What a great 12z run!

Lock it in?

GRR We do expect accumulations from this system. Local probability matched mean snowfall suggests 1-4 inches possible by 00z Friday across the western and northern cwa and perhaps a bit more in the far southwest cwa due to the lake effect component. Lowest snowfall totals will occur across the eastern cwa. Since the bulk of the snow will fall Thursday during the day, there`s always the possibility that accumulations will be held down somewhat by the warmer ground. However, as we`ve seen during the Halloween storm in Muskegon last year, if snowfall rates overperform, the warmer ground becomes less of a factor as the snowfall can still pile up. We`re aren`t ready to go there yet, just something to keep in mind. Highs will remain in the 30s Thursday. Given that this will be the first appreciable snowfall of the season, leave extra time to get where you are going.

Kinda wild to see BW's expanded well into the storm (#1):

First flakes here in Cedar Rapids as well! Very fine.