Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion

[snow_wizard]

The WRF is on board for snow in the Seattle area next weekend as well.  Time to wake up guys!

[GHweatherChris]

The WRF is on board for snow in the Seattle area next weekend as well. Time to wake up guys!

I don't live in the Seattle area though...

[snow_wizard]

People might be burned out over all the hype of last round. Really didn’t live up to what could have happened. Especially those poor folks in PDX.

 

I suppose, but some areas did really well.  Even I had some decent stuff by recent January standards.

[Weiner Warrior]

[snow_wizard]

Solid cold shot on the ECMWF at day 8 and 9.  Nice improvement over previous runs once again.

[Requiem]

The WRF is on board for snow in the Seattle area next weekend as well.  Time to wake up guys!

 

Mmm, not much to wake up to. Maybe up there.

[snow_wizard]

Nice snowfall for Aberdeen on the Euro. 

[Timmy]

Mmm, not much to wake up to. Maybe up there.

not even, looks pretty much confined to some cz stuff, with possible snow in the air elsewhere.

[snow_wizard]

The Euro even has snowfall over the ocean on this run.  This is getting interesting.

[Timmy]

The Euro even has snowfall over the ocean on this run. This is getting interesting.

maps or it didn’t happen!

[Requiem]

not even, looks pretty much confined to some cz stuff, with possible snow in the air elsewhere.

 

Yeah, if anything I think our shot at something good February would be a backdoor blast of some sort. I remember seeing some EPS maps with a retrogression signal and whatnot, so who knows.

[snow_wizard]

850s drop to -10 on this run.  Yeah baby!

[snow_wizard]

Significant snowfall for many on this run.  I will post a map when the run is done.

[luvssnow_spokane]

The coming colder weather.

You mean moderate cold to normal weather!? Gripping! People should be piling in at any moment to express their excitement for the unusual and epic event on our door step that is 7 to 10 days away...    

[snow_wizard]

Make that -11 on the 850s.  I like where this is going.  Here is the snow that falls going into the cold.

 

 

[snow_wizard]

You mean moderate cold to normal weather!? Gripping! People should be piling in at any moment to express their excitement for the unusual and epic event on our door step...   

 

Why not try looking at the models?

[Weiner Warrior]

It does look much colder going into next week on EURO!

[GHweatherChris]

Nice snowfall for Aberdeen on the Euro.

Wasn't talking about the Euro.

[snow_wizard]

I could care less whether people think this is worth getting excted about or not, because it is.  I refuse to get into the glum mindset that so many people insist on.

[snow_wizard]

Wasn't talking about the Euro.

 

I know.  I just thought it was ironic.

[MossMan]

Make that -11 on the 850s. I like where this is going. Here is the snow that falls going into the cold.

I like this map!

[luvssnow_spokane]

Why not try looking at the models?

I have! Not seeing much to get excited about looks less promising than the last event. Bring on a 1/4 inch of snow and a couple days of cold. I will get excited when it shows something in a believable range of 3 days or less.

[snow_wizard]

The ECMWF is much colder in every possible way for the 7 to 10 day period.

[snow_wizard]

I have! Not seeing much to get excited about looks less promising than the last event. Bring on a 1/4 inch of snow and a couple days of cold. I will get excited when it shows something in a believable range of 3 days or less.

 

Suit yourself.

[luvssnow_spokane]

I could care less whether people think this is worth getting excted about or not, because it is.  I refuse to get into the glum mindset that so many people insist on.

Who is glum? 

[TT-SEA]

You mean moderate cold to normal weather!? Gripping! People should be piling in at any moment to express their excitement for the unusual and epic event on our door step that is 7 to 10 days away...    

 

 

ECMWF shows low 40s on Sunday... near 40 on Monday... and in the mid to upper 30s on Monday in the Seattle area.

 

The SW part of King County and Pierce County get shadowed.    Which happens frequently in this type of situation.     So even if the ECMWF verified... you might not get much snow.    Of course details can change.    

[Timmy]

I could care less whether people think this is worth getting excted about or not, because it is. I refuse to get into the glum mindset that so many people insist on.

how much less could you care.

[snow_wizard]

The ECMWF spits out a high of 35 and a low of 22 for SEA on Feb 4.  February looks to be on a roll.

[MossMan]

I have! Not seeing much to get excited about looks less promising than the last event. Bring on a 1/4 inch of snow and a couple days of cold. I will get excited when it shows something in a believable range of 3 days or less.

Yeah too bad it doesn’t show stagnant split flow...Now that was some weather excitement right there!!! WOW!!!

[HighlandExperience]

[luvssnow_spokane]

ECMWF shows low 40s on Sunday... near 40 on Monday... and in the mid to upper 30s on Monday in the Seattle area.

 

The SW part of King County and Pierce County get shadowed.    Which happens frequently in this type of situation.     So even if the ECMWF verified... you might not get much snow.    Of course details can change.   

THIS is exactly what I was seeing and so normal meandering useless cold. People will barely notice it. 

[HighlandExperience]

I could care less whether people think this is worth getting excted about or not, because it is. I refuse to get into the glum mindset that so many people insist on.

Certainly an improvement. I could see a surprise!

[Gradient Keeper]

Really good Euro run. Cold northerly flow, then a backdoor blast. Quite close to a regional blast. Kona low. Be prepared for a rapid move to a colder scenario with timing moving ahead quickly and the GEM and even our decrepit, lowly GFS latching on.

 

 

 

 

 

C'MON!!!!

[TT-SEA]

Interestingly... the GFS lead the way with the cold last time and the ECMWF finally got on board.

 

The GFS shows nothing much at all this time... it will be interesting to see if the ECMWF trends in that direction now.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Yeah too bad it doesn’t show stagnant split flow...Now that was some weather excitement right there!!! WOW!!!

Lol ... true! I am just commenting to snowwiz why people are not in here thrilled. Pretty run of the mill. Just sayin... and no snow for most. Might as well be split flow IMHO. 

[HighlandExperience]

Lol ... true! I am just commenting to snowwiz why people are not in here thrilled. Pretty run of the mill. Just sayin... and no snow for most. Might as well be split flow IMHO.

Last event had a lot of hype.

[Requiem]

I could care less whether people think this is worth getting excted about or not, because it is.  I refuse to get into the glum mindset that so many people insist on.

 

Bit burned out by earlier this month, tbh. 

[luvssnow_spokane]

Last event had a lot of hype.

Yep... so true! but looked a heck of a lot better than this.

[GHweatherChris]

Lets get it in to NAM range!!

[HighlandExperience]

Yep... so true! but looked a heck of a lot better than this.

Sometimes things that don’t look so great can turn good.