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1/9-1/10 Panhandler


jaster220

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The exact placement of the rain snow line is pretty tricky still, imo. I think anyone from Madison to the NW suburbs of Detroit are fair came for snow. Maybe everybody in between!

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Looks like .25-.4 qpf for you

Not bad...anything 3"+ would be good for me...still have a solid sheet of snow/ice around here.  Even with temps near 40F today, we barely melted any of this.  I was up by Lake Forest (near Geo's) the other day, and they still have a good 4-5" OTG.  Keep building that snow pack I guess.

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Regular 10:1 ratio. Would have higher totals because the temps come crashing down as the low passes.

 

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Madison to Milwaukee....Rgem wins...why I got family traveling out to Madison from Milwaukee Sunday morning for the kids baptism. Of course we would get a snowstorm!

 

If the GGEM plays out like that, there could be near Blizzard conditions early in the morning. Winds would likely be gusting like this...

 

 

Yikes, Madtown. I wouldn't want to making a call about Sunday morning quite yet, but it's trending towards pretty nasty. Drive out on Saturday, spend the night maybe?

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Well, seems like the models have a good handle on the track within 48 hours of this system...unlike past storms this season.  It's going to come down to how much precip can be thrown back on the cold side of the storm.  NAM/EURO are pretty much identical ATM.

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From the last storm, the EURO was late to the party. GFS was next and the GEM sniffed out all the sleet the earliest... NAM was somewhere in between the UKMET and the EURO if I remember right.

Will be interesting to see who wins this time.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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06z 4k-NAM...

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam4km/2016010806/nam4km_asnow_ncus_21.png

 

 

After seeing some of the high rez modeling, it seems like there will be some intense banding setting up where it does snow.  There is some pretty good jet stream energy to provide some good "lift".

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Like the rgem map Now if we could get a slight shift west or north can cash in with a decent Snow event before the cold settles in.

 

Last day, day and a half trends were east on both Nov 20-21st, and Dec 28-29th systems..

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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