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Whatever Fred did blacking out the forum for a couple hours before the 00z runs seemed to have done the trick. Fred, keep doing it.

The 0z model suite so far is easily the best agreement we've had on a robust GOA block within 10 days.

Your girlfriend is disappointed that you spent 30 seconds with her, and the rest of the evening on forum telling everyone that it’s not coming. She wants you to go back to her and tell her that it’s coming.

Luv 2 see it

Not my photo btw

End of the 00z ICON

I DONT KNOW OF CUSSING IS ALLOWED HERE, BUT **** IT, ILL SAY ****. LETS f*****GGGG GOOOO!

Wow, Day 9

Day 8

Big improvements on this ECMWF run as well.

Day 7!

Just glad to see the gfs accurate again.

Late night for me, so I wasn't able to post the GFS or Euro tonight. BUT wow! Dramatic, colossal improvement. Fair to say rather unexpected? The fact that all 00z operational models tonight are showing the exact same signal 500mb progression and arctic blast Day 8-10 is crazy, if not exceptionally so. Is there something to this? Let's see how 12z runs look tomorrow. Night Shift 6z GFS in 1 hour 53 minutes 12z GFS in 7 hours 53 minutes 12z ECMWF in 10 hours 2 minutes

Big time cold coming into the picture by day 8.

For those fortunate enough to witness this run be birthed into existence, we are sharing a special moment together.

All models flipping like this at hour 180 is just a complete dead giveaway sumn's up

Dude this is emperically untrue. The pattern looks great.

Not sure what to think but it is interesting pretty much every model made a major shift in the same direction. Time to take a wait and see approach and avoid any significant emotional investment.

This is showing the greatest January blast in many decades.

These runs keep up, the forum will break again! What a run to run change...

Uh, what...

I would pay to see this verify.

fred tried to shut the site down for the health of everyone on here but tim overpowered him through sheer force of will and weather preference strength

The GEFS control run gets PDX down to -7F. Lol.

Lets talk surface temps shall we? 4pm Friday, Jan 12

Sploosh

Last 3 Euro runs: watch trend in Siberian trough. Culminates in relative -EAMT/delayed +dAAMt, which is what improves the Pacific pattern. Interesting and something I should have picked up on this afternoon if I’d been paying more attention.

Sea level snow did happen in the Bay Area as recently as February 5, 1976. Less likely now of course with climate change but still probably just a matter of time before it happens again.

These are the two prettiest maps tonight. Hopefully dom daddy Euro will follow suit.

I want this to happen so bad just to see the forum excitement! Unbelievable model run.

The attention seeking is exhausting. The model comeback, on the other hand, is exciting.

Three “panhandle hook” storms in a row! The last one I experienced was December 2009 in Madison WI. Truly an epic storm. I think it was in the 15 inch range.

Snow ❄!!

There's more "people need to stop taking XZY so seriously" or "you stupids I told you that you should never look at the FRAM past day 3" posts than there are people actually taking the long range stuff seriously. In fact, it makes me want to take it EVEN MORE SERIOUSLY!!! If someone tries to therapist me down from extreme highs and lows based on every 6z and 18z GFS i'm gonna lose it!! Thats the life we chose and i'm prepared to live it to the MAX.

Welp…Looks like little to no sleep and work production for all of us for a few weeks. Nobody get fired or divorced…Remember, massive caffeine intake and pretend you are staring at your phone due to very important job stuff!

Massive improvement day 11

Only 20 degrees below normal here. I’m disgusted.

If you'd read Phil's pre-coital discussion this afternoon, you'd understand that the GOA block that strangely happens to be present in these runs is coincidental and merely a derivative of other more important factors like Australian Monsoon Index.

850s down to -24 at Omak before day 10.

If this works out, gotta hand it to the underappreciated CMC. It's been much more steady the past few runs.

Lot more cold air nearby compared to other runs, hopefully that GOA block trends stronger

GEFS is snowy again

This works!

Can we talk about the pepto in SACRAMENTO??

This is the first full run I've looked at in a long time, this is also the most insane snowiest run I've ever seen for Western Washington. If this happened it would be a disaster. The over running event is a blizzard with 2 and 3 feet already on ground.

Day 7 looks better than 00z

Eeked out a sunrise just before the rain. It was raining as I was headed back to the car.