bud2380 Posted March 9, 2018 Report Share Posted March 9, 2018 Models have been hinting at a weak disturbance this weekend for much of the week, but have been all over the place on placement and strength. Last night's GFS returned the storm and this mornings NAM is now on board as well. The 00z Euro started to move in this direction as well. Let's see what we get the rest of today on the models. The good news is most of the snow will fall at night, so that will increase our chances of accumulation. Here is the 12z 3k NAM. http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam4km/2018030912/060/snku_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted March 9, 2018 Report Share Posted March 9, 2018 As long as this thing doesn't snow on Chicago we're good. I fly out of O'Hare for Seattle Sunday morning. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 9, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 9, 2018 Canadian is much weaker. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 9, 2018 Report Share Posted March 9, 2018 UK continues to shift northeast and a get bit stronger. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 9, 2018 Report Share Posted March 9, 2018 DAB for eastern Iowa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 9, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 9, 2018 Euro still further south. Misses most of Iowa. Gotta love total model disagreement 36 hours out from an event. It seems that has happened more times this year than I can recall in years past. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 9, 2018 Report Share Posted March 9, 2018 Euro still further south. Misses most of Iowa. Gotta love total model disagreement 36 hours out from an event. It seems that has happened more times this year than I can recall in years past. It's a bit ne and a bit stronger vs last run, but not nearly enough. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 9, 2018 Report Share Posted March 9, 2018 18z NAM with a pretty decent shift NE with the snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 9, 2018 Report Share Posted March 9, 2018 18z NAM with a pretty decent shift NE with the snow.Gonna reel in another one? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 9, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 9, 2018 3k NAM http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam4km/2018030918/060/sn10_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 9, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 9, 2018 regular NAM. I did 10:1 ratio, but kuchera is coming in lower than 10:1 so these are a little high. But it's more fun to look at. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2018030918/060/sn10_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 9, 2018 Report Share Posted March 9, 2018 Gonna reel in another one?Nah. Won’t see a flake here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 9, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 9, 2018 DMX graphic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 9, 2018 Report Share Posted March 9, 2018 DMX is talking this up, DVN is skeptical. I think I'd go with the low end. Each of the last two GFS runs has backed off a bit. The 18z is weaker and doesn't even get snow into CR. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 9, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 9, 2018 18z GFS looks closer to the Euro with the heaviest snow in far SE Iowa but more into MO & IL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 9, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 9, 2018 i have a feeling the 00z runs will turn into duds for E Iowa. It would be cool to see a few inches of snow, but i certainly am not going to lose any sleep over it if we don't. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 9, 2018 Report Share Posted March 9, 2018 Yeah......maybe advisory criteria for a few counties. GFS backing off on the potential warning criteria. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 10, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2018 I wonder how fast DMX will pull down that graphic. Nam is totally different this run 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 10, 2018 Report Share Posted March 10, 2018 I wonder how fast DMX will pull down that graphic. Nam is totally different this run Yep. It's looking like this may have been a mirage. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 10, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2018 Gfs following suit. Turning into a non event for much of the area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 10, 2018 Report Share Posted March 10, 2018 Yup....bring on spring. No reason for it to be cold now if we're not getting snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 11, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 11, 2018 4.5” reported in Centerville IA this morning. My aunt and uncle live near there. Snow just wasn’t moving on radar for quite awhile 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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