Up_north_MI Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 18 minutes ago, Pros3lyte said: Anyway to include MI in this map? More times then not Michigan and points east are left out of the maps posted and conversations which I completely understand because how big of area this forum covers and the amount of members from areas west of here. No offense to any of our members from areas south and west of IL but I do feel it would be nice to have a forum for just the Great Lakes area sometimes especially during the busy weather periods like what’s going on now. Me personally I usually only read posts from members from WI, IL, IN, OH and MI just because what’s happening weather wise out in other states really doesn’t effect MI often it seems. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 37 minutes ago, Pros3lyte said: Anyway to include MI in this map? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 18z EPS did nudge further west. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 3 minutes ago, Clinton said: 18z EPS did nudge further west. Can you add the entire great lakes region for this map please. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Euro as it bombs out it moves due north 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10 Author Report Share Posted January 10 For Chicago on that 18z Euro, subtracting out the precip through Thursday still leaves about 2" precip for the big storm. Ratios would be 10:1 at best for most of the time, and quite possibly less than that. That much wet snow with strong winds would be a higher risk to the power grid than many of Chicago's past big dumps of snow. In a March 1998 storm, I picked up about a foot of wet snow with gusts of 40+ mph. Many people in the area lost power and some of the more rural areas didn't have it restored for 1-2 weeks. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 6 minutes ago, Daniel said: Can you add the entire great lakes region for this map please. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 17 minutes ago, Hoosier said: For Chicago on that 18z Euro, subtracting out the precip through Thursday still leaves about 2" precip for the big storm. Ratios would be 10:1 at best for most of the time, and quite possibly less than that. That much wet snow with strong winds would be a higher risk to the power grid than many of Chicago's past big dumps of snow. In a March 1998 storm, I picked up about a foot of wet snow with gusts of 40+ mph. Many people in the area lost power and some of the more rural areas didn't have it restored for 1-2 weeks. Man I remember that storm. what a mess 80/94 was shut down for days and everyone was without power. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10 Author Report Share Posted January 10 8 minutes ago, indianajohn said: Man I remember that storm. what a mess 80/94 was shut down for days and everyone was without power. Yeah it was something. Assuming no funny business on the 00z runs, think it's possible that LOT already hoists a winter storm watch with the overnight forecast. If that doesn't happen then I wouldn't be surprised to see it happen with a special late morning update tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 NAM coming in stronger and north again so far compared to 18z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 4 minutes ago, Money said: NAM coming in stronger and north again so far compared to 18z Nam nailed this last storm at hour 84, pretty incredible for that model. Rule the winter nam! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 It started out stronger than ended up a tad weaker and east really weird precip field as well 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 NAM barely even has flurries here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Alright, now that I the current storm has passed, let’s use that magic to bring this one home too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 3 minutes ago, winterfreak said: NAM barely even has flurries here. The NAM did terrible with the last storm so I’m not believing anything it puts out until tomorrow night. The precip shield in correlation with the low is very off… 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10 Author Report Share Posted January 10 11 minutes ago, gabel23 said: Nam nailed this last storm at hour 84, pretty incredible for that model. Rule the winter nam! Probably depends on what is being talked about, but it was awful with surface low track. Many runs had it going toward Green Bay. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 RGEM is going to be a good hit for many of the Nebraska folks. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pros3lyte Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 1 hour ago, CentralNebWeather said: Thank you so much! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Just now, Pros3lyte said: Thank you so much! No problem Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10 Author Report Share Posted January 10 00z ICON 975 mb southern IL at 69 hrs. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Icon at 69. Same mb and location as 18z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uticasnow Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 6 minutes ago, Money said: Icon at 69. Same mb and location as 18z ICON goes crazy for southeast Michigan but then changes to SUPRISE! (RAIN! ) 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 36 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Probably depends on what is being talked about, but it was awful with surface low track. Many runs had it going toward Green Bay. Should say totals; it picked that up early and was within 3” for my area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 icon doing even more in nebraska 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10 Author Report Share Posted January 10 The NAM gets warm air pretty far north. The ICON does to a lesser extent, but then the big difference is that the ICON dynamically cools more quickly than the NAM and it just barfs snow in northern IL/IN after 18z Friday. Never want to totally ignore the possibility of warm air surging farther north than progged, but nothing else is as drastic with that as the NAM right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pros3lyte Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 8 minutes ago, uticasnow said: ICON goes crazy for southeast Michigan but then changes to SUPRISE! (RAIN! ) Honestly I’m not getting my hopes up in the least. I fully expect this to turn into a rainstorm for us- or at least enough mixing to keep us at advisory criteria. The central part of the state is going to jackpot though for sure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uticasnow Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, Pros3lyte said: Honestly I’m not getting my hopes up in the least. I fully expect this to turn into a rainstorm for us- or at least enough mixing to keep us at advisory criteria. The central part of the state is going to jackpot though for sure I hear ya!. Same old story down here. I guess we have the lakes to our east to thank for screwing us over everytime. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10 Author Report Share Posted January 10 Have called it wrong before as a model is running, but I suspect the GFS will come north. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 0z ICON to 78 hours 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Icon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Complete whiff on the gfs too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Big changes on the GFs. Gonna be stronger and west for sure 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 GFS at 60 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 5 MB stronger than 18z and a bit NW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uticasnow Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Hour 66 On GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 GFS clobbers me but barely. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uticasnow Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 GFS 72hr Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uticasnow Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 GFS Hr 78 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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