Bellona Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 I'm not putting much stock into the NAM. Hope that doesn't bite me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Under a WWA for 2-5 inches of snow and .1-.3 ice accumulations Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pack402 Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Omaha peeps looking at a battle on short range models. rap/rgem vs 4knam/hrrr. These sharp cutoffs haven't worked in our favor yet this year though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Under a WWA for 2-5 inches of snow and .1-.3 ice accumulationsWow if u get quarter inch of ice and a few inches snow on top thats gonna be a mess Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 I'm not putting much stock into the NAM. Hope that doesn't bite meDMX said the NAM was an outlier per their morning AFD Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 DMX said the NAM was an outlier per their morning AFDOh good!! Keeping my hope alive!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Wow if u get quarter inch of ice and a few inches snow on top thats gonna be a messMilwaukee forecasting 5 inches of snow and .33 ice accumulations here with wind gusts up to 40 mph Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 KLSE all in 10-18 in the point and click Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Mark Baden still not impressed  He said models are running too cold in the area and thinks it will be mostly rain Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 I do think the changeover here could take longer than modeled Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Milwaukee forecasting 5 inches of snow and .33 ice accumulations here with wind gusts up to 40 mphPower outtages! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 I do think the changeover here could take longer than modeledI'm hoping dynamic cooling can help with that. Precip is modeled to be really strong so it could happen Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Rapid Refresh continues to be trash for us in Lincoln, only by a few miles. Thinking we'll stay mostly rain here. Hope to wake up tomorrow morning with a surprise snowfall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Well...ONE county away from blizz now...up to 6 inches...still think that is conservative... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Comparing mesoanalysis to the RAP and HRRR, the pressure fields look pretty good, but they both have the low a little further northeast than observed on the SPC site, so maybe they have it moving a bit faster than realized. At any rate, something I have noticed is the trend to have a decent snowband of near 6" totals from the west of Omaha back to southwest to southcentral Nebraska. This goes west of Lincoln too.19ZHRRR has 3-5" across Omaha, but a narrow tongue of 6-7" in the central part of Douglas county. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 I do think the changeover here could take longer than modeledYou're gonna get blasted in that defo band  35 dbz showing up on HRRR Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Im in a blizz warning! 5-8 with 35mph gusts 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Im in a blizz warning! 5-8 with 35mph gustsI'll just have to stick with my advisory and 6 inches lol...maybe i can get one more tick to the se and wind up blizz with you tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 RGEM nails Lincoln and Omaha again. Over 6" in the city for both. This is going to be close-- one of the hardest things to predict is when the changeover occurs. If this happens earlier than anticipated we can definitely crank out some solid amounts down here.  http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2017022318/rgem_asnow_ncus_11.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 I hope gosaints has a yardstick! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Currently small hail and thunder downtown LNK Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianJK Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 I'd be happy if we break the 1" streak and GGEM/GFS show it being a possibility.No way - keep it alive! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 No way - keep it alive!There is another record to be broken so I agree. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 23, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 There is another record to be broken so I agree.It's already broken...now its a matter of time when the streak ends?! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 It's already broken...now its a matter of time when the streak ends?!I believe there is another one...back to back months in the winter with less than 1" of snow has never happened. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 23, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 I believe there is another one...back to back months in the winter with less than 1" of snow has never happened.Ahhh, didn't know that... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Ahhh, didn't know that...Kinda sad really..can only hope for a better winter next year. Hopefully Spring will come sooner rather than later this year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Tomorrow looks to be awful if the WWA is correct. 2-5" of snow with up .30" of ice. We'll see, it'll probably end up being straight rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Storm is really starting to come together Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 DMX saying thundersnow along highway 20 and north if tstorms develop to the south and run into the cold air. Talkin "very high" snow rates potentially. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Hail covering the ground turning it white in Southwest Omaha, pretty good thunderstorm just moved through. Temperature dropped from near 40 to 35 in the last hour with the storm passing through. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 DMX saying thundersnow along highway 20 and north if tstorms develop to the south and run into the cold air. Talkin "very high" snow rates potentially.Yup gonna be some sick rates which should help accumulate on the surfaces/grass pretty quick even though we've been warm recently Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Hail covering the ground turning it white in Southwest Omaha, pretty good thunderstorm just moved through. Temperature dropped from near 40 to 35 in the last hour with the storm passing through. Same thing happened here in Lincoln. It's really chilly out now. I The Rapid Refresh models are hit and miss right now for Omaha and Lincoln. I really don't know what to expect at this point. As much as I don't want to side with the NWS, I think 1-3" is safe right now, unless the transition happens quicker. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Corn at the start 37 degrees Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 Sleet fell for a short period of time here, really don't know what to expect either. To me I think temp profiles are running colder than expected. Weather channel in Nebraska right now! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 23z HRRR predicted temps for right now:Â http://maps2.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/hrrr/2017022323/000/sfct.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 That looks like 1-2 degrees warmer than what it is right now. Dewpoints are also a tad on the high side 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 23, 2017 Report Share Posted February 23, 2017 11" in Valentine NE as of 1:30. It's been snowing hard there all day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 24, 2017 Report Share Posted February 24, 2017 11" in Valentine NE as of 1:30. It's been snowing hard there all dayYeah I wouldn't be surprised if there will be spots with close to 2 feet of snow when all is said and done. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 24, 2017 Report Share Posted February 24, 2017 Thunder snow being reported in North Central Nebraska, that's a good sign! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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