Money Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 Looking forward to 12z runs today. I know it's a long way off but every model has it and it's been very consistent Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 ....... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160123/06Z/f384/acckucherasnowmw.pngWHAT?! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 I remember this storm during the LRC cycle #2 it had a picture perfect trowal/neg tilt signature. Hopefully nature will produce this signature again this time around. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/06/gfs_namer_252_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 My God look at that beast. And the moisture feed from the GOM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest daniel1 Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 00z Euro Para...it's really building those heights in western Canada as SLP blossoms near TX Panhandle...How about the euro ensembles?. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 How about the euro ensembles?.Farther NW...not really good for the sub-forum... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 I really wonder how accurate the snow ratios on pivotalweather are. I know they use the Kuchera method vs a straight ratio, but it seems like it spits out much higher amounts than Instantweathermaps for example. I don't think I have ever seen 4 feet of snow forecast for this area!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 GHD Blizzard I remember it was spitting out 30"+ day before the storm. It was a godd blizzard but it could of been epic I rememeber it didn't even come close to the forecasted totals. Did we have issues with dry slotting? Can't remember what the issue was. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 If the gulf can remain wide open someone will be in business. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 Please let that happen. Although knowing my luck in Lincoln we will get rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 GHD Blizzard I remember it was spitting out 30"+ day before the storm. It was a godd blizzard but it could of been epic I rememeber it didn't even come close to the forecasted totals. Did we have issues with dry slotting? Can't remember what the issue was.Yup, N IN got dry slotted with that storm and the other variable that was going against the higher accumulations were the very high winds which can rip a snowflake apart as it falls to the ground. I remember the flake size never got fat/fluffy but more grainy. If it were to have more "fluff", then those totals would have been achieved. 50-70mph wind gusts won't help! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 Yup, N IN got dry slotted with that storm and the other variable that was going against the higher accumulations were the very high winds which can rip a snowflake apart as it falls to the ground. I remember the flake size never got fat/fluffy but more grainy. If it were to have more "fluff", then those totals would have been achieved. 50-70mph wind gusts won't help!The winds do not look insane at this point, but around 30-40 mph gusts. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 Still gonna be a good storm on gfs Developing at hr 192 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 992 L in Colorado at hr 213 with a 1035 high in southern canada Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 surface low is farther north this run at hour 228 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 Yep a lot warmer ahead of it this run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 surface low is farther north this run at hour 228Ah poo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 Not worth fretting over yet though. It's a week+ hout Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 need a stronger high in Canada to keep the low south Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 Gfs is still showing 25-30+ inches of snow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 46.2 around gosaints area to be exact Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowa2015 Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 This storm a EPIC fail at this point too far north. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 This storm a EPIC fail at this point too far north.LMAO. Wow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 Snowfall map if anyone has it. Thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 It's showing a wide range of precip while the storm is developing sitting out in Colorado This is before the main storm hits: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160123/12Z/f234/24hkucherasnowmw.png Then the main storm cuts up towards Milwaukee http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160123/12Z/f264/24hkucherasnowmw.png Total: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160123/12Z/f276/acckucherasnowmw.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 This storm a EPIC fail at this point too far north.Are you being serious??? Who cares where the storm is tracking 7-10 days out. The fact that the model is producing a storm consistently is THE only fact you should be looking at. Track is only important 24-36 hours out. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 start a thread? or give it time? Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 start a thread? or give it time?give it time Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 GGEM at the end of the run. Has the storm finally getting going at the end as the northern stream clipper moves through and a 1038 H is in southern Canada http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_12/P6_GZ_D5_PN_240_0000.gif 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 As long as there is still a storm right now we are good. No need to worry about track and p-type. Yet. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 This storm a EPIC fail at this point too far north. How is it an epic fail? How is a storm showing 30-40 inches in some places an epic fail? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 I am excited to start the tracking of this next week. I am sure we will have many positive and negative feelings as it gets closer but it is excilerating to see the forum come to life again Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 Gonna be a lot of ups and downs with this one like pretty much every storm. People shouldn't get excited/disappointed until at least Friday next week when the storm starts to get in pretty good range (72-96 hours out) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 GFS has shown a marginal setup every run from the get go over here it seems like. Need colder air to come in much faster to give the rest of us a shot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 GFS has shown a marginal setup every run from the get go over here it seems like. Need colder air to come in much faster to give the rest of us a shot. "give the rest of us a shot" you mean pretty much you, right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 GFS has shown a marginal setup every run from the get go over here it seems like. Need colder air to come in much faster to give the rest of us a shot.As I saw it GEM is further south than the GFS is Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 "give the rest of us a shot" you mean pretty much you, right?and me to an extent Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 GGEM at the end of the run. Has the storm finally getting going at the end as the northern stream clipper moves through and a 1038 H is in southern Canada http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_12/P6_GZ_D5_PN_240_0000.gifThat northern feature that zips across the border will be an important player as well. It will determine the placement of the cold air dome building south of Hudson Bay. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowa2015 Posted January 23, 2016 Report Share Posted January 23, 2016 This storm needs more of a southern track then currently hopefully allowing colder air to come in faster while still having a wide open gulf. Current track a snooze Only positive currently it's still ways out hopefully things change for the better giving everyone more of a shot at this storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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