Well at least the Hawks won on what looked to be a misty field.

18z Euro AI did not show retrogression unfortunately.

No widespread lowland 60 s… yet.

Oh boy!!

We're just inside it's comparable range so only one run to compare it to but the FV3 also appears it might be slightly more favorable for timing. Northern energy held back a hair and southern energy clipping along at a better speed. I've had it in my mind the closer we can keep that northern lobe in Montana through 06z Wednesday the better the chances it will phase right. That's where the previous Euro runs had it when they were more favorable outcomes. Another couple runs with this type of shift would be ideal.