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May 6-9 Multi Day Severe Weather Outbreak


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18 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Nasty looking Warnes cell moving in with golfball sized hail and sharp lighting. 

1715171016484.png.thumb.jpg.ecf27c6c5fbc6bf0afc73c42d938d052.jpg

I was just going to post that it looks like Clinton is about to get smoked.  Could you tell me, again, where you are located relative to the towns of Warrensburg, Chilhowee, and Leeton?  I was thinking you once said south of Warrensburg.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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27 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

I was just going to post that it looks like Clinton is about to get smoked.  Could you tell me, again, where you are located relative to the towns of Warrensburg, Chilhowee, and Leeton?  I was thinking you once said south of Warrensburg.

8 miles south of Warrensburg.   It's just puking rain and small hail.  Good thing it's 8am not 8pm or this would have been a different animal.

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3 hours ago, Clinton said:

Thunderstorms are beginning to develop this morning off to my west, models wanna bring them through my area.  Big storms will develop this afternoon with a moderate risk area over SE MO into Kentucky and Tenn.

day1otlk_1200.gif

They took NE KY off the Enhanced, we're in a Slight again now. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 22
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7
5/8, 5/15, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Well we had storms earlier this morning, but they lost some severity as they went into Kentucky around 3am. Got some outflow gusts (and a bunch of scud clouds moving through us!) but lightning wasn't that frequent. 

Last night around 10pm there was a small tornado warned cell in Greenup County, I heard their siren going off for 15 minutes. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 22
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7
5/8, 5/15, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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The other day when we had the high risk did not pan out in the OKC area. There was one strong storm with damaging winds but that was it. I could see the power flashes with that one to my north. At my house in Tulsa there was an inch of rain but nothing too exciting. Obviously the EF4 that was north of Tulsa was the real deal, a total monster. 

There is lots of talk about why things did not live up to the potential. In my opinion it was because the downdrafts were too cold and strong. I think the dry air aloft entrained and diluted the storms to some degree, but then the cold downdrafts that resulted choked things off. Further east where that strong storm formed it was not as dry aloft.

 

It looks pretty serious today for MO down into TN/KY right now. 

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Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

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  • Tom unpinned this topic
On 5/7/2024 at 5:53 PM, Tom said:

Large TOR OTG near Kalamazoo, MI right near @jaster220 old place…

 

Edit: Another large TOR just south of there…

@Tom Krazy right?  Said I wouldn't be on here much unless there was an unusual wx event and that we rarely get much severe events anymore. That didn't age well as they say. I caught news the next morning and was quite shocked tbh since we were getting the cold rainy side up here I wasn't thinking TOR outbreak at all. I've seen some pretty good vid's online and ofc GRR's path map. That Fedex depot is just a very short 1500 feet north of where I was working in 2021. Portage area near Kzoo is a magnet. The May 2011 TOR that did a lot of damage in Marshall started there as well. That was a scary day, only topped by an EF3 heading straight for my place in S. Bend back in 2001.

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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11 hours ago, jaster220 said:

@Tom Krazy right?  Said I wouldn't be on here much unless there was an unusual wx event and that we rarely get much severe events anymore. That didn't age well as they say. I caught news the next morning and was quite shocked tbh since we were getting the cold rainy side up here I wasn't thinking TOR outbreak at all. I've seen some pretty good vid's online and ofc GRR's path map. That Fedex depot is just a very short 1500 feet north of where I was working in 2021. Portage area near Kzoo is a magnet. The May 2011 TOR that did a lot of damage in Marshall started there as well. That was a scary day, only topped by an EF3 heading straight for my place in S. Bend back in 2001.

To the bolded, I remember you saying on here how quiet the summers have been in Michigan and once the Storms/Severe WX return again, you would be getting excited for the following winter.  Could next year be the reversal towards a more normal or even better Winter?  Sometimes nature does funky things and shows signs of it and I hope to see "real winters" return for the Great Lakes once again.  In the meantime, enjoy your summer bud and thanks for stopping by again!

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