2024-2025 California and Southwest Weather Thread

[Anti Marine Layer]

Storm is off the coast. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Getting chilly now

[Anti Marine Layer]

Strong sea breeze 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Flood Watch has been issued. 

[Thunder98]

WU rain forecast has went up by a lot!

 

 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Looks like the rain has reached Santa Maria already. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Storm has arrived. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Silence is virulence in a dead thread.

[Thunder98]

0.95" in Orcutt, kind of underperformed. But the next storm, I could see a lot more.

[Anti Marine Layer]

It's raining, but not very hard. 

[Thunder98]

The sun angle is noticeably higher now. Next Thursday the sun will be above 40 degrees angle here.

 

 

[Thunder98]

Raining again thanks to this little fella.

 

 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Raining all morning here.

[Anti Marine Layer]

Rain has stopped. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

MASSIVE DOWNPOUR has arrived. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Massive deadness has continued despite the big storm. 

[roadtonowhere08]

Pretty good storm today.  About 1.5"

Main event coming up Sun-Wed.

Yeah baby!!!

 

[Anti Marine Layer]

It's Groundhog Day. 6 more weeks of El Nino?

[Anti Marine Layer]

Here goes another rain shower. 

[roadtonowhere08]

1 hour ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

It's Groundhog Day. 6 more weeks of El Nino?

[Thunder98]

Orcutt finished with 1.27" for storm #1. Not too bad

[Anti Marine Layer]

We are in between storms now. Lots of mud out there.

[Anti Marine Layer]

3 more days until we clear the top of the shadow of the next door skyscraper from my window. 

 

[Dan the Weatherman]

1.47" fell here in Orange with this last storm from very late Wednesday night 1/31 to very early Friday morning 2/2. My seasonal total so far: July 1 - June 30: 8.87", October 1 - September 30: 5.88".

[Thunder98]

Huge difference between the wind forecasts from NWS and WU. I hope those 70 mph gusts don't verify!

 

 

[Anti Marine Layer]

It's coming.

[Anti Marine Layer]

[Anti Marine Layer]

Life threatening flooding is coming our way.

[Anti Marine Layer]

Maybe enough rain so that people must evacuate their houses and not post here.

[Anti Marine Layer]

If the above happens we will stay a dead thread despite the blockbuster storm.

[SpaceRace22]

In the interest of making this thread more like the PNW one, here's some model riding for you. The last 2-3 sets of runs have definitely shifted the primary axis of this thing a little bit to the east. Looking like the bullseye might be the San Gabriel Mountains instead of SB/VTU counties. Still going to be a soaker there too though.

18z GFS:

18z RGEM:

18z 3km NAM (the main axis of precip is still dead center over LA county on this final frame, so these totals are significantly underdone as there will be much more to come here):

[Anti Marine Layer]

Getting cloudy now.

[Thunder98]

1 hour ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Getting cloudy now.

FFWJHGEDNFSEYHHGH!!!!!!

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 minute ago, Thunder98 said:

FFWJHGEDNFSEYHHGH!!!!!!

DHDVYEWGDGWDGFDSGFDSSADAFD?

[Anti Marine Layer]

4 hours ago, SpaceRace22 said:

In the interest of making this thread more like the PNW one, here's some model riding for you. The last 2-3 sets of runs have definitely shifted the primary axis of this thing a little bit to the east. Looking like the bullseye might be the San Gabriel Mountains instead of SB/VTU counties. Still going to be a soaker there too though.

18z GFS:

18z RGEM:

18z 3km NAM (the main axis of precip is still dead center over LA county on this final frame, so these totals are significantly underdone as there will be much more to come here):

Looks like a lot of rain  

[Thunder98]

NWS dropped my forecasted wind gusts from 69 mph to 59 mph! Thank god, I feel a bit better now.

[Anti Marine Layer]

Light showers have begun 

 

[SpaceRace22]

The 6z NAM just came in borderline catastrophic. Both the NAM and the HRRR are showing the atmospheric river stalling out exactly over LA County until literally the end of their runs. If that actually happens, the totals shown in this map will almost certainly be underdone. Even still, this has a minimum 5-7" over the entire LA Basin, with 10-15" in the San Gabriel foothills, and nearly 25 freaking inches of QPF over Mt Baldy.

Buckle up everyone. This might be a storm that we remember for many, many years.

[Anti Marine Layer]

6 hours ago, SpaceRace22 said:

The 6z NAM just came in borderline catastrophic. Both the NAM and the HRRR are showing the atmospheric river stalling out exactly over LA County until literally the end of their runs. If that actually happens, the totals shown in this map will almost certainly be underdone. Even still, this has a minimum 5-7" over the entire LA Basin, with 10-15" in the San Gabriel foothills, and nearly 25 freaking inches of QPF over Mt Baldy.

Buckle up everyone. This might be a storm that we remember for many, many years.

Looks like San Diego won't be getting that much. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

AR has stalled a bit.