2017 Spring/Summer Severe Wx Thread

[Hawkeye]

It appears the hw30 corridor through Iowa won't be seeing anything as the LLJ is aimed at ne IA, so there's no reason for me stay up late again.  Good luck to those of you in northern Illinois.

[Tom]

NE IL lucked out on the heavy rains, thankfully, but folks in NW IL/NE IL not so much.  Models did a pretty good job handling this convective set up.  Turns out that secondary heavy band was a bit more west into IA.

 

 

 

 

[Hawkeye]

I got scraped by the west edge of the MCS overnight, picked up 0.43".  The row of counties north of Waterloo-Dubuque has been getting dumped on all summer.

[Tom]

I think James' area got hit hard or just to his north.

 

I got scraped by the west edge of the MCS overnight, picked up 0.43".  The row of counties north of Waterloo-Dubuque has been getting dumped on all summer.

The pattern just doesn't want to quit.  If you look at next weeks setup, it could be another repeat.  Hope it trends in your favor and to those a little south and west.

[Tom]

I think next week things will trend farther south compared to where the pattern has been of late, esp with the hemispheric pattern becoming a bit more amplified.  -NAO is forecast to develop as well.  Beneficial rains forecast from the Euro High Rez...

 

[Tom]

Impressive rains in NE IA...that neighborhood is probably swimming...that's gotta be close to James' back yard...

 

[Tom]

LOT has a nice description of the super cell that hit the NW burbs of Chi last Friday...

 

[Tom]

Anyone know anybody in NE IA where these rains fell???

 

[Tom]

A line of severe storms has formed quickly over N IL and producing 1.25" hail near McHenry county.  It's dropping SSE and likely target the same areas hit from last Friday!

 

[BrianJK]

A line of severe storms has formed quickly over N IL and producing 1.25" hail near McHenry county.  It's dropping SSE and likely target the same areas hit from last Friday!

 

 

Yup, really getting dark outside.  Radar shows these things knocking on my doorstep.  Luckily the hail looks to be diminishing somewhat.

[BrianJK]

Scratch that - large hail cell appears to be over carol stream right now

[Tom]

Scratch that - large hail cell appears to be over carol stream right now

Did you get hit hard?

[BrianJK]

Did you get hit hard?

Just some wind and a decent downpour. A friend of mine in Wheaton got it pretty good with nickel hail and some stronger winds.

[Tom]

What a great Monsoon season it has been out here. I'm about to get hit by another strong line of storms. We have been getting rain out here in the valley it seems like every single day since about 10 days ago. Who woulda thought?

 

I feel like I'm in the tropics or something. Warm, humid days with sunshine in the morning/afternoon and then evening/nighttime storms. Wash/rinse...repeat. Just great!

 

Wish I can show you what I'm looking at now with the wind blowing the palm trees sideways and real dark clouds behind them. Occasional big flashes of lighting and loud cracks of thunder.

[shysoks]

Anyone know anybody in NE IA where these rains fell???

 

I live in southern Clayton county where we had 6 to 7 inches Friday night, but what makes it worse is that we had over 11 inches last Tuesday. The ground is so saturated that any little bit of rain just runs off. There are at least four roads that I can think of in the area (maybe more) that will be closed indefinitely due to bridges being taken out, culvert blown out of the roads or the road falling into the river that runs next to it. It is very hilly up here, so the water just flows down the hills and takes everything out. So many homes, businesses and roads destroyed; so sad.

[OKwx2k4]

I live in southern Clayton county where we had 6 to 7 inches Friday night, but what makes it worse is that we had over 11 inches last Tuesday. The ground is so saturated that any little bit of rain just runs off. There are at least four roads that I can think of in the area (maybe more) that will be closed indefinitely due to bridges being taken out, culvert blown out of the roads or the road falling into the river that runs next to it. It is very hilly up here, so the water just flows down the hills and takes everything out. So many homes, businesses and roads destroyed; so sad.

After 2 years in a row of "100 year floods" here in the Ozarks Hills and knowing what water can do in hilly areas, I have a pretty fresh imagination of some of the damage there. Hope all gets better and you all get to dry out a bit.

[Tom]

I live in southern Clayton county where we had 6 to 7 inches Friday night, but what makes it worse is that we had over 11 inches last Tuesday. The ground is so saturated that any little bit of rain just runs off. There are at least four roads that I can think of in the area (maybe more) that will be closed indefinitely due to bridges being taken out, culvert blown out of the roads or the road falling into the river that runs next to it. It is very hilly up here, so the water just flows down the hills and takes everything out. So many homes, businesses and roads destroyed; so sad.

Welcome to the board!  I'm sorry to hear about the devastation that the flooding brought to your region.  It sorta reminds me of the valley's/hills we have where I'm currently situated in Fountain Hills, AZ.  As I write this, we just had a tropical downpour and a Flash Flood Advisory was issued about an hour ago.  It's wild to see how much power water has.  

 

Since going to bed after last night's storms, there has been light rain falling all night long into the morning where it really has picked up here.  I have never experienced this much rain in the desert, esp in the month of July.

 

Looking at the radar, there is a plume of moisture heading up from the eastern valley near Mesa/Gilbert heading right towards me.  This is wild for the desert SW.

[Tom]

For the most part, IA is looking good for more rainfall to those areas that need it most in C/S IA...

 

 

 

Wed/Thu  period looking interesting...

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk_0730.gif?1500906990978

 

 

 

 

 

[Niko]

Any rain chances along with severe weather is on Thursday of this week. If nothing materializes into SEMI in terms of severe weather, then, it remains dry right through middle of next week.

[St Paul Storm]

Tornado warning just south of Minneapolis, right over the MPX office in Chanhassen, MN. I can hear the sirens in the distance. Looks like it's moving away from my house, although the cell is moving erratically. More storms firing to the west will be training over the same area. 2-4" of rain possible.

[Tom]

Tornado warning just south of Minneapolis, right over the MPX office in Chanhassen, MN. I can hear the sirens in the distance. Looks like it's moving away from my house, although the cell is moving erratically. More storms firing to the west will be training over the same area. 2-4" of rain possible.

What did you end up with??? Glad to hear your region getting some needed moisture.

[Niko]

Tornado warning just south of Minneapolis, right over the MPX office in Chanhassen, MN. I can hear the sirens in the distance. Looks like it's moving away from my house, although the cell is moving erratically. More storms firing to the west will be training over the same area. 2-4" of rain possible.

Wow...lots of action in MN. Hopefully, some of those cells can survive across towards SEMI. No tornadoes of course. Dont want my house ta get blown away.

[St Paul Storm]

What did you end up with??? Glad to hear your region getting some needed moisture.

Ended up with only 0.85". Woke up at 2:30 am and it was pouring. The storms were pretty lame last night except for the warned cell. I guess it produced a massive wall cloud that was generating a few funnels.

 

Things got a little dry here in July, but nothing serious. My grass browned out for about 10 days in mid July but is now as green as ever.

[Tom]

12z NAM 3km looking interesting for NE peeps...

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hopefully parts of S/SE IA cash in on some storms...Saturday could be a big ticket day for severe wx...

 

[jaster220]

Ofc Niko's in Europe but it looks like his backyard (Macomb) in the north burbs of Motown's getting a pretty good cell right now:

 

 

[Tom]

Preliminary reports of a nocturnal Tornado that hit Tulsa, OK metro overnight last night around 1:18am.  I think this Remington high rise building looks familiar to me.  It's off of interstate 44 that tracks through the southern part of the city when I drive through OK on my road trips.

 

 

 

 

 

http://static-24.sinclairstoryline.com/resources/media/f1c3b897-b2ba-48d1-acc0-a4a429aa5da8-large16x9_kim3.jpg

[OKwx2k4]

Pretty destructive and scary night for some relatives of mine out that way. Was at an event with some friends and really had no idea what was going on until after.

[Tom]

Severe Thunderstorm Watch hoisted for parts of IA/WI/IL...

 

[Tom]

Severe Threat looks legit Tue/Wed period...

 

 

[jaster220]

..sigh..

 

yet again standing on the sidelines of the "active" portion of this current system:

 

 

 

Really need this pattern to get flipped on it's head going into October!

 

Edit: If it happens in Sept, all the better.

[Niko]

Ofc Niko's in Europe but it looks like his backyard (Macomb) in the north burbs of Motown's getting a pretty good cell right now:

 

20170803 Detroit T-storm radar.PNG

Luckily, did not find any damages.

[Tom]

IA seems to be the epicenter today in terms of severe wx and heavy rainfall...latest HRRR...

 

 

 

 

 

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.gif?1503323039375

[Hawkeye]

Thick clouds have likely ruined another potential severe/heavy rain event here.  At this point, I'm just hoping we can get a half inch of rain later to add to the meager 0.25" we received this morning.  Recent HRRR runs are not real promising.

[Tom]

Thick clouds have likely ruined another potential severe/heavy rain event here.  At this point, I'm just hoping we can get a half inch of rain later to add to the meager 0.25" we received this morning.  Recent HRRR runs are not real promising.

Looking like your storms are knocking on your doorstep...

 

http://climate.cod.edu/data/nexrad/DVN/N0Q/DVN.N0Q.20170822.0017.gif

[Niko]

Have to admit, not a lot of severe weather this Summer thus far in my neck of the woods. Not sure if I missed on any action while I was on vacation , but, overall, not too shabby. Could have been a lot more active, in terms of t'stms.

[Niko]

IA seems to be the epicenter today in terms of severe wx and heavy rainfall...latest HRRR...

 

 

 

 

 

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.gif?1503323039375

 

For once, I would like to see my area painted in the "Purple Zone" (High Alert)

It always seems to be either on "Marginal" or "Slight"

[jaster220]

For once, I would like to see my area painted in the "Purple Zone" (High Alert)

It always seems to be either on "Marginal" or "Slight"

 

I know SWMI got the purple (pink) treatment Nov 17th, 2013 complete with a hatched TOR risk! Those, thankfully, stayed just south of MI. That's the last time I remember us scoring that High Risk and I don't remember if it extended over to your place or not tbh?

[Niko]

I know SWMI got the purple (pink) treatment Nov 17th, 2013 complete with a hatched TOR risk! Those, thankfully, stayed just south of MI. That's the last time I remember us scoring that High Risk and I don't remember if it extended over to your place or not tbh?

That is unbelievable if ya think about it. Ofc, now, I am getting pounded with strong to almost severe storms and no color advisory ova my area. Go figure!

[jaster220]

That is unbelievable if ya think about it. Ofc, now, I am getting pounded with strong to almost severe storms and no color advisory ova my area. Go figure!

Flash Flood Warning! Dude, you finally scored some severe and its better late than never. Final 3 days of Met summer. Could be turning a corner..

[Niko]

Flash Flood Warning! Dude, you finally scored some severe and its better late than never. Final 3 days of Met summer. Could be turning a corner..

Couldn't agree more!