Money Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 It’s the worst. Compare the snow shield so far on the 0z compared to the 12z. It’s a few hundred miles apart. Laughable.Yup Gfs/euro have been pretty steady for the most part on this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 This is going to be one prolonged event. Might even prevent some of the offfices from issuing watches/warnings . Could be advisory level snows due to the duration.LA crosse is riding that leaning towards advisories. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Nam goes from zero last run to 7.5 this run for my area Probably looking at a solid 3-5 type snowfall http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_acc&rh=2018040200&fh=57&r=us_mw&dpdt= Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Nam goes from zero last run to 7.5 this run for my area Probably looking at a solid 3-5 type snowfall http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_acc&rh=2018040200&fh=57&r=us_mw&dpdt=It's April now probably really struggle to accumulate during the day! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 I’m riding the line here for a good hit. Can’t take too many more major shifts south though. S MN over to the GB area gonna do best it appears. I’ll go with 3.5” here, which is the average total for all of April. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 It's April now probably really struggle to accumulate during the day!That’s only for Minnesota, Iowa and Nebraska Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 That’s only for Minnesota, Iowa and NebraskaAnd everywhere else in the world except Fond Du Lac/Oshkosh. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 And everywhere else in the world except Fond Du Lac/Oshkosh.Well we know you don’t get snow so we don’t have to worry about your area Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 That’s only for Minnesota, Iowa and Nebraska Long duration light mod rates could actually have an impact with this one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Long duration light mod rates could actually have an impact with this one.That’s why I’m going with the 3-5 type amounts and not the 7-11 type amounts models are showing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Long duration light mod rates could actually have an impact with this one.That’s why I’m going with the 3-5 type amounts and not the 7-11 type amounts models are showingYeah I’m not buying those big totals. 3-5” across the board is a safe call. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Well we know you don’t get snow so we don’t have to worry about your areaSnowlover's gone. We get snow now. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 0z gfs increased totals a bit and bit farther south http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc&rh=2018040200&fh=60&r=us_mw&dpdt= Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 GEM with a lot more moisture than previous runs Pretty much identical to gfs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 0z gfs increased totals a bit and bit farther south http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc&rh=2018040200&fh=60&r=us_mw&dpdt=Winter 2013-14 in a nutshell in that map only Iowa gets screwed with us. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 2, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 A solid snowstorm in the works from S MN thru N MI...might be the best snowfall of the season for GoSaints/Money/Snowshoe??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 I bled the gas out of the snowblower after the 4” I got on Saturday morning. Whoops. Let’s do this, but let’s make this the last one for the season. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 The 06z model runs really seem to be decreasing the total snowfall. Some places in S MN/ N IA that were showing 8-10” previously are now showing 4”. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 The 06z model runs really seem to be decreasing the total snowfall. Some places in S MN/ N IA that were showing 8-10” previously are now showing 4”.Close your eyes and ride the rgem Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Close your eyes and ride the rgemYeah I just looked. I think you’re in the best spot. 6+” looking likely by you. I’m still thinking 3-4” here although the forecast calls for more than that. Like usual, it’s all about where the banding sets up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Wow wwa for me....4in! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Nam hits SPS and gosaints well Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 12z NAM http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_acc&rh=2018040212&fh=48&r=us_mw&dpdt= 9 for SPS10 for gosaints 9 for me5 for Madtown Jump from 6z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 12z NAMhttp://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_acc&rh=2018040212&fh=48&r=us_mw&dpdt=9 for SPS10 for gosaints 9 for me5 for Madtown Jump from 6zMPX called the NAM ‘overzealous’ this morning. It’s a bad model but it’s sometimes good enough to see a trend before the others. I’m still not buying into it but it appears a few of us are going to do well with this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Looking solid across the highlands of NMI. Typically that region does awesome with these shoulder season systems. Some will be getting April sledding in after March was a dud for snow cover. A serious storm like this will bring trees down tho, so no doubt some trail riders will have that issue to deal with. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 No significant changes on the GFS or GEM from what I can tell. Locked and loaded? Snow moving in rapidly on the metro. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Slowly baby stepping down here. Might be able score 4 or 5". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 No significant changes on the GFS or GEM from what I can tell. Locked and loaded? Snow moving in rapidly on the metro.Dry air here. Probably a good thing though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Visibilities to the west down to around 1/4 mi. Flakes starting here. HRRR bumping totals a bit with wave 1 this afternoon. We’ll see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormgeek Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 First wave just starting here. Radar looks pretty good out west. Let the fun(?) begin. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 One minute left in the game. Down by 20. Do we run the clock out or throw the ball and pad our stats? LaCrosse to Green Bay has missed the brunt of the snow this winter. Can't decide if i want that trend to continue or do I want a big snow to pad the stats and get closer to average. 1 Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Legit snow right now. And the wind is howling. Good stuff. Stormgeek you have large flakes up by you? I’m surprised at how big they are here. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Cold temps the last few days aiding in accums on the driveway. I thought the April sun would have warmed it enough to prevent accums during the day but that’s not the case. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormgeek Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Cold temps the last few days aiding in accums on the driveway. I thought the April sun would have warmed it enough to prevent accums during the day but that’s not the case.Yup, pretty good size and they are really coming down here right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Winter Storm Warning for the county north of me. I imagine DMX will put my county in a WWA. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 MPX pulled the trigger on a warning just south of St Paul. An advisory here for 6-9” localized up to 10” through Wed morning with gusts to 35mph. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormgeek Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 I am still baffled as to why the point forecasts have a range of 6-12 around here. That seems way too high for this event. With how things have been I feel like 6 inches should be the top of the range... I know it is long duration, but don't see the high totals materializing... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 La Crosse has 6-10 with iso 12 for SE MN into C WI. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 WWA for my area. 2-5" and a light glaze of ice. 40mph wind gusts as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 18z NAM coming in hot through hour 16 . Surprise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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