Very interested in next Spring/Summer, too. Following the 2010/11 analog would place us on track for a new go at a 2011 warm season. 2022 serves as a reminder that we can still get quite chilly during the Spring, and this last August and June both brought troughing, that while admittedly pathetic by the standards of our long term climate, still allowed for some of the best summertime marine influence since the early twenty-tweens, especially into September.
I've got a feeling about this winter. There's a buzz to the air and I think we're going to see something we haven't experienced in several decades, especially south of the border. The analogs mentioned this Fall have compiled nothing short of a list of BANGERS, including 1988-89, 1972-73, and at the top of the list an underrated near-masterpiece of a winter in 2010-11. The latter of the three in particular stands out to me, since it was only a few adjustments in January away from being an all-timer, and it was also a -ENSO/+QBO year, coming off an El NiƱo, at the tail end of a +PDO phase. Not to mention its comparative recency. I think another go-around will fare very well for us.
Eurasian snowcover build-up is decent on the 00z EPS. Could help expedite the development of the Siberian high and seasonal decay of residual monsoonal forcing.
No cold whatsoever on our side of the globe yet, though.