Marked - snowy landscapes region wide to ring in the new year

Has yet to show up on models but I still believe a more a typical Niña pattern (or at least a zonal/pacific jet type pattern) will develop during December. Probably not super cold/blocky but should be cool/active in the PNW. It’s possible I am being too quick with the timing. We will see. I also believe there will be another cycle of significant arctic air over much of the CONUS in January (have been saying late December onwards, but again, it’s possible I am rushing things a bit). I will say this is the first time in many years that I’m optimistic about winter in my region (January in particular I think could be top-tier for a combination of cold and storminess). The low frequency regime that had been in place since the 2015/16 super niño appears to have finally broken down following last year’s El Niño, and the long awaited eastward extension of the IPWP appears to have begun (readily apparent in the changed resonance period in subseasonal tropical forcing over the WPAC).

For people that like to dig deep into the darkest corners of the model world for signs of hope. The GEM control gets cold in the long range.

January kind of sounds like the type of guy that you’d want to party with at least once in a while, though.

It's like having George Santos as your congressman.