Tom Posted March 31, 2018 Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 Folks, Ol' Man Winter is not going into hibernation anytime soon. While we close out the month of March today, models are dialing in on a potent winter storm....in mid Spring! Can someone tell the wx God's it's time for some 60's/70's??? Last night's 00z Euro laying down a swatch of significant snows across NE/IA/WI into MI. 00z GFS is farther north with the snow. Who's going to cash in on some more late season snows??? http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2018033100/126/snku_acc.us_mw.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 31, 2018 Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 6z gfs came in a bit farther north and stronger 12-18 from Appleton up to GB http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc&rh=2018033106&fh=120&r=us_mw&dpdt= Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 31, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 Prob the best storm chasing of the season in the southern MW/OV/Plains... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 31, 2018 Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 6z gfs came in a bit farther north and stronger 12-18 from Appleton up to GB http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc&rh=2018033106&fh=120&r=us_mw&dpdt=Climo for the win? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 31, 2018 Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 12z gfs a bit farther S Crushes eastern WI https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2018033112&fh=78 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 31, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 Nice hit for Moneyman and Snowshoe per 12z GFS... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 31, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 Full run...solid major snowstorm in the works...let's go baby! Put all the naysayers to shame... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 31, 2018 Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 I'm putting this one. Good luck to those in the Northern plains/upper GLs. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 31, 2018 Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 Let’s do it. Go big or go home. Money what’s your biggest snowfall of the season? Would be interesting to get the biggest one in early April. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 31, 2018 Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 Let’s do it. Go big or go home. Money what’s your biggest snowfall of the season? Would be interesting to get the biggest one in early April.Like 5-6 We’ve only had like 18 total this year Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 31, 2018 Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 Like 5-6 We’ve only had like 18 total this yearWow I knew it’s been a struggle there this winter but I didn’t realize it was that bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted March 31, 2018 Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 Congrats northern Plains and upper Great Lakes!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 31, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 This might be N/C Wisco's best chance of the year to score a biggie... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted March 31, 2018 Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 I'm putting this one. Good luck to those in the Northern plains/upper GLs. Im so behind with this. I see 4" one run now its just all gone? What happened to that secondary southern swath? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted March 31, 2018 Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 12z GFS is scary close here. Probably will stay North, but pretty interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 31, 2018 Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 Euro is decent Not as good as GFS but similar overall https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/wisconsin/acc-precipitation-snow-total/20180404-0900z.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 31, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 Euro is decent Not as good as GFS but similar overall https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/wisconsin/acc-precipitation-snow-total/20180404-0900z.htmlEuro shows more snow for MKE tho and it actually lines up quite well with th GFS. Most snow 8-12”+ across WI into N MI. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 31, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 Jackpot zone is near Traverse City, MI with 12-16”...history repeats itself? Shades of 1975..: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 31, 2018 Report Share Posted March 31, 2018 Yeah it’s not bad Looks like a general 5-8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 1, 2018 Report Share Posted April 1, 2018 Def shift north in the last couple model runs Some gfs ensembles had sub 990’s into southern WI Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 1, 2018 Report Share Posted April 1, 2018 0z gfs http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc&rh=2018040100&fh=78&r=us_mw&dpdt= Not much room for error here but SPS and gosaints look solid Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted April 1, 2018 Report Share Posted April 1, 2018 Folks, Ol' Man Winter is not going into hibernation anytime soon. While we close out the month of March today, models are dialing in on a potent winter storm....in mid Spring! Can someone tell the wx God's it's time for some 60's/70's??? Last night's 00z Euro laying down a swatch of significant snows across NE/IA/WI into MI. 00z GFS is farther north with the snow. Who's going to cash in on some more late season snows??? http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2018033100/126/snku_acc.us_mw.pngCant believe this. Really? One going just south the next going just north of Omaha? Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted April 1, 2018 Report Share Posted April 1, 2018 I'll take all the snow on Tuesday, please. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 1, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 1, 2018 Cant believe this. Really? One going just south the next going just north of Omaha?The beat goes on for OMA...it's been the pattern all season...except for a couple systems. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 1, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 1, 2018 06z GFS... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2018040106/102/snku_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 1, 2018 Report Share Posted April 1, 2018 Gosaints and Money smasher on deck...unless you believe the NAM. I bet watches are posted this afternoon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 1, 2018 Report Share Posted April 1, 2018 Latest graphic from MPX Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 1, 2018 Report Share Posted April 1, 2018 12z NAM with a 10” hit for the TC. The main issue will be that a lot of the snowfall will occur during the day. Hard to believe in the upper totals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 1, 2018 Report Share Posted April 1, 2018 NAM has always been the northern tier for this system It’s also weaker with the strength Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 1, 2018 Report Share Posted April 1, 2018 Gfs down to 992 just north of Chicago Tad north from 6z about the same as 0z 1.4-1.6 QPF showing up just south of GB https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=apcpn&runtime=2018040112&fh=66 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted April 1, 2018 Report Share Posted April 1, 2018 GFS goes from slotting us to giving us rain. It's a leap towards Euro and even if we don't get snow I'll take rain seeing as it's April. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 1, 2018 Report Share Posted April 1, 2018 Gfs down to 992 just north of Chicago Tad north from 6z about the same as 0z 1.4-1.6 QPF showing up just south of GB https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=apcpn&runtime=2018040112&fh=66You buy? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted April 1, 2018 Report Share Posted April 1, 2018 Jackpot zone is near Traverse City, MI with 12-16”...history repeats itself? Shades of 1975..:Not quite amigo. April '75 storm tracked into W PA and bullseyed Chicago and SMI vs TC and NMI. I chased March 5th, 2012 that did bullseye TC since that winter left us downstate yearning. Currently, being April, I'm more likely to chase sunshine or warmth. Glad this isn't looking to be a repeat of April '75 tbh Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 1, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 1, 2018 Not quite amigo. April '75 storm tracked into W PA and bullseyed Chicago and SMI vs TC and NMI. I chased March 5th, 2012 that did bullseye TC since that winter left us downstate yearning. Currently, being April, I'm more likely to chase sunshine or warmth. Glad this isn't looking to be a repeat of April '75 tbhWhat I meant to say was, TC looks to be the jackpot zone with this system. N MI crush jobs in the works. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 1, 2018 Report Share Posted April 1, 2018 18z NAM with a huge shift south....like 100 miles with the heaviest snow. 12k with an MSP jack zone. 3km much more realistic but still a very nice hit for MN and WI. 6-9” in the point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted April 1, 2018 Report Share Posted April 1, 2018 I'll take the 18z GFS + 30 miles South. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 18z NAM with a huge shift south....like 100 miles with the heaviest snow. 12k with an MSP jack zone. 3km much more realistic but still a very nice hit for MN and WI.6-9” in the point.Looks like 0z nam taking another shift south which isn’t too surprising Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Looks like 0z nam taking another shift south which isn’t too surprisingGod awful model.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 It’s the worst. Compare the snow shield so far on the 0z compared to the 12z. It’s a few hundred miles apart. Laughable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 This is going to be one prolonged event. Might even prevent some of the offfices from issuing watches/warnings . Could be advisory level snows due to the duration. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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