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Posted
2 hours ago, Phil said:

18z GFS looks Jesse-tastic.

Gives me a decent snowstorm next week, maybe 8-12". Would be enough to bring our season total above average, which would be pretty surprising considering it's a strong el nino. Won't be here for it though, will be in Wyoming/Utah.

  • Like 3

Sunriver live webcam (about 1.5 miles away from my house so it does not always 100% represent conditions here, it also sometimes doesn't update):

 

  • SunriverCam.jpeg
Posted
22 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Fun fact, in modern US history, more people have been killed by sheep than by wolves. 

They were probably just wolves in sheep's clothing

  • scream 2

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 56.25"

-- Lake City, Seattle (LC) --

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24: 0.25"

-2024-25: 4.75"

-- Ballard, Seattle (B) --

-2025-26: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; March 13th, 2026 (B)

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 (LC)

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 (LC)

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 (LC)

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 (LC)

Posted

65/38 day here with a chilly start, brief morning clouds then afternoon sunshine. Beautiful day and a great Easter with family. Looks like the usual suspects were inside posting all day while I suffered through a sunny Easter 😂 

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

Posted
2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

 

If you want to worship Satan than we should send you to hell to be with him. 

I'm in charge of the AC down there.  I'll buy you a beer when you arrive.  Cheers

  • Weenie 1
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Posted
6 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

I'm in charge of the AC down there.  I'll buy you a beer when you arrive.  Cheers

I hear they only have Coors Light. It is Hell after all. 

  • lol 5
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Posted

Twas a beautiful Easter... perfect day with some high clouds towards sunset.

I feel sorry for a couple people on here who were hunkered down inside and too miserable to be outside.  :(

  • Like 2

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Posted
3 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

I see the Euro has still not hopped on Tim's "next warm up right around the corner". Or the GFS.

It will warm up after it cools down.   I guarantee it.  👍

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Posted

Nice day! And bloomage! 

IMG_4057.jpeg

IMG_4055.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted
10 hours ago, Phil said:

I’m legit considering road tripping to interior New England to catch that blizzard 4/3-4/4. The 12z Euro is litty-titty…30” of paste in 24hrs. Then drive down to OH or W-NY for the eclipse.

I’m 90% sure my better half will immediately shoot down the idea, though. :( 

DO IT! LIVE YOUR LIFE WHILE YOU STILL CAN!! Always pick snow before a hoe!! SNOW IS COMING, AND YOU WONT BE!!

(I'm sure she's a nice lady, i dont know her, so don't take this seriously)

  • lol 1

Sunriver live webcam (about 1.5 miles away from my house so it does not always 100% represent conditions here, it also sometimes doesn't update):

 

  • SunriverCam.jpeg
Posted

25 currently, 14/50 day. Partly Cloudy skies kept the high temp a little cool, it'll probably get warmer tommorow.

 

00z gfs sucked, but the GEM was decent. Trended a little better for Texas, and was clear for Illinois/Missouri which is really all I ask for at this point. I've given up all hope on seeing the eclipse in Texas, although there is a chance I'll be happily surprised by a change of forecast.

cloudcover.conus (1).png

Sunriver live webcam (about 1.5 miles away from my house so it does not always 100% represent conditions here, it also sometimes doesn't update):

 

  • SunriverCam.jpeg
Posted
32 minutes ago, Phil said:

Last time we had back to back nights with thunderstorms in March was 2010. Noticing a lot of similarities to that year, though timing shifted a few weeks.

That was a lovely late spring and summer out here. Had a warmer than average Feb/March as well, like this year.

  • Like 1
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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

Posted
42 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

That was a lovely late spring and summer out here. Had a warmer than average Feb/March as well, like this year.

The global SSTA match with 2010 borders on spooky. Far and away the closest fit, with 1973 the runner-up.

Also the descending NE-Canada block fits the 2010 progression. As does the descending +QBO with -PMM/+AMM.

Below are SSTAs in 2024 (top) and 2010 (bottom) with global anomaly adjusted to zero. Crazy homogeneity.

IMG_1107.jpegIMG_1108.jpeg

  • Excited 1
Posted

Ended up getting another freeze this morning barely with a low of 32. Brings the freeze total up to 50. Pretty good considering it was a strong Nino. I’ve recorded a freeze every month since October. Might be a chance I get one in April.

  • Like 1

2025 Warm Season Stats

Number of 80+ days - 22

Number of 85+ days - 12

Number of 90+ days - 5

Number of 95+ days - 1 (Warmest 95)

Number of 60+ lows - 3

Posted
On 3/29/2024 at 9:21 PM, Phil said:

Can see the influence of the SW monsoon, and GOM SSTs/Bermuda High clearly in those averages.

FWIW the reason high temps begin to decline here in mid/late July is because humidity is increasing. Dews can peak a month later than temps in strong BH summers.

It’s wild that all the areas that have a summer peak after the first week of August are located on the Coast. The Washington and Oregon Coast along with the California Coast, Texas, Louisiana and South Florida all peak the latest.

PNW

Posted

HCS at the lake house. 

IMG_4062.jpeg

  • Sad 1

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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