luvssnow_spokane Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 2 hours until 00z GFS2 1/2 hours until 00z GEM4 hours 18 minutes until 00z EUROBring it!!! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Bring it on... in addition to cold and snow I am really hoping for a ton of rain in February. Flooding probably. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 36/31 out here today. VERY springlike. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 62/30 here in the swamp. very spring like. The methane gas levels were exceptionally high today from the local marsh. Threw a cup of boiling water outside and it caught on fire. Shrek would be jealous. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Nice 51/31 day. Already down to 35F so it seems like I should score another freeze tonight. Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Its go time for 00z GFS action. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brody Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Its go time for 00z GFS action.I predict massive member fallout as a result of that run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 I predict massive member fallout as a result of that run there may be rioting with looting in the streets. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brody Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 there may be rioting with looting in the streets doubtful Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 36/31 out here today. VERY springlike. This is part of the problem. Its been freezing cold there while so much warmer elsewhere and you have not experienced the warm weather. If you just had 3 days in a row in the 60s with total sunshine like I have had here... you would not be mocking the spring-like comments. It was more than spring-like here today. It was probably 75 degrees sitting on our deck this afternoon. It was really warm... kids were barefoot in t-shirts and commenting on how warm they were. Granted... its wind-protected by the fireplace and on a dark surface. But man... it made me want a margarita. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 This is part of the problem. Its been freezing cold there while so much warmer elsewhere and you have not experienced the warm weather. If you just had 3 days in a row in the 60s with total sunshine like I have had here... you would not be mocking the spring-like comments. It was more than spring-like here today. It was probably 75 degrees sitting on our deck this afternoon. It was really warm... kids were barefoot in t-shirts and commenting on how warm they were. Granted... its wind-protected by the fireplace and on a dark surface. But man... it made me want a margarita. It does feel like Spring out there, no doubt about it. If I didn't know any better I would think it was May or something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 It does feel like Spring out there, no doubt about it. If I didn't know any better I would think it was May or something. We were at Costco late this afternoon... loading up the car next to another family in the parking lot and the guy said this feels like May rather than January. I told him that usually means May will feel like January. To which he responded with a load groan. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Idiotic discussion tonight! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 I certainly wouldn't go as far as to say that will happen, but I like evolution and how we've seemed to put ourselves in an other shoe dropping kind of position. My only word of warning at this point is the fact this pattern seems to kinda want to piece meal its way together. There is no one pattern crasher, just quite a few smaller scale events eventually melding into something significant. Typically the long range stuff is slightly more reliable (relatively speaking) when we have a better catalyst. I was thinking the same thing... just was not able to articulate my feeling on the evolution. You nailed it. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 00z MM5-NAM gives another east wind event/storm east of I-205 and western Gorge Monday night through Tuesday afternoon. Pretty chilly 925mb temps and icy cold wind. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Idiotic discussion tonight! Then please stop mocking people for commenting on the spring-like weather while you sit in freezing conditions that are completely different. You can't let it die. You refuse to accept that it can be spring-like in January here. But it can and it definitely has been. Extremes beget extremes right??? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 00z MM5-NAM gives another east wind event/storm east of I-205 and western Gorge Monday night through Tuesday afternoon. Pretty chilly 925mb temps and icy cold wind. Certainly a chance of freezing rain on Tuesday in the gorge. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 00z MM5-NAM gives another east wind event/storm east of I-205 and western Gorge Monday night through Tuesday afternoon. Pretty chilly 925mb temps and icy cold wind. WRF shows the east wind being pretty light out here tonight and tomorrow morning but then gets it cranking again by 1 p.m. The 12Z WRF also showed some strong east winds on Monday. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Then please stop mocking people for commenting on the spring-like weather while you sit in freezing conditions that are completely different. You can't let it die. You refuse to accept that it can be spring-like in January here. But it can and it definitely has been. Extremes beget extremes right??? Early February 2012 was very springlike up here...Then all hell broke loose. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 00z MM5-NAM Time-Height model40kts just off the surface and 45-50kts at 950-975mb. Impressive. If WRF mirrors this it's going to be quite intense.http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_nam/images_d2/kpdx.th.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brody Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Idiotic discussion tonight!Idiocy is in the eye of the beholder 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 00Z WRF also shows some Fraser outflow tomorrow afternoon... albeit warm outflow for now. http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d2/ww_wgsfc.24.0000.gif Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Thursday/Friday system keeps sinking farther south with each run. I assume that could also accelerate the cold air intrusion. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/00/gfs_namer_120_precip_p06.gif Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Nice snowstorm in the central plains the end of the week. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Nice snowstorm in the central plains the end of the week. Friday now looks totally dry up here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Idiotic discussion tonight!You really need to stop posting like this. It's very annoying, and you make it seem like only your opinion counts around here. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westcoastexpat Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Well said ^ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Pretty disjointed pattern through hour 192. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Well, out to hr 192 looks fairly cold. The majority of the cold wants to go east but still have consistent -4 to -6 range. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brody Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Well, out to hr 192 looks fairly cold. The majority of the cold wants to go east but still have consistent -4 to -6 range. It (cold ) always wants to go east, are you surprised buddy? I would expect a lot of back-and-forth before models settle on a solution and likely a mix of the GFS and EURO blend/s I would say cold and low snow levels likely but possibly not much to concern ourselves with. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 10-12 days and the fun begins... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Winterdog Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Something for everyone on this run. Mountain snows, lowland snow, arctic air, what more could you want? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 But.... But... After day 10! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Something for everyone on this run. Mountain snows, lowland snow, arctic air, what more could you want?For the 500mb pattern change with the offshore ridge/Alaskan block merger to move up in timing before day 10-12. Onto the Ensembles! You like thisUnlike 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 Something for everyone on this run. Mountain snows, lowland snow, arctic air, what more could you want? Yeah it all gets here eventually. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Winterdog Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 For the 500mb pattern change with the offshore ridge/Alaskan block merger to move up in timing before day 10-12. Onto the Ensembles! You like thisUnlike I didn't know you could "like" your own posts. This may open up a whole new world for me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 I didn't know you could "like" your own posts. This may open up a whole new world for me. I didn't know you could "like" your own posts. This may open up a whole new world for me. Winterdog likes thisLike ThisHaha yep Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Winterdog Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 I didn't know you could "like" your own posts. This may open up a whole new world for me. Winterdog likes thisLike ThisHaha yepNow this is starting to sound like an idiotic discussion I think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brody Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 I didn't know you could "like" your own posts. This may open up a whole new world for me. Winterdog likes thisLike ThisHaha yepbe the first of your friends to like this post Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2014 Report Share Posted January 26, 2014 00z GEMhttp://meteocentre.com/models/get_anim.php?mod=gemglb&run=00&stn=PNM&map=na&lang=enNice compact 991mb low approaches the southern Oregon Coast on Friday. Pulls down a shot of cold air ahead of it. Then the ridge holds firm up over Alaska/Yukon, but may not be far enough west. http://meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_132_0000.gif http://meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_240_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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