TT-SEA Posted April 22, 2016 Report Share Posted April 22, 2016 This is Roger Maris all over again. You can Google Roger Maris, Jesse. And Google 'Spieth Masters 2016'... Matt is a good analog. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 22, 2016 Report Share Posted April 22, 2016 I'm 1/64th Sioux Indian. Several strongly-worded letters written and I'm still not getting any royalties for Dances With Wolves.Time to go into lawyer mode. Anyone can get lucky (me). We'll need to do more of these forecast contests to get through the summer doldrums. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 22, 2016 Author Report Share Posted April 22, 2016 The overall winner could have been reserved for people who forecasted for both locales.I guess I can change it if it really is that important to everyone. I guess to me it makes sense because that was the way we had been scoring it all along. Plus Phil and I had the three best numbers for our respective locations (23, 24 and 26) so it stands to reason that I win one and he wins two. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 22, 2016 Report Share Posted April 22, 2016 I guess I can change it if it really is that important to everyone.I guess to me it makes sense because that was the way we had been scoring it all along. Plus Phil and I had the three best numbers for our respective locations (23, 24 and 26) so it stands to reason that I win one and he wins two.Agreed, honestly doesn't matter to me. Definitely looking forward to participating in more of these going forward. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted April 22, 2016 Report Share Posted April 22, 2016 I guess I can change it if it really is that important to everyone. I guess to me it makes sense because that was the way we had been scoring it all along. Plus Phil and I had the three best numbers for our respective locations (23, 24 and 26) so it stands to reason that I win one and he wins two.No, it's all good with me. Just throwing out options for future contests. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted April 22, 2016 Report Share Posted April 22, 2016 Law of averages.I thought overall would be just for people who forecast both since there were PDX and SEA individual winners. Not that it really matters of course, but regression to the mean gives a HUGE advantage to people who only forecast for one station the way you did it. They have half as many data points, so it's much easier to achieve extreme results (both good and bad.) Anyway, this contest . . . did not go well for me. We should definitely have more of these though. They are fun. 2 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 22, 2016 Author Report Share Posted April 22, 2016 I say next time we all forecast for the same locations. This is far too important to mess around with loose rules. I agree. That's probably the best way to overcome these sorts of issues. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 22, 2016 Author Report Share Posted April 22, 2016 Overall overall ranking (PDX & SEA only): Final Contest Numbers: Phil: 24.5 Tim: 30.5 Shawnigan: 32.5 Flatiron: 35 Bainbridge: 35.5 Justin: 38.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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