Tom Posted July 25, 2014 Report Share Posted July 25, 2014 GFS looks below normal throughout recent runs. How is Euro looking, or other models?Euro about the same with highs in the 70's, coolest days look to be Mon/Tue, another gorgeous week on tap next week with no rain whatsoever through next weekend! I could get used to these temps. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted July 25, 2014 Report Share Posted July 25, 2014 what happend to our hot summers i rember when back in the1990s and 2000s we had blazing summers and we are cooling down on the blazing and something is causing it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted July 25, 2014 Report Share Posted July 25, 2014 Euro about the same with highs in the 70's, coolest days look to be Mon/Tue, another gorgeous week on tap next week with no rain whatsoever through next weekend! I could get used to these temps.but i think that the earth is cooling not global warming because the summers supposed to be hot and not a visit from the polar vortex in the summer time and the way you has pointed it out tom that we might have a cool and chilly autum and my thinking that vwinter will hit us early by thanksgiving this year if this keeps up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted July 25, 2014 Report Share Posted July 25, 2014 but i think that the earth is cooling not global warming because the summers supposed to be hot and not a visit from the polar vortex in the summer time and the way you has pointed it out tom that we might have a cool and chilly autum and my thinking that vwinter will hit us early by thanksgiving this year if this keeps up.It would be nice to have a white Thanksgiving! Haven't seen one of those in a long time. I remember last year it was pretty chilly with highs in the low/mid 40's. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted July 25, 2014 Report Share Posted July 25, 2014 We are indeed cooling off globally over the last 5 years and will continue over the next 20-30 years. Especially considering the Sun will be heading towards a very quiet period in terms of sun spots or solar flares. I can get used to the kind of winter we had last year if this is a sign of what we can expect. Obviously you will have bounce back winters where they aren't as brutal. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted July 25, 2014 Report Share Posted July 25, 2014 i am thinking that the weak el nino will fade towards fall too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted July 25, 2014 Report Share Posted July 25, 2014 also another thing just found out that the ocean temps are not warming at all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted July 25, 2014 Report Share Posted July 25, 2014 only low 70s so far today.....was supposed to be low 80s. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted July 25, 2014 Report Share Posted July 25, 2014 Picked up 0.49" of rain this morning, about half to a third of what I was hoping for. Now it's back to dry weather for the next 7-10 days. The heavier rain band parked just to my west and southwest, where up to 2-4 inches fell. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted July 25, 2014 Report Share Posted July 25, 2014 it looks like the weak el nino may be in jepordy because if we get the downwelling like accuweather fourms are saying. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted July 26, 2014 Report Share Posted July 26, 2014 it looks like the weak el nino may be in jepordy because if we get the downwelling like accuweather fourms are saying.what is "downwelling"? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted July 26, 2014 Report Share Posted July 26, 2014 still hanging on to below normal through Aug 8thhttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted July 26, 2014 Report Share Posted July 26, 2014 Parts of N Alaska today had highs today in the upper 30's! Autumn is slowing building in the northern latitudes. By the beginning of August, there are a couple strong cold shots beginning to hit N Canada as we head into August. Won't be long till we start feeling those towards September. I remember last year Labor Day weekend it was darn chilly around these parts. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted July 26, 2014 Report Share Posted July 26, 2014 Parts of N Alaska today had highs today in the upper 30's! Autumn is slowing building in the northern latitudes. By the beginning of August, there are a couple strong cold shots beginning to hit N Canada as we head into August. Won't be long till we start feeling those towards September. I remember last year Labor Day weekend it was darn chilly around these parts.this is a classic sign that autum is going to hit us in the us early this year since northren alaska got into the upper 30s today and like you pointed out that august will have a couple of strong cold shots so that means this is not el nino weather and this winter could hit us around thanksgiving and i rember about that time last year it got so cold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted July 26, 2014 Report Share Posted July 26, 2014 what is "downwelling"?downwelling means that warm waters gets sucks down to deep parts of the ocean. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted July 27, 2014 Report Share Posted July 27, 2014 only 72 here and mostly cloudy and windy. quite fallish Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted July 28, 2014 Author Report Share Posted July 28, 2014 Today was a great day. Love a good breeze with nice temps. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted July 28, 2014 Report Share Posted July 28, 2014 not much going on in here. another mostly cloudy day with low 70s. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted July 28, 2014 Report Share Posted July 28, 2014 Lake Michigan is churning up the waters and as a result of full fetch NNE winds. Cooler waters have been pushed ashore near Chicago and not a whole lot of warm water on this map. Water temps did hit 70F for the first time this summer last week, but now are back in the mid 60's. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted July 28, 2014 Report Share Posted July 28, 2014 that would be a cold swim! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted July 28, 2014 Report Share Posted July 28, 2014 8-14 still looking a bit below normalhttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted July 29, 2014 Report Share Posted July 29, 2014 Water temps in the low/mid 50's have made it down to just east of Chicago's shoreline. The lake has cooled dramatically over the last couple days. Some of that colder water from down below certainly has mixed in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
6789 Posted July 29, 2014 Report Share Posted July 29, 2014 8-14 still looking a bit below normalhttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gifTom, this maybe a stupid question, but is this why the storms, or at least the few "MCS" type systems we have had this year die out once they reach Kane? Is the cooler waters cooling and subsequently capping the atmosphere that far inland? It seems that the line falls apart right after Dekalb and then reintensify as it moves near NW IN or the Southern CWA. I also was thinking about the direction of the winds and if they come off the lake. I know that there is usually or almost always a cap around the counties right near the lake, but this years severe weather season has been terrible, for me at least, and I was wondering if this was the cause; especially after the extremely cold winter we had. Thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted July 29, 2014 Report Share Posted July 29, 2014 Tom, this maybe a stupid question, but is this why the storms, or at least the few "MCS" type systems we have had this year die out once they reach Kane? Is the cooler waters cooling and subsequently capping the atmosphere that far inland? It seems that the line falls apart right after Dekalb and then reintensify as it moves near NW IN or the Southern CWA. I also was thinking about the direction of the winds and if they come off the lake. I know that there is usually or almost always a cap around the counties right near the lake, but this years severe weather season has been terrible, for me at least, and I was wondering if this was the cause; especially after the extremely cold winter we had. Thanks!You certainly have a valid point that if the winds do come off the lake, the lake will have an effect on weakening storms as they head towards the lake because of the stable air coming off the lake. Kane county is rather far from the lake and I'm not sure it is 100% a fact that the lake has been weakening storms as they head by you. You may just be in the wrong place and the wrong time to get severe wx. I live right by O'Hare and we had some powerhouse storms earlier this summer with hail and very strong winds. Today and tomorrow the lake cold front may spark some storms closer to the lake! Complete opposite relationship to what you were asking. This is due to very cold conditions aloft and the lake front helps bubble up storms as the unstable air gets lifted into the atmosphere and storms form. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted July 29, 2014 Report Share Posted July 29, 2014 i was just wondering that if we are going to have a warm fall or a cool fall and also the cpc has midwest for below average for august september and october. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted July 29, 2014 Report Share Posted July 29, 2014 we need to start an august thread soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted July 30, 2014 Report Share Posted July 30, 2014 just started an august thread so fell free to discuss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted July 30, 2014 Report Share Posted July 30, 2014 there is one thing that i am getting tired of hearing about the el nino that didn't happen this year so that means they should drop it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted July 30, 2014 Report Share Posted July 30, 2014 just seen in an article regarding the el nino of 2012 and quickly faded (this year could happen like it did in 2012). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted July 30, 2014 Report Share Posted July 30, 2014 according to rapid wx they are saying that an el nino may happen this fall but by the kelvin wave that is going to hit the region so the el nino may be in store this winter but weak. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted July 30, 2014 Report Share Posted July 30, 2014 local met posted this:t has been a cooler-than-normal summer so far, and it looks like that trend will continue through much of August.The average temperatures have been below normal for July.Here is the data from July 1-27:- Waterloo: 69.2 degrees (4.6 degrees below normal)- Dubuque: 67.6 degrees (4.4 degrees below normal)- Cedar Rapids: 68.7 degrees (4.3 degrees below normal)- Iowa City: 69.9 degrees (5.0 degrees below normal)Dubuque and Cedar Rapids have not had a high temperature of 90+ so far this year. Waterloo and Iowa City have only done it once so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 1, 2014 Report Share Posted August 1, 2014 Hey Guys, many of you may not know but Dominick has passed away today. I found this information on Facebook not too long ago and it saddens my heart to hear of this news. I don't know the reason or why he was on life support. I communicated with him back in the Winter/Spring on FB and he told me he went to the hospital bc he was terribly sick but did not know the extent of it. Maybe someone from this site may know the details. Because of Dominick, he introduced me to this Forum and I will never forget that as I have learned so much about the weather reading each others posts and also meeting new people across Chicago and the Midwest/Plains. I will miss his enthusiasm when Winter arrives as he and I spoke almost daily about snowstorms. Rest in Peace Dom! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted August 1, 2014 Report Share Posted August 1, 2014 Hey Guys, many of you may not know but Dominick has passed away today. I found this information on Facebook not too long ago and it saddens my heart to hear of this news. I don't know the reason or why he was on life support. I communicated with him back in the Winter/Spring on FB and he told me he went to the hospital bc he was terribly sick but did not know the extent of it. Maybe someone from this site may know the details. Because of Dominick, he introduced me to this Forum and I will never forget that as I have learned so much about the weather reading each others posts and also meeting new people across Chicago and the Midwest/Plains. I will miss his enthusiasm when Winter arrives as he and I spoke almost daily about snowstorms. Rest in Peace Dom!this is so sad and day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted August 1, 2014 Author Report Share Posted August 1, 2014 That is just terrible news to hear. Do you know now old he was, Tom? No matter the age, he was far too young. Prayers and thoughts to him and anyone that is impacted by his death. Puts a knot in my stomach just thinking about it. Sometimes life in just unfair, again prayers and thoughts to him and anyone else impacted. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 1, 2014 Report Share Posted August 1, 2014 That is just terrible news to hear. Do you know now old he was, Tom? No matter the age, he was far too young. Prayers and thoughts to him and anyone that is impacted by his death. Puts a knot in my stomach just thinking about it. Sometimes life in just unfair, again prayers and thoughts to him and anyone else impacted.He just turned 26 on July 4th, everyone on FB is shocked...Dominick Rocco is his Full Name. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 1, 2014 Report Share Posted August 1, 2014 Wow that is terrible!!! I was kinda wondering why him and GEOS were not posting lately. 26 is all??? Very sad to hear this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 1, 2014 Report Share Posted August 1, 2014 Been gone too long...Omg, I did not know about Dominic's situation at all! That's so sad, especially that he was only 26!I remember talking to him a long time ago on the Old farmer's almanac site. Then I caught up with him here several years into the future. He definitely helped direct me to the weather forums online and at least partially, inspired me to post weather observations online (Facebook etc.). He was very inspired by the weather, especially in the fall going into winter! Prayers to Him and his Family! He will be missed. 2 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted August 1, 2014 Author Report Share Posted August 1, 2014 Tom, if you find out any more info, please pass it along. Man this stuff really makes you question your faith sometimes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 1, 2014 Report Share Posted August 1, 2014 Yeah he will be missed. We will have to raise our glasses to him when that first snowstorm strikes. If I remember correctly, he loved snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 1, 2014 Report Share Posted August 1, 2014 Who created this board anyway? Wasnt Dominick in charge of this? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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