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2019 California and Southwest Weather Discussion Thread

2019 california weather climate
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#1
Thunder98

Posted 26 December 2018 - 06:02 PM

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Wow! 2018 just flew by just like that and only 6 days until 2019. Hopefully we see a wetter January-April period with plenty of rain and snow up in the mountains. 



#2
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 01 January 2019 - 07:11 AM

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Despite the strong Santa Ana winds, 2019 starts off dead as usual in the California thread. Rose Parade should be fun today with all the wind, and some of the bands will feel very cold, but adrenaline may help them to feel somewhat warm, and then there's always those crazy people who have shorts, T-shirts, and flip flops even when temperatures are near freezing and the wind is howling away.

#3
Thunder98

Posted 01 January 2019 - 11:42 AM

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Chily and dry weather today

#4
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 01 January 2019 - 02:15 PM

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San Diego is 60 F, Palm Springs is 56 F, Phoenix is 49 F.

iFred, please pin this thread.
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#5
Omegaraptor

Posted 01 January 2019 - 02:39 PM

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I see the Pacific storm coming to the PNW is hitting you guys too. Hope you get lots of rain in CA!

2018 in Portland had 27.30" rainfall, which is the 8th driest year on record and 8.73" below normal

 

Current rainfall for PDX in 2019 is 18.53”, which is 2.78” below normal as of September 20


#6
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 02 January 2019 - 08:48 AM

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Check out the sunset time today. Same time as November 5, which was the first workday in Standard Time. At that time solar declination was only 15.80 S. This morning on the 1st workday of 2019, declination is 22.89 S. Sunrise is 42 minutes later than November 5, however. That's because solar noon has shifted from 11:34 AM to 11:54 AM.

 

Attached File  SSJan2.png   6.89KB   0 downloads



#7
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 04 January 2019 - 04:27 PM

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High clouds are starting to come in and hopefully portend some nice rain so that this topic can get some life in it. Sunset tonight is approximately the same time as the first day of Fall Back, way back on November 4. That is 2 months ago. Tomorrow it's about a minute later. Meanwhile latest sunrise is not until next Tuesday, but we're within 12 seconds of that time.

#8
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 04 January 2019 - 04:49 PM

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And here it is. That first day of sunshine (sun not behind the hill) as I leave work this winter. Been nearly 2 months since I could see the sun like that.

Attached File  20190104_164914.jpg   507.58KB   0 downloads
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#9
Thunder98

Posted 05 January 2019 - 07:02 AM

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Just exactly what we need!

Attached Files



#10
Thunder98

Posted 05 January 2019 - 01:37 PM

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The squall line is approaching. Already received 0.12" in the last 90 mins.https://uploads.disquscdn.c...

4676297e538078038fe640a78fb00c675f0e1253

 


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#11
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 05 January 2019 - 03:34 PM

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Getting some light rain or sprinkles here, but the rainfall rate is probably one inch in a year.

#12
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 05 January 2019 - 09:34 PM

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Some heavier rain has begun, but nothing too spectacular. Still mostly light to moderate. However, prolonged light to moderate rain is supposed to have the best irrigation effect.

#13
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 05 January 2019 - 09:53 PM

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Downtown L.A. is getting some measurable amounts of rain from this storm as Santa Claus gave them nothing for Christmas. Too many residents must have be naughty.
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#14
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 06 January 2019 - 12:17 AM

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Socal had a decent storm tonight with a period of locally heavy rain. The rain was heavier up in Ventura and Santa Barbara counties, and caused flooding and mudflows in Malibu, forcing a closure of a stretch of PCH.



#15
Eujunga

Posted 06 January 2019 - 08:05 AM

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0.61" storm total here.  At least this rainy season is shaping up better than last year's disaster.


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Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#16
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 06 January 2019 - 08:25 AM

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After this storm, Downtown L.A. is up to 4.81" for the season, which is more than the 4.79" we had last year.


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#17
Thunder98

Posted 06 January 2019 - 11:01 AM

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Storm total is 0.79". Which is really good

#18
Eujunga

Posted 07 January 2019 - 11:03 AM

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Models seem to want to put SoCal on the left corner of an omega block in the 5-10 day range.  Looks wet!


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#19
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 07 January 2019 - 06:57 PM

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Downtown L.A. is up to 5.01" now since October 1, which is the same as since July 1.



#20
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 08 January 2019 - 09:14 AM

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Latest sunrise of the year today (in Pacific Standard Time) for Lake Forest, CA.

 

As a result, the sun was in my eyes at the bus stop and my shadow was quite long.



#21
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 08 January 2019 - 03:13 PM

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Nice day today. 72 degrees, which is most people's ideal temperature. Too warm for a sweater. First above average day in quite a while.

#22
Eujunga

Posted 08 January 2019 - 09:03 PM

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Wow... all 3 of the storms that were forecast for the next 10 days are disappearing on each model run faster than the beer at a frat party.  Why am I not surprised?


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#23
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 09 January 2019 - 04:59 PM

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So much for that storm that was earlier forecast for today. Just a few low clouds this morning in a very disorganized marine layer and a few thin high clouds at times for the rest of the day.

#24
Eujunga

Posted 09 January 2019 - 08:54 PM

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The week ahead is back to looking a little juicier on tonight's models.


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#25
Thunder98

Posted 10 January 2019 - 09:29 AM

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Next week looks very wet.

 

Attached File  orcuttweather10.PNG   51.8KB   0 downloads


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#26
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 10 January 2019 - 05:26 PM

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Finally 5:00 PM for the sunset time, but it was way too hazy tonight and last night to see Saddleback Mountain. Here is 2 days ago at 5:00 PM, however. The sun always seems to shine on Saddleback for a few minutes later than the calculated sunset time.

 

Attached File  20190108_170931.jpg   43.64KB   0 downloads



#27
Deweydog

Posted 10 January 2019 - 11:01 PM

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Need to throw you a bone to chew on every now and again!


I live in Washington.

At least stand on your own douchey feet...

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#28
Jesse

Posted 11 January 2019 - 08:50 AM

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Looking great from the Bay Area north down there the next 7-10 days, both in terms of rain and snow. Central and northern Sierras get pounded.

Attached File  82C8024E-3FEA-4176-A41D-584097BEDFD2.png   351.3KB   0 downloads

Attached File  B477D19B-5CA2-42A2-AA4F-379A36F1D82F.png   467.13KB   0 downloads
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#29
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 12 January 2019 - 07:09 AM

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We had some thunderstorms last night.
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#30
Eujunga

Posted 12 January 2019 - 09:24 AM

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This would indeed be quite the drought buster for California if it verified:

 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_swus_20.png


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Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#31
Eujunga

Posted 12 January 2019 - 09:25 AM

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We had some thunderstorms last night.

 

No thunder here, but I did wake to heavy rain a couple of times.  Storm total 0.68".


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#32
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 13 January 2019 - 09:41 AM

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John Wayne Airport got over an inch from the storm due to convective activity. Downtown L.A. is up to 5.75" with more to come.
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#33
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 13 January 2019 - 09:50 PM

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We had some thunderstorms last night.

 

I heard a clap of thunder late Friday night / very early Saturday morning and saw a small flash of lightning, too. I received a total of 0.81" here in Orange with this last storm, and am looking forward to more rain this week.



#34
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 13 January 2019 - 09:53 PM

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Garden Grove (not too far from Disneyland) had some very heavy rain and enough hail to cover the ground in some areas late yesterday afternoon / early evening from a cell that moved through the area. That cell completely missed my area here in Orange, however.



#35
Thunder98

Posted 14 January 2019 - 05:11 PM

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Got 0.24" today. Underwhelming but I'm glad it rained regardless!

9cb00be7e6c50ec5351c5433ae4bce73290c0d85

 

 



#36
Eujunga

Posted 14 January 2019 - 10:08 PM

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Definitely an LA County-focused event today with areas both north and south receiving much less rain.  Even with the narrow focus of the heavy rain, a good number of daily rainfall records were broken -- for some reason, the January 14th records were low-hanging fruit and even stations such as Ontario with just 0.27" and John Wayne with 0.61" set new daily records.

 

1.65" here today was a daily record since 1992, but barely -- January 13th and 15th of 1993 were both wetter.


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#37
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 15 January 2019 - 04:56 PM

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It's been raining pretty heavily for quite a while now. Downtown L.A. could get more rain in a week than they did from July 2017 through June 2018.

#38
Eujunga

Posted 16 January 2019 - 04:19 PM

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Who's up for a little nighttime skiing on Mammoth Mountain tonight? :lol:

 

180116mammoth.jpg


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Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#39
Jesse

Posted 17 January 2019 - 02:23 PM

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Who's up for a little nighttime skiing on Mammoth Mountain tonight? :lol:

180116mammoth.jpg


Love seeing that Sierra snowpack build up.

#40
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 18 January 2019 - 08:50 AM

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Lots of needed rain here the last week, but it looks like a dry pattern is starting and possibly this could be the last significant rain of the winter. Good thing is that hills are green and fire danger is down for a while.
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#41
Jesse

Posted 18 January 2019 - 09:51 AM

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Lots of needed rain here the last week, but it looks like a dry pattern is starting and possibly this could be the last significant rain of the winter. Good thing is that hills are green and fire danger is down for a while.


Doubt it’s the last significant rain of the winter. Niño Feb/March can be pretty wet down there.

#42
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 19 January 2019 - 11:17 AM

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Nice to have a sunny, warm winter day after all that cloudy and wet weather and not have to worry about fire danger.

#43
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 19 January 2019 - 05:39 PM

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Hard to believe that 2 days ago was pouring rain when we had such a sunny and warm day today. Warmest day since December 20.



#44
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 20 January 2019 - 09:02 PM

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Anyone watching the total lunar eclipse? High clouds have thinned out with low clouds threatening to come in soon, but I have a clear view. Max eclipse at 9:12 PM.


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#45
Eujunga

Posted 20 January 2019 - 09:23 PM

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Anyone watching the total lunar eclipse? High clouds have thinned out with low clouds threatening to come in soon, but I have a clear view. Max eclipse at 9:12 PM.

 

I'd forgotten about it.  Went out and looked -- kind of spooky with low clouds passing by.  I'm sure there will be any number of spectacular shots of it, but I grabbed this snap.  Too lazy to set up the tripod or put on a longer lens.

 

190120-moon-001.jpg


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#46
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 20 January 2019 - 10:23 PM

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Nice picture. For some reason the pictures come out brighter than the moon actually is.

 

Bad picture from my smartphone.

 

Attached File  20190120_223022.jpg   26.11KB   0 downloads



#47
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 21 January 2019 - 02:17 PM

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No low clouds left after last night's marine layer intrusion, not even at sunrise.

#48
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 22 January 2019 - 06:27 AM

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More than a month now since Winter Solstice and we still have not gained any light in the morning since that date. Winter Solstice had sunrise of 6:51 AM and sunset of 4:46 PM. Today sunrise is 6:52 AM and sunset is 5:12 PM.



#49
Eujunga

Posted 24 January 2019 - 09:14 AM

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Doubt it’s the last significant rain of the winter. Niño Feb/March can be pretty wet down there.

 

Used to be.  But with the new climate regime that started in around 2012, past performance no longer predicts future results.  2015-16 was a raging Niño and yet was very dry in SoCal from February on.  Based on current model projections, there's every reason to believe this year will turn out similarly.  I'd say the "fork" is a safer bet than any expectations of a 1997-98 redux.


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#50
Jesse

Posted 24 January 2019 - 09:22 AM

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Used to be. But with the new climate regime that started in around 2012, past performance no longer predicts future results. 2015-16 was a raging Niño and yet was very dry in SoCal from February on. Based on current model projections, there's every reason to believe this year will turn out similarly. I'd say the "fork" is a safer bet than any expectations of a 1997-98 redux.


Time will tell! The STJ has been pretty beefy this winter. Wouldn’t surprise me to see it make its presence known again at some point.
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