May Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[TT-SEA]

This is not correct. Maybe you just don't realize how repetitive you are?

 

Those were in response to other posts.    You are taking them out of context.

 

My original post was a simple response to Jesse's joke that I control the weather.    Obviously I don't or it would not have been so wet over the last 4 years.   That is all. 

[Front Ranger]

Those were in response to other posts.    You are taking them out of context.

 

My original post was a simple response to Jesse's joke that I control the weather.    Obviously I don't or it would not have been so wet over the last 4 years.   That is all. 

 

I didn't take anything out of context. They were all part of the same convo, and you kept repeating the same point. 

 

Hey look, you did it again in this post! 

[Jesse]

Those were in response to other posts. You are taking them out of context.

 

My original post was a simple response to Jesse's joke that I control the weather. Obviously I don't or it would not have been so wet over the last 4 years. That is all.

The last 4-5 years have been pretty kind to your tastes, even if there were a handful of cold season periods that had more rain than usual. Times of year where it’s normally wet anyway.

 

Of course, that gives you a much shakier platform from which to complain constantly. And we don’t want that.

[TT-SEA]

I didn't take anything out of context. They were all part of the same convo, and you kept repeating the same point. 

 

Hey look, you did it again in this post! 

 

As often as you point out there were dry periods in our unprecedented wet 4-year stretch here!  

[TT-SEA]

The last 4-5 years have been pretty kind to your tastes, even if there were a handful of cold season periods that had more rain than usual. Times of year where it’s normally wet anyway.

 

Of course, that gives you a much shakier platform from which to complain constantly. And we don’t want that.

 

I actually have not said the last 4-5 years have been bad.

 

My point all along has been that we are way overdue for a couple dry, cool years.  

 

And that it has not been runaway drought here during this warm period.    Quite the opposite.   

[Jesse]

I actually have not said the last 4-5 years have been bad.

 

My point all along has been that we are way overdue for a couple dry, cool years.

 

And that it has not been runaway drought here during this warm period. Quite the opposite.

You can have a year that is technically wetter than normal, with the precip anomalies bunched up in one half of the year, and still have very long, abnormal warm season drought. That has happened a handful of years recently, especially down here. A near unprecedented run of hot and dry summers.

[Front Ranger]

As often as you point out there were dry periods in our unprecedented wet 4-year stretch here!  

 

It's not just that there were dry periods - the dry periods have been exceptional, as much so as the wet periods. Just because the annual total came out wet doesn't make that not true.

 

Take the example (one of many) that I gave yesterday: OLM has seen it's two driest Mays in the past three years. The odds of something like that are quite low...it's exceptional and unprecedented.

[Front Ranger]

This 500mb pattern has resulted in 2 days with a 0 departure at SEA, WFO SEA, BLI, and HQM.     The first days of the month that were not above normal at those stations.    Troughing and below normal 850mb temps only seem to get the Puget Sound area down to normal in the warm season.   

 

 

 

Farther south... OLM, PDX, and SLE all had a respectable negative departure of -4 yesterday.  

 

I think we will see more in the way of negative departures over the next week for the Puget Sound region.

 

Also, FWIW the EPS supports the general 0z Euro progression.

[Jesse]

PDX reporting **LIGHT RAIN** on the hour.

[Deweydog]

Oh my f*cking god...

 

Does it ever stop f*cking raining around here?

 

F*ck.

[Front Ranger]

Of the major I-5 stations, it looks like EUG and Seattle WFO are leading the way this month with .28". Everyone else is under .20".

[Timmy]

Oh my f*cking god...

 

Does it ever stop f*cking raining around here?

 

F*ck.

Weird year

[TT-SEA]

12Z GFS shows many troughs fighting to get into the PNW at the same time in the long range...

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

It'll be interesting to see if there will be any weather-related words on the spelling bee finals right now on ESPN8 The Ocho (ESPNU)

[BLI snowman]

PDX is at 63.18 right now for the monthly mean. Record for May is 63.10. Will very likely either see a tie or a slight edge to 2018.

 

Almost a lock to finish as the 2nd driest May, as well. Unless one of these showers today majorly overachieves.

[Geos]

Got some rain wandering around the area this morning. 

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

12Z GFS shows many troughs fighting to get into the PNW at the same time in the long range...

 

Wow forgot what that looked like.

[Jesse]

PDX is at 63.18 right now for the monthly mean. Record for May is 63.10. Will very likely either see a tie or a slight edge to 2018.

 

Almost a lock to finish as the 2nd driest May, as well. Unless one of these showers today majorly overachieves.

PDX would have to hit 68 or higher today to tie 1992. Anything below that and it would round down to 63.0

 

So 70 is looking good.

[Jesse]

12z GFS is a warm and dry run overall. Any major precip keeps getting put off to the end of the runs. Which usually isn’t a good sign.

[Jesse]

Sunbreaks here! Finally!!

[Deweydog]

Those oily roads earlier were downright treacherous.

[BLI snowman]

PDX would have to hit 68 or higher today to tie 1992. Anything below that and it would round down to 63.0

 

So 70 is looking good.

 

67.

[Geos]

At 56 right now. Had a few sprinkles but that was it so far. Most of the rain has just been to the east in Woodinville down to Redmond.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Had some light rain this morning in HIO. Wasn't much but its better than nothong. Was able to record 0.01". Looks like HIO was the only location around PDX Metro to get anything.

[Jesse]

Another hot garbage Euro run.

[Jesse]

The first ten days of June could end up above average.

 

Great call Phil!!!!

[Geos]

Cliff Mass posted about a dust devil/whirlwind on Lake Sammamish on Monday. Pretty cool video.

 

http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/

[Deweydog]

Phucking Phil phail...

[BLI snowman]

Why is Phil making it so warm here!!??

[Jesse]

Phucking Phil phail...

Looks like our ThreeWeekMegablast June edition might not pan out after all.

[Front Ranger]

Cliff Mass posted about a dust devil/whirlwind on Lake Sammamish on Monday. Pretty cool video.

 

http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/

 

Love how the one dog initially moves in for a closer look, while the other one immediately flees in terror. 

[Jesse]

Why is Phil making it so warm here!!??

He has a good track record for calling ridgy periods. Actual cool periods, not so much...

[Front Ranger]

Why is Phil making it so warm here!!??

 

No dummy, it's Tim making it warm in the PNW. Phil just makes it warm on the east coast.

[Front Ranger]

Looks like our ThreeWeekMegablast June edition might not pan out after all.

 

Just take your two below normal days at PDX and be satisfied.

 

#blastverified

[Front Ranger]

He has a good track record for calling ridgy periods. Actual cool periods, not so much...

 

Could say the same for FrontalSnowsquall...

[Jesse]

Amazing how quickly the models can shift. 24 hours ago we were looking at a decently troughy pattern the next 7-10 days. Maybe it could flip back but seems unlikely.

[Deweydog]

Amazing how quickly the models can shift. 24 hours ago we were looking at a decently troughy pattern the next 7-10 days. Maybe it could flip back but seems unlikely.

Unprecedented shift.

[Phil]

12z GFS is a warm and dry run overall. Any major precip keeps getting put off to the end of the runs. Which usually isn’t a good sign.

Clear your cache?

[Jesse]

Unprecedented shift.

No, but definitely not what we want to see if we’re hoping to get some significant rainfall before mid month.

[The Swamp]

I had significant rainfall here today. Rained pretty good for about an hour.