BLI snowman Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 The other shoe has to drop, right? Insanely wet mid August incoming. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbrChris Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 In London right now and it is incredibly humid. Got caught up in a severe warned storm in Chicago, while we were in the plane while it was being taxied to the terminal. Golf ball sized hail, a downpour that turned everything to a foam for a minute, and lightning every few seconds. Expecting severe storms in Berlin later this week, with thunderstorms almost every night.Meanwhile there's been a dearth of thunderstorms at least from EUG-BLI on the I-5 corridor this summer. Maybe you'll bring something back with you. Quote The Pacific Northwest: Where storms go to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbrChris Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 It's a consensus table that takes the available data from reputable sources and quantifies anomalies in their forecast. I can see why you find serious issues with a so called "pro met" taking data that we all know as being dirty and lazy. It is data none the less, and can offer insights into methodologies that we couldn't see before.As for it being "dirty and lazy" the verification stats seem to indicate there's value in "the Wrong Channel" and "Inaccuweather" forecasts, at least over longer time periods. I've been using the table for a month now and have seen several times where NWS bends toward consensus...for instance on one day the consensus forecast for day 5 is 3 or 4 degrees lower than NWS and next day NWS lowers their forecast which then closely follows consensus. Another use for the forecast is seeing uncertainty at a glance. It's easy to see what days are likely to have fluctuations in the forecast going forward and which are likely to remain fairly stable. Perhaps the simplicity is off-putting, which is fine. Can't please everyone. I'm looking for useful and functional. Quote The Pacific Northwest: Where storms go to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbrChris Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 Wow...looks pretty hot in Berlin. They may approach 37 or 38c toward the end of next week. Quote The Pacific Northwest: Where storms go to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 In London right now and it is incredibly humid. Got caught up in a severe warned storm in Chicago, while we were in the plane while it was being taxied to the terminal. Golf ball sized hail, a downpour that turned everything to a foam for a minute, and lightning every few seconds. Expecting severe storms in Berlin later this week, with thunderstorms almost every night.That's awesome, how long are you going to be in Berlin? One of my best friends just moved to Trier last week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 ***FYI TO THE FORUM*** It will probably be cloudy in the morning. Temperatures will respond accordingly.Nice call! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 In London right now and it is incredibly humid. Got caught up in a severe warned storm in Chicago, while we were in the plane while it was being taxied to the terminal. Golf ball sized hail, a downpour that turned everything to a foam for a minute, and lightning every few seconds. Expecting severe storms in Berlin later this week, with thunderstorms almost every night.Sounds like a glorious honeymoon. Hopefully your partner appreciates severe weather as well. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 Nice call!Someone is really on guard now! It's all good, my friend. We all know you're a smart guy and in tune with the local weather. You have nothing to prove, especially after nailing temps throughout this last heatwave. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 Someone is really on guard now! It's all good, my friend. We all know you're a smart guy and in tune with the local weather. You have nothing to prove, especially after nailing temps throughout this last heatwave.Armchair stalker. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard mann Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 (.. cross-reference.) http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/609-approaching-pattern-discussion/?p=82182 Quote --- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 Armchair stalker. Great band name. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 Great band name.There are no great bands from Colorado. You should change that. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 LR models keep wanting to give us another hot spell mid-month. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 There are no great bands from Colorado. You should change that. Earth, Wind and Fire!!! No, I agree. No great ones from Portland, either. The Shins are based there (though originally from elsewhere), and probably my favorite "Portland" band. I have no musical talent. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 LR models keep wanting to give us another hot spell mid-month.How many days in a row? Any high clouds? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 LR models keep wanting to give us another hot spell mid-month.Bring it on! It will add to the best summer (weather wise) of my lifetime. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 How many days in a row? Any high clouds?Six 90s on the 12z. The only high clouds will be centered directly over Lake Goodwin for the duration of the event. Check the MM5s. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 Six 90s on the 12z. The only high clouds will be centered directly over Lake Goodwin. Check the MM5s.I was a bit irritated on Saturday when a thin band of high clouds obscured the sun for about 10 min while I was trying to enjoy the lake, I do not want a repeat. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 Six 90s on the 12z. The only high clouds will be centered directly over Lake Goodwin for the duration of the event. Check the MM5s.I just checked them and the resolution was surprisingly cloudy. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 Earth, Wind and Fire!!! No, I agree. No great ones from Portland, either. The Shins are based there (though originally from elsewhere), and probably my favorite "Portland" band. I have no musical talent. Louie Louie is like the most famous song ever, dude. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 Earth, Wind and Fire!!! No, I agree. No great ones from Portland, either. The Shins are based there (though originally from elsewhere), and probably my favorite "Portland" band. I have no musical talent.Everclear? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 Louie Louie is like the most famous song ever, dude.It's amazing how far three chords can take you. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 Everclear?They were big in the late 90s. Definitely not a great band, and I prefer The Shins overall. Plus, Everclear ditched the PNW and moved to LA. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 Louie Louie is like the most famous song ever, dude.It's a lot more famous in the PNW than other places. I heard it all the time growing up. Pretty much never now. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 3, 2015 Report Share Posted August 3, 2015 They were big in the late 90s. Definitely not a great band, and I prefer The Shins overall. Plus, Everclear ditched the PNW and moved to LA. Like pretty much every band west of the Mississippi? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 4, 2015 Report Share Posted August 4, 2015 It's a lot more famous in the PNW than other places. I heard it all the time growing up. Pretty much never now.Nah, it`s still pretty famous for a 50 year old song. Pops up on greatest song lists pretty frequently. The Kinsgmen only had a couple other hits though.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 4, 2015 Report Share Posted August 4, 2015 Did a hike around the Ridgefield Wildlife Refuge this afternoon after an appointment in Vancouver. Partly cloudy skies and refreshing NW breezes. Pretty amazing how much the area around Ridgefield has been developed since the last time I was out there, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 4, 2015 Report Share Posted August 4, 2015 I'll be here for 9 days. Even with the heat, this lace is awesome. I'm now somewhat motivated to see what it would take for someone of my background to emigrate here for a couple of years.Probably fairly doable, especially if you have a college degree. My friend and former roommate is a dual-citizen (his mom is German) so he was a shoe in. We hope to visit within the next year or so. The climate of West-Central Germany is VERY similar to here. Slightly colder winters. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbrChris Posted August 4, 2015 Report Share Posted August 4, 2015 I'll be here for 9 days. Even with the heat, this place is awesome. Weeklies from today are pretty hot across Germany/Poland through most of August. Quote The Pacific Northwest: Where storms go to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbrChris Posted August 4, 2015 Report Share Posted August 4, 2015 Like pretty much every band west of the Mississippi? Nirvana, Soundgarden, Alice in Chains...well back when Seattle's grunge scene was the "in" thing. Quote The Pacific Northwest: Where storms go to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 4, 2015 Report Share Posted August 4, 2015 Nirvana, Soundgarden, Alice in Chains...well back when Seattle's grunge scene was the "in" thing.All went to LA when they hit the mainstream. It's as natural as a rainstorm. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbrChris Posted August 4, 2015 Report Share Posted August 4, 2015 Temp-wise the summers in Berlin are very similar to Seattle while the winters are tough to compare to a major US city...days are similar to Boise or SLC while the nights are a bit milder due to more maritime influence. Hot temps this summer appear to be very close to all-time records rather than a common occurrence (at least historically). Record highs are pretty similar to those of Seattle, if not a hair cooler, while record lows are quite a bit colder most months. With Berlin sitting at 52.5 N latitude (nearly the latitude of Edmonton, Alberta) versus 47.5 at Seattle the colder winter temps in winter aren't surprising. Quote The Pacific Northwest: Where storms go to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted August 4, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 4, 2015 ***FYI TO THE FORUM*** It will probably be cloudy in the morning. Temperatures will respond accordingly. No, it wasn't cloudy this morning. You can't forecast! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted August 4, 2015 Report Share Posted August 4, 2015 Great sunset tonight! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 4, 2015 Report Share Posted August 4, 2015 Weeklies from today are pretty hot across Germany/Poland through most of August.They might have to wait until September to invade. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbrChris Posted August 4, 2015 Report Share Posted August 4, 2015 They might have to wait until September to invade.The Third Reich could have only dreamed of our long range forecasting capabilities. 1 Quote The Pacific Northwest: Where storms go to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 4, 2015 Report Share Posted August 4, 2015 The lack of a degree hurts, but I hope to rectify that soon and use my professional experience. The weather seems to be a mix of continental, where strong storms and 95°+ days a common for the summer. The winters are cold enough for snow season long, but warm enough to allow people to live comfortably. I have relatives in Berlin and they love the climate there. It's a bit more continental relative to the climate of the PNW, but lacks the seasonal extremes of a true temperate/continental climate. I'm also looking to relocate after completing my degree, but unfortunately the bulk of the market for atmospheric science majors is, well, right here. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 4, 2015 Report Share Posted August 4, 2015 50s! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted August 4, 2015 Report Share Posted August 4, 2015 51.6 this morning in Battle Ground.50s! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 4, 2015 Report Share Posted August 4, 2015 51.6 this morning in Battle Ground.Mark had PDX only getting down to 62 this morning. #ragingwarmbias Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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