We're not going to know until Fall truthfully. Gut tells me moderate, but I'm not going off of any evidence except that trade winds need to be stronger to get that super cold water upwelled. If this happens I wouldn't expect to see signs until August to October.
There's no way... Phil. Get real with us for a moment. You're the guy who literally typed out "5,000-7,000Kybp" instead of "5-7 million years ago" like a normal human being.
I don’t doubt it, but they’ve historically struggled to forecast this region.
Now 5 separate tornado warnings, and 3 confirmed tornadoes currently on the ground.
Some of this is outside even the marginal risk area. Epic fail.