Jesse Posted April 6, 2016 Report Share Posted April 6, 2016 Highs/lows for PDX and/or SEA. Wednesday 4/6 thru Sunday 4/10. PDX: 76/42 83/48 77/52 68/51 62/48 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 6, 2016 Report Share Posted April 6, 2016 Oh fun! I guess I better look at the models... 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 6, 2016 Report Share Posted April 6, 2016 PDX: 79/4485/4980/5370/4870/48 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 6, 2016 Author Report Share Posted April 6, 2016 Starting things out with a chillier than expected low at PDX. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 6, 2016 Author Report Share Posted April 6, 2016 Looks like I am beating Matt so far, in this two man race. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 7, 2016 Author Report Share Posted April 7, 2016 74/39 at PDX so far today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted April 7, 2016 Report Share Posted April 7, 2016 I haven't looked very closely, but it looks hot! I guess you didn't need me to tell you that. 1 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 11, 2016 Author Report Share Posted April 11, 2016 Final Numbers for PDX: 4/6: 74/39 4/7: 85/47 4/8: 83/51 4/9: 68/50 4/10: 61/50 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 11, 2016 Author Report Share Posted April 11, 2016 To score, points are given each day for the amount of degrees by which the high was off plus the amount of degrees by which the low was off. Whoever gets the fewest points wins: Jesse's Forecast 76/42 (5)83/48 (3)77/52 (7)68/51 (1)62/48 (3)Total Points: 19 Matt's Forecast: 79/44 (10)85/49 (2)80/53 (5)70/48 (4)70/48 (11)Total Points: 32 Congratulations Jesse! Better luck next time, Matt. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted April 11, 2016 Report Share Posted April 11, 2016 To score, points are given each day for the amount of degrees by which the high was off plus the amount of degrees by which the low was off. Whoever gets the fewest points wins: Jesse's Forecast 76/42 (5)83/48 (3)77/52 (6)68/51 (1)62/48 (4)Total Points: 19 Matt's Forecast: 79/44 (10)85/49 (2)80/53 (5)70/48 (4)70/48 (12)Total Points: 33 Congratulations Jesse! Better luck next time, Matt. I think this is the first time anyone has scored a Heat related contest. Your math is really close but I have your score as 20, not that it matters in the end. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 11, 2016 Author Report Share Posted April 11, 2016 I think this is the first time anyone has scored a Heat related contest. Your math is really close but I have your score as 20, not that it matters in the end.PDX bumped up to 61, so I updated it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 11, 2016 Report Share Posted April 11, 2016 Booooooooo climo!!!! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted April 11, 2016 Report Share Posted April 11, 2016 Of course people who hate warm weather will predict higher temperatures than people who hate cold weather, assuming each of them are pessimists. If they're optimists, it could be the other way around. So I'm assuming Jesse is an optimist. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 11, 2016 Author Report Share Posted April 11, 2016 Of course people who hate warm weather will predict higher temperatures than people who hate cold weather, assuming each of them are pessimists. If they're optimists, it could be the other way around. So I'm assuming Jesse is an optimist. Pessimism/optimism should have no place in forecasting, at least if you are going for accuracy. Forecasts should be based objectively on what appears to be most likely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 12, 2016 Author Report Share Posted April 12, 2016 Что-то я сегодня напилась... может пообщаемся тут? Agreed. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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