I’m not gonna post the maps but if you look at the 850 mb level relative humidity, the NAM wants to keep it very dry much further west for longer than the other models.

Well, if February ends up being a nothing burger like December and January this will be the worst winter I’ve ever experienced. Not even close to anything I remember. 14/15 and 15/16 weren’t even this bad. Literally almost no mountain snow and the coldest low has been 29 here. We eked in our 2nd sub 40 high of the season at 39 today. Not even a snowflake here IMBY…just some frosty mornings. I feel like something wintry like at the very least a maritime chilly airmass and some snow showers has to happen at some point in February or early March right? To not even get close to snowflakes in the air or a low below 29 is insane. Would be unprecedented it seems for us to get NOTHING in the next few weeks.

Wave 1 nebraska.icon

Icon is north so far wave 1. Wave 2 looks south