Bull, the entire hood canal area can and does get snow in these patterns. It was snowing yesterday and it was not even cold.

Ai gfs is much wetter for Claus day.

Even in Washington nobody is seeing snow from pure onshore flow patterns unless they have decent elevation. Folks at around 1,000 ft like @BlvuSumit can still score but even when we saw it teased in the models in recent years it never actually materialized. I agree that SSTs are too warm and that is permanent, at least for this century.

Will the 18z Euro go out that far?

Very slow change in the declination now.