Arkstorm isn’t the right analogy IMO, the risk here is catastrophic burn scar flooding. Which is a different flavor of bad.

Now we’re getting somewhere

Notable improvements on the GEFS by the start of Thanksgiving week. Cold is further south and the anomalies are deeper. I'll be interested to see the member view/spaghetti plots. Bet this is being dragged down by a few more members who go crazy. 18z GEFS: 00z GEFS: Run to run change:

Been chatting with an ex #wawx twitter member who now works as a meteorologist for the San Francisco Chronicle. Starting to hear "Arkstorm" get thrown around.