trends a few hours before the eclipse, I was starting to feel good that clouds wouldn't be an issue. Traffic from Indianapolis into the Ellettsville-Bloomington area was very good, and I arrived in that area with plenty of time to spare before the beginning of the eclipse. Spent a while driving back and forth in Bloomington and Ellettsville, looking for a spot that I wanted. We all have our personal preferences, but I didn't want to be in too large of a crowd and didn't want too many lights (which would come on during totality) or things obstructing the view of the horizon, so these factors made it tough to find a great spot in Bloomington. After deciding against Bloomington, it came down to finding a good place in Ellettsville. Even here, there were many spots where the view of the horizon wasn't the most ideal. There's an ice cream place in Ellettsville where the center line went directly through the parking lot. I drove by, and there were a good amount of people there. Thing is, they were charging $50 for parking! Any bragging rights of being directly on the center line wasn't worth $50. Some other businesses were charging for parking (though less) while others did not charge. Would've paid a small amount for parking had a particular spot been an ideal viewing location, but I wasn't finding what I wanted. I got to a church parking lot just north of center line shortly after the partial phase of the eclipse began (ironically I was in a church parking lot for the 2017 eclipse), where there were about 20 other people scattered around. Marked my location on the map below. Excitement was building of course as the minutes ticked down. Some dimming of light was noticeable starting about 30-40 minutes before totality. Around that time or perhaps shortly after, started to feel the temperature dropping. Although the winds were on a general downward trend leading up to totality, there seemed to be some little pulses of wind that accentuated the cooling. The temperature dropped 8 degrees at the Bloomington Airport, with the lowest reading coming a little after totality ended (lag effect.) I can't remember exactly when it occurred, but maybe about 20-30 minutes before totality, I started hearing a loud buzzing sound. At first I thought there was something flying by me, but then realized that it was coming from a ways away. Turned out to be bees, ostensibly freaking out because the daylight was diminishing. This continued almost until totality. A minute or two prior to totality, the darkening sky to the west really became noticeable. Daylight continued to diminish as I was flipping back and forth between looking at the sun, looking at the surroundings, and glancing at the time on my phone. Seconds before totality, the lights on a nearby building kicked on as the darkening accelerated. Then, the magic moment of totality. After taking in the experience of totality for a half minute or so, I got my binoculars, pointed them up to the sky and saw the majesty of the total eclipse... the blackness of the moon, the brilliance of the white corona and the prominence that was happening at about 6 o'clock. Passed my binoculars off to a couple others so they could get that view, and then I went back and forth between looking all around the sky with my own two eyes and taking in the darkness and reactions of the others who were there. Toward the end of totality, I heard some fireworks in the distance. Then, almost as soon as it began, totality was over as the clock was about to strike 3:09 pm. I hung around for a while after to watch the process in reverse, just feeling so fortunate to have had this experience for the second time in less than 7 years. Yet with a touch of sadness, knowing that it will be so long until the next one (at least in the US). Overall, it was a tremendous experience. I would say it hit me just a little less deeply on an emotional/spiritual level than the first time, but there was still some of that. I felt my heart beating fast during totality. Even if someone has seen 25 of these, I don't think you can help but not react in some way. Another thing I noticed is that in the minutes right before, through, and just after totality, there wasn't a single vehicle that drove by on state road 46. It was like everybody knew that you couldn't be driving in your car for those moments... you just couldn't. I'm all in for the eclipses in the 2040s and will try to do whatever it takes to be there.

What a blessing for that previously forsaken region.

High of 72 today. We have a 70% chance of rain today.

Today could be our warmest day so far this year - our warmest reading so far was the 74.1 back on March 14th. After today the weather looks a bit unsettled with shower chances through Friday (we could see near another inch or rain in some spots) with the greatest likelihood coming on Thursday. Sun returns this weekend! Chester County records for today: High 89 degrees Phoenixville (1959) / Low 20 degrees Devault (1977) / Rain 2.32" Kennett Square (1906) / Snow 6.0" West Chester (1917)

Severe weather and big time rains across the south the next few days. For mby only the Euro is showing significant rainfall with totals near an inch. All other models have the rainfall to my SE, though the GFS has crept very close.

Super Nina incoming Blizzards of epic proportions, Winter 24-25

I wasn't alive for this but man that would've been incredible.

Made me LOL!

Reminds me of what I’d do to get laid 30 years ago.

30’s!

So was 2018/19. And 1968/69. Weak niños can do weird stuff.

2021-22, 2016-17, 2010-11, 2008-09, 1995-96, 1988-89, 1971-72, 1970-71, 1964-65, 1955-56, 1949-50...a lot of really nice winters and historic events happened with Ninas. But there definitely is a tendency for neutral/+ENSO to be better further south in the PNW, and -ENSO to be better further north.

We could all see the CME with the naked eye. It was awesome. I only had just under 3 mins of totality. This was my second one and was incredible as expected.

The love for niñas is understandable but misguided.

You know the cold season is on its deathbed when it’s pushing 80°F despite mostly cloudy skies. Might’ve had our last sub-60°F high until Oct/Nov.

Yeah 1975/76 was possibly the strongest niña of the 20th century and it was relatively mediocre. Even had +QBO/-PMM and healthy W1 IPWP signal. But it’s possible the niña got so strong it essentially shut down the intraseasonal/MJO components that are crucial to amplifying wave activity. Which would explain why the PV was so outrageously strong that entire winter.

My cousin in Dallas sent me this video and telescope pic… MOV_0542.mov

Most meaningful snowpack occurs well above pass level, Tim.

Gutters are working overtime here right now!

You just predict the utter extremes which is pointless... like your summer forecast. Also a super Nina can mean an endless parade of storms and raging zonal flow.

Great eclipse, got to see 4 minutes and 13 seconds of totality under clear skies in Cherokee village Arkansas. Didn't get any pics because after watching and recording a few already in your lifetime, you realize that it's better to just enjoy the moment and to not waste the limited time using your camera, because the camera does absolutely no justice for the eclipse. Better to just live in the amazing moment. Hope it also worked out great for everybody on here.

And daylight is back there now.

Eclipse is starting with a huge break in the clouds here. Perfect viewing.

New 12Z GFS agrees... might luck out and have one of the weekend days be nice.

I like the latest ECMWF AI run... some nice balance with plenty of nice days.