WeatherArchive Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 So how far off were the forecasters? I remember some of you all ranting about a NE Pacific Index Snow Whizard (Wizard?) came up with and I had a sneaky suspicion it wouldn't work out due to the lack of amplification up north due to many reasons I won't get into here. It's mid winter (in a meteorological sense) and it's time to see how we are doing. Feb is half way here and it's a big deal now just to reach normal! What I am curious is how do you feel about the forecasts? Not the actual winter itself but the way your predictions turned out. Do you think you were almost spot on or missed it by a mile? Is it the "craw?" or the claw? (Joke from Get Smart TV Show) Should we just speak into the cone of silence? https://www.wouldyoubelieve.com/graphics/cone_title.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Lack of amplification? Seriously? Were you paying attention to December? Probably the most amplified ridge any of us have ever seen. It was centered over the West instead of Alaska, so the East got record breaking cold. So the problem for December at least was not lack of amplification. Way too early to write off Winter, though obviously the cold January predictions are a bust. Historically, some La Nina's, like 1988/1989, wait until February to deliver. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 For many reasons I won't get into here, winter forecasts was 3.54 nautical miles off to the SSW. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 La Nina can be as precisely dry as this winter has been so far. Record-breaking values for lack of rain that were not forecast in long range predictions for California. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 20, 2018 Report Share Posted January 20, 2018 Isn't it a bit early for this? Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan the Weatherman Posted January 20, 2018 Report Share Posted January 20, 2018 La Nina can be as precisely dry as this winter has been so far. Record-breaking values for lack of rain that were not forecast in long range predictions for California. This winter to date has been unusually dry for La Nina standards in Socal. Only having one storm of note to this point is absolutely pathetic even for Socal. Hopefully we can get some decent late season storms that bring up our totals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherArchive Posted February 5, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 5, 2018 it's now Feb and warmer then ever. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 it's now Feb and warmer then ever.It's now February and colder than ever. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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