500mb troughs don’t happen in December and January anymore.

Even in December a lot of that day looks like it would be pretty marginal stuff. Probably not a huge event for the lowlands especially near the sound.

How many alerts do you need in that one spot in Washington state? Yes

Year-round torching

Going to be some very nasty heatwaves in the West this summer with the way the WPAC/IPWP is establishing in conjunction with inception of +ENSO type circulation in the W-Hem. Hopefully it stays confined to the West but that’s not guaranteed either, CONUS pattern could evolve like 2015 or 1981. Still possible we end up with 2014 like outcome, though, which would be a huge reprieve out here with the ongoing drought. Need a lot of warm season convection to make up the deficit. I’d even settle for something like 2018.