Money Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 This was 18z/0z almost double the snow compared to the previous run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uticasnow Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 GFS Hr 84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 10 minutes ago, winterfreak said: Complete whiff on the gfs too. Jumping your way though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Not surprising but CMC came significantly NW of its 12z run and lines up with the rest of the models Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pros3lyte Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 4 minutes ago, Money said: This was 18z/0z almost double the snow compared to the previous run lol told ya! Rain gonna mix in and cut into totals for this portion of the state. Like clockwork baby! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 0z CMC for the west half 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 5 minutes ago, Clinton said: Jumping your way though. Yup. If it tracks far enough west the comma head could catch us. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uticasnow Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 CMS HR 96 (10:1) 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Canadian 24 hours. Whoa. 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 i suspect we will see watches issues overnight tonight 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 That slp track is perfect for a storm here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Holy smokes this really happening?! This is December 2009 and February 2021 wrapped into one if it becomes true! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NickH4NU Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 00 EURO coming in nicely for Omaha and surrounding areas! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Euro 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NickH4NU Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10 Author Report Share Posted January 10 For a visual display of what a dicey storm this is shaping up to be for the Chicago area, here's a look at the 00z Euro 24 hr precip and a loop of 2m temps for that period. Almost all of this precip happens with temps between 32-34 degrees. Obviously every degree matters, because temps dropping to 30-31 would make a difference and help to dry out the snow a bit. That looks unlikely to occur until late in the storm though. If it does hang around 32 or 33 when all this precip is falling, it's gonna be a mess. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NickH4NU Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 New Winter Storm Watch just issued 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 NAM stronger/NW 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Total snowfall.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Something like the NAM happens here in C.IA going to start having some minor infrastructure issues. Parking lots here are not designed like they are up N etc... Snow load on crappy built structures etc... But bring it!!! 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Also Wind Chill package by OMX--- 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 RDPS is N as well- Going to have some sick totals. I don't even feel comfortable posting them on here. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 RGEM 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 +SN now in my grids. Nuts.. 2 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 GFS stronger and a tad north than 6z 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Definitely starting to cut more and sooner--- 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 DMX wants to see more runs of higher QPF--- A change from the last forecast cycle is that QPF looks to be increasing, but have tried to temper the jump in QPF amounts in this cycle to ensure the trend holds. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Definitely trending NW--- 18Z GEFS yday compared to todays 06Z run 60 and 72 HRs-- stronger and likely why it's cutting more 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 06Z GEFS- 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 38 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said: Definitely starting to cut more and sooner--- That's a nice looking map to wake up to. Glad to see the GFS move NW a little. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 I know it's the long range RAP-- but it really cuts. (so does the HRRR) 2 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 EAX this morning he next potential winter storm will begin to affect the area Thursday night. As a strong shortwave trough will dig into southern New Mexico/ southwestern Texas Thursday evening, widespread precipitation should develop in the baroclinic leaf region across western Nebraska and Kansas. That will spread eastward as the shortwave moves into the Plains. Strong forcing ahead of the shortwave will lead to widespread warm advection precipitation developing that quickly merges with the baroclinic precipitation as the surface low moves from southwest Oklahoma into southern Missouri. With surface temperatures expected to be near or above freezing in our southern/ southeastern zones Thursday evening, rain and/or rain/snow is expected in that area. The rest of the forecast area will be all snow given the entirely below freezing thermal profile. But with the low quickly moving east, temperatures cool in response and the entire forecast area will transition to snow by early Friday morning. This intense shortwave pivots to a negative tilt just south of the forecast area. That enhanced forcing could lead to a deformation band that potentially sets up across our south. Subtle variations in this track could greatly alter the forecast snow amounts. For now, the greatest amounts are across northern Missouri where a swath of 5+ inches looks possible. Then, with the potential deformation band, there`s a swath of 4+ inches in our southeastern zones that increases into northeastern Missouri. We considered a winter storm watch on this shift but decided to hold off given the uncertainty in the track and the lower end criteria snow amounts being forecast Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 RAP at hr 51 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 10 Report Share Posted January 10 Dang, looking like this might make my Friday night drive to Duluth interesting. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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