5 out of 7 of the analogs he uses were above average snowfall in KC. Some of them quite a bit so. Two of them -- the two most recent -- were abysmally below average.

Crazy argument Front Ranger! NOAA does model verification scores, have you ever viewed them? ECMWF scores the highest. I don't have the link, but I've seen it many times. Your argument is just kind of saying something that is "agreeable" but it's not really true in a scientific sense!

I think this sums it up. He is quite knowledgeable https://www.youtube.com/live/nj1jc5mxmi8?si=6Hh_3zSOVnic6NsX

It won't snow in the lowland the next couple of weeks, because it will be more +PNA. The MJO in Phases 7-8 is driving the pattern, and supports this.

Can anyone look at the models right now and say with any degree of confidence yes or no it will or won't snow in the PNW lowlands in the next couple weeks? And that's not even a specific location.