seattleweatherguy Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Not sure what all of the griping is about. At face value the models indicate we could have a white Christmas. All it would take is precip with weak offshore flow. By far the best looking ECMWF run yet today. I almost hate coming on here when we have a decent shot at a cold spell because everyone is always so D**n negative about it.According to the weather app it may snow on my birthday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 According to the weather app it may snow on my birthday Amazing. To read the posts on here you would think we are in a Dec 2014 redux. It gets really tiring. First of all to suffer through truly shitty patterns for 2 years and now to suffer through the griping when things are much better. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies!  Winter 2023-24 stats  Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Amazing. To read the posts on here you would think we are in a Dec 2014 redux. It gets really tiring. First of all to suffer through truly shitty patterns for 2 years and now to suffer through the griping when things are much better.Nothing battles griping better than more griping. Well done, sir! 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Watching Alaska State Troopers right now and there appears to be a lot of snow on the ground. Hard to think that won't head our way at some point. 4 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Just left work and I was surprised by how frosty it was. The grass was only just starting to get crunchy, but my car was totally iced over. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75"    Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Just left work and I was surprised by how frosty it was. The grass was only just starting to get crunchy, but my car was totally iced over. How is that possible? Some on here were saying just yesterday there were no freezes in sight this month! Strange world for sure! Quote Death To Warm Anomalies!  Winter 2023-24 stats  Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Watching Alaska State Troopers right now and there appears to be a lot of snow on the ground. Hard to think that won't head our way at some point.Great show, and potential use for a future analog? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Amazing. To read the posts on here you would think we are in a Dec 2014 redux. It gets really tiring. First of all to suffer through truly shitty patterns for 2 years and now to suffer through the griping when things are much better.  SEA is running at about +6.8 at the half way point. Definitely not torchy this month.   Thank God its not warm like December of 2014! I know... the highs in the 20s next week will solve that problem.  Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Amazing. To read the posts on here you would think we are in a Dec 2014 redux. It gets really tiring. First of all to suffer through truly shitty patterns for 2 years and now to suffer through the griping when things are much better. I'm not sure what you're talking about. There is some griping on here every day...didn't seem like much today. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 I'm not sure what you're talking about. There is some griping on here every day...didn't seem like much today.  Pot calling the kettle black in this case... when he decides to go off the reservation its very ugly. Unreasonably positive and then off the deep end with negativity.   No up and down through the season... its all and then absolutely nothing for him. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 SEA is running at about +6.8 at the half way point. Definitely not torchy this month.   Thank God its not warm like December of 2014! I know... the highs in the 20s next week will solve that problem.  Why do you always do this? He said nothing about highs in the 20s, he said nothing about an arctic blast, he gave no guarnatees, he's just being optimistic based on the pattern looking quite decent. 500mb pattern this December is far better than last year... BUT there you are every single time waiting to jump all over his posts like some vulture. Every. Single. Time. It's like you can't wait to rip into him with your condescending sarcasm. It's really freaking strange the obsession you have to do so. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Why do you always do this? He said nothing about highs in the 20s, he said nothing about an arctic blast, he gave no guarnatees, he's just being optimistic based on the pattern looking quite decent. BUT there you are every single time waiting to jump all over his posts like some vulture. Every. Single. Time. It's like you can't wait to rip into him with your condescending sarcasm. It's really freaking strange the obsession you have to do so.Bull... he came on complaining. It has been a very warm month! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Watching Alaska State Troopers right now and there appears to be a lot of snow on the ground. Hard to think that won't head our way at some point. Heard they are hiring public pretenders up there. =) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Pot calling the kettle black in this case... when he decides to go off the reservation its very ugly. Unreasonably positive and then off the deep end with negativity.   No up and down through the season... its all and then absolutely nothing for him. Did your wife read this post? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Did your wife read this post?She could have written it! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Heard they are hiring public pretenders up there. =)Everyone everywhere is. Yeoman's work. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Pot calling the kettle black in this case... when he decides to go off the reservation its very ugly. Unreasonably positive and then off the deep end with negativity. No up and down through the season... its all and then absolutely nothing for him.It's like you guys are in a weirdo race constantly jockeying for the lead. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 It's like you guys are in a weirdo race constantly jockeying for the lead. You said the exact same thing to him just last week.     One thing is even more sure. Your peaks get peakier and your valleys valleyier every year. Roll with it and go balls deep! Six foot drifts and windchill warnings! Let's do it!!! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 You said the exact same thing to him just last week. All... and then nothing.Yep. He's manic. Not exactly news worthy. It's been clear he was probably going to get punchy over the next few weeks. Just let it ride. Your constant need to go balls deep about it is just as weird and obsessive. Play to win!!!! 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015  Hasn't stopped snowing here since 10pm last night. There's at least a foot of snow on the ground, probably more but I suck at estimating and I don't have a ruler. My first year of college in Oklahoma we had a massive 14" snow dump with a blizzard on 11/30/06. Great memories! Have fun. Quote Snowfall                 Precip 2022-23: 95.0"           2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6"          2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0"          2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5"          2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5"          2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3"          2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2"          2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75"         2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75"         2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75"         2012-13: 78.45  2011-12: 98.5"          2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil.  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Yep. He's manic. Not exactly news worthy. It's been clear he was probably going to get punchy over the next few weeks. Just let it ride. Your constant need to go balls deep about it is just as weird and obsessive. Play to win!!!!  He can get punchy.  It would be welcome given that there is probably not much in the way of cold and snow coming.  Shouldn't get all pissy when people don't match his manic view though. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 How is that possible? Some on here were saying just yesterday there were no freezes in sight this month! Strange world for sure!To be fair, it was 35 degrees. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75"    Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 To be fair, it was 35 degrees.But likely to freeze if it's 35 at 8 pm. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 If the 0z GFS is correct, any warm up this weekend will be very short-lived. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Some more precip heading towards me. Â Northerly flow is really messy out here. Â It will end up being drizzle regardless of the temp. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 If the 0z GFS is correct, any warm up this weekend will be very short-lived.Record cold second half of the month? AKA: normal month Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 If the 0z GFS is correct, any warm up this weekend will be very short-lived.  Love seeing the jet stream and rain into CA early next week  We have had enough jet stream this month.   http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/00/gfs_namer_165_precip_p03.gif Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 1861-62 redux?! Quote Snowfall                 Precip 2022-23: 95.0"           2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6"          2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0"          2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5"          2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5"          2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3"          2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2"          2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75"         2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75"         2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75"         2012-13: 78.45  2011-12: 98.5"          2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil.  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Record cold second half of the month? AKA: normal month Not record warm. That's all that matters! 0z setting up to be a very chilly run. Suppressed jet and all. I'm thinking will lead to some thoughts of slushy car tops Christmas morning. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 1861-62 redux?!That might not be as far fetched as people may think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 That might not be as far fetched as people may think.What are you seeing??? Don't tease us!!!! #watervaporvoodoo Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 That might not be as far fetched as people may think.   The stuff of legends! Quote Snowfall                 Precip 2022-23: 95.0"           2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6"          2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0"          2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5"          2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5"          2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3"          2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2"          2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75"         2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75"         2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75"         2012-13: 78.45  2011-12: 98.5"          2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil.  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015  The stuff of legends! A redux 150 years in the making. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Alaska/Yukon gets frigid this run, that's for sure. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Not record warm. That's all that matters! 0z setting up to be a very chilly run. Suppressed jet and all. I'm thinking will lead to some thoughts of slushy car tops Christmas morning.Definitely. With any amplification and positive anomaly building north we could all be in for quite a surprise. As for now through HR 180 it just features colder NW onshore flow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 That might not be as far fetched as people may think.Agreed! Anything is possible but at this point I am just not convinced on anything right now, but am totally amped to be epically surprised. Bring it!!!!! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 Alaska/Yukon gets frigid this run, that's for sure.Yep, by day 7-8. Nice to see the bitter air mass up north. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 HR 210, definite improvement no doubt about it. Positive anomaly much stronger than previous runs.http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015121500/gfs_z500a_namer_36.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 HR 210, definite improvement no doubt about it. Positive anomaly much stronger than previous runs.http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015121500/gfs_z500a_namer_36.png210 hours is 10 days out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2015 Report Share Posted December 15, 2015 210 hours is 10 days out8 days, 18 hours Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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