luvssnow_spokane Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Can't believe there's a chance we see nothing worthwhile out of this considering what the models showed just a couple days ago.Has happened more often than I can even count and is usually the outcome. It is a huge bummer ... It amazes me how some choose to ignore the key indicators when they show up and at least consider things may go south. Like I said before it often has to smack them upside the head for them to see it. Fortunately we have a lot of winter left. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 I fell for the hype. I was really excited to experience an old school week of January weather.For you it will be old school. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 The way it is playing out is actually how the models showed in about 7 days ago or so... That cutoff low is doing exactly what is showed then, it went away and now is back. Interesting. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Interesting... a total flip flop . Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 That cutoff low just screws everything up ... moves up the coast and sit's there for days.... Absolutely gross. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Every single run is wildly different. Anything more than 2 days out is up in the air. 3 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westcoastexpat Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 This event has definitely over performed for metro Vancouver. I was expecting maybe 3", and I got 5". Sixth significant snowfall of the month. Easily our best since 2008. Pretty much had just as many events as in 2008, but half as much. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 This event has definitely over performed for metro Vancouver. I was expecting maybe 3", and I got 5". Sixth significant snowfall of the month. Easily our best since 2008. Pretty much had just as many events as in 2008, but half as much.Congrats!! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Well maybe some wet snow up here in a week! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 All the runs are different...The last 5 have been progressively worse! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Good news folks... If we get enough of these warning shots I am sure one of them will actually deliver for all of us. Right!? Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 All the runs are different...The last 5 have been progressively worse!Different is fine ... the key is larger patten shift and the overall progression of it = NOT good! I would call it a reset but I think it is more like a cluster *** Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 I am going to enjoy the snow tonight... 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Looks like we have to share our epic cold with the east next weekend. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017010100/gfs_T850a_us_29.png Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Looks like we have to share our epic cold with the east next weekend. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017010100/gfs_T850a_us_29.pngThe amazing part about that... IF we watch it, it will verify which always frustrates me ... Oh well. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Looks like we have to share our epic cold with the east next weekend. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017010100/gfs_T850a_us_29.pngLooks like cold air is still not far away to our north on that image...if I'm looking at that map correctly? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Lake Samish covered once again http://i.imgur.com/mnLaN5N.jpg 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 The 4-8 day period is so close to crazy amounts of snow for western wa its not even funny. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Looks like cold air is still not far away to our north on that image...if I'm looking at that map correctly? Pretty far away on that map. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Looks like cold air is still not far away to our north on that image...if I'm looking at that map correctly? Yes just waiting to be drawn in. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 This is definitely 2011 all over again dang how disappointing Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 The 4-8 day period is so close to crazy amounts of snow for western wa its not even funny.Lots of potential still! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Lake Samish covered once again http://i.imgur.com/mnLaN5N.jpg Looks like the same basic winners and losers tonight as with all recent events. Business as usual. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Looks like the same basic winners and losers tonight as have been the case all winter. Business as usual. Yup. Same places keep getting hit over and over. Expecting pics from you and Moss Man tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 The 4-8 day period is so close to crazy amounts of snow for western wa its not even funny.Overrunning.. It will snow then melt.. It is not a long lasting enjoyable event. It hits hard then turns to slop within hours. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Lots of potential still!Yep and couple days after that we get smashed with a big snow event. As long as there is arctic air near the border anything can happen. History has proven that. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Yup. Same places keep getting hit over and over. Expecting pics from you and Moss Man tomorrow. Blaine has done extraordinarily well... so has the Vancouver BC area. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Blaine has done extraordinarily well... so has the Vancouver BC area. Certain spots depending on elevation in Vancouver metro have done well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Overrunning.. It will snow then melt.. It is not a long lasting enjoyable event. It hits hard then turns to slop within hours. Your missing the point. Go back and study some of our biggest snows and you will see that almost all of them were on the edge of being just a cold rain. And not all of them get washed away. All I am saying is the The major players are all still there. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Your missing the point. Go back and study some of our biggest snows and you will see that almost all of them were on the edge of being just a cold rain. And not all of them get washed away. All I am saying is the The major players are all still there.okay... Point taken. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 This reminds me of the first bout with snow in 96. They forcasted it to go north and it snuck in just to the south and got really cold again after. It was forcasted to be a snow to rain event. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Ringing in the new year in Government Camp. Great place to get your snow fix. Dumping here currently. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Your missing the point. Go back and study some of our biggest snows and you will see that almost all of them were on the edge of being just a cold rain. And not all of them get washed away. All I am saying is the The major players are all still there.Just so you know I have studied them and know how they playout... Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 All snow and sleet the last 10 minutes here, not sticking but it's something. Not having the radar sucks so I have to watch IR for incoming clouds to see if it precipitates something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Coming down big league now and instead of hitting the south side of the house it's now hitting the north side! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 All snow and sleet the last 10 minutes here, not sticking but it's something. Not having the radar sucks so I have to watch IR for incoming clouds to see if it precipitates something. You spent most of your life without radar out there... hard to imagine now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 This reminds me of the first bout with snow in 96. They forcasted it to go north and it snuck in just to the south and got really cold again after. It was forcasted to be a snow to rain event.I believe Nov.1985 played out in a similar way... Was supposed to be rain and BAM, we went into the deep freezer for two weeks... That being said I doubt models were as powerful as they are now. HUGE difference in prediction tools makes this significantly less likely. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Wow big time snow!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Coming down big league now and instead of hitting the south side of the house it's now hitting the north side! An error occurred You have reached your quota of positive votes for the day Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 1, 2017 Report Share Posted January 1, 2017 Ringing in the new year in Government Camp. Great place to get your snow fix. Dumping here currently.Rain or snow ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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