Captain obvious comment but it seems like we are at maximum uncertainty for weeks 3-4 right now. We got jet, inversion, dogs, and a blend of crap all showing up

Pushback is certainly possibly unfortunately. I would like to see another good AI run. Look at that last member

Headlines are out, and this is the AFD part that's interesting to key-in on: GRR Once the moves through, the heavier precipitation will stop, but we get into the dry slot for the southern two thirds of the forecast area. The northern section will see snow continue expected to be just north of the dry slot. The rest of the counties may go to more drizzle or freezing drizzle for the afternoon, depending on where the 32-33F isotherm ends up. The most likely scenario is that it comes close to the I-96 corridor, and southern two rows warm enough above freezing to end the threat. This is uncertain however, as it is something very tricky to pinpoint. Some places will see impacts continue most of the day. (..tells me some of the outcome(s) are still TBD - stay tuned)

If we don’t get the block to set up nicely by second week of Jan seems like it might be 2-3 more weeks of moderate jet then another chance in Feb. just my guess

Nice to see Phil score. @Phil