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Pretty cool show on Rainier this afternoon!!!

Excellent Spring skiing yesterday at Stevens. 45 and sunny skies.

We still had over a foot of snowpack last year in twisp

Today = perfection. Morning clouds gave way to afternoon sunshine. Near 60. It’s why I live here.

It’s coming!!!!

Which of your 5 girlfriends took this pic?

And let us not forget the strongly worded later I sent to Pendleton NWS about the station at The Dalles spitting out lots of oddly warm numbers a few years ago. They said they would send a technician out to look at it, then miraculously within about a week the station fell back more in line with surrounding obs. They never followed up with exactly what work was needed, or what that technician did though.

From this To this

CanSIPs has been pretty aggressive about DJF for the past few months. Maybe more of a feedback thing than anything else, but always fun to dream.

Looks like things got pretty entertaining on the forum yesterday.. I got a hair cut Saturday and ended up with a hair clipping in my eye. Said eye got extremely pissed off, and I now officially have permission from my wife to talk like a pirate thanks the abrasion on my eyeball and eyepatch I am now wearing. Anyway, felt like crap yesterday and couldn't really read up on things. Ended up being a lot more cloudy up here Saturday and Sunday than I had anticipated, though it was nice and sunny the first half of Sunday. We had frost Saturday and Sunday morning, and we did make it up to 65 on Sunday though. 42 this morning under cloudy skies.

1.56" My heaviest rain only day since September 2022. Was pea sized hail twice. My pond jumped up 2 feet!

Another cooldown on the way after the storms, even some nighttime snow.

Look like it's 60, not 70F.

MODERATE RISK FOR OKLAHOMA

It was a record snow day for the Flagstaff area yesterday...not only that, but this brings the season total up to 103.1" with more to come today and yet another trough this coming weekend! This is the 1st time in decades that the FLG area has received back to back 100"+ seasons. As you can see below, last year was a bountiful 150"+ season as most of it fell in FEB/MAR, iirc.

holy ducting thunder batman. I felt that in my chest.

Nice day! And bloomage!

Colorful sunset.

It did, Randy!

The tornado watch for my area has been canceled. Moderate rain has stabilized the air and temps are in the upper 60s. I'm hoping for at least an inch of rain out of this system.

Tornado watch in effect until 11. Hi res models indicating 1 to 3 inches if rain also.

70F outside and mostly clear skies. I'm a bit sick today so I'm getting some sunshine and Vitamin D. It is great.

HCS at the lake earlier today.

12Z ECMWF also looks much less troughy for next week compared to its 00Z run.

Winter Storm Watch for Green Bay Area for 6-12 inches and 50 mph Winds WIZ013-020>022-031-037>040-045-048>050-073-074-020400- /O.NEW.KGRB.WS.A.0005.240402T1800Z-240403T1800Z/ Northern Marinette County-Menominee-Northern Oconto County-Door- Shawano-Waupaca-Outagamie-Brown-Kewaunee-Waushara-Winnebago- Calumet-Manitowoc-Southern Marinette County-Southern Oconto County- Including the cities of Waupaca, Brillion, Harmony, Fish Creek, Loomis, Wautoma, Neenah, Lakewood, Shawano, Kewaunee, Oconto, Peshtigo, Chilton, Little Suamico, Manitowoc, High Falls Reservoir, Redgranite, Luxemburg, Middle Inlet, Mountain, Townsend, Niagara, New London, Porterfield, Crivitz, New Holstein, Wausaukee, Appleton, Pensaukee, Clintonville, Green Bay, Neopit, Oshkosh, Sobieski, Brookside, Sister Bay, Two Rivers, Menasha, Sturgeon Bay, and Keshena 234 PM CDT Mon Apr 1 2024 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow and strong winds possible. Minor blowing and drifting snow. Total snow accumulations between 6 and 12 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, and northeast Wisconsin. * WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult. Aviation travel may see delays. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning

Sometimes I wonder what tweaks they make to the stations that we don’t know about. For years in the 2000s and early 2010s VUO was a massive warm outlier, but now it seems like their numbers have gone back to being more reasonable again. Now OLM is the one spitting out funky numbers more. And of course PDX and SEA have always been huge warm outliers for their respective metro areas, with all those sun soaked runways.

Euro isn't too different. Ditto Canadian

Today's op runs of the GFS and Euro are very different.

The warm front across my area may be a focal point tonight. @ReedTimmerUSA Follow UPDATE: I see three different corridors of TORNADO POTENTIAL: 1. central/northern OK through southeastern KS into southwestern MO along southern surface low track. 2. Red River/southern OK at the nose of expanding low-level jet 3. warm frontal zone along I-70 in Missouri

There were a few days early in the month that SLE really overachieved on some chilly high temps (or underachieved). The warm stretch wasn’t quite as ridiculous further down the valley too. It makes sense, is all I’m saying. I think Silver Falls will probably come in a little below average too.

Last time we had back to back nights with thunderstorms in March was 2010. Noticing a lot of similarities to that year, though timing shifted a few weeks.

Great call @Tom! Nothing like a wobbling warm front here!!! I just got raked best gully washer since June or longer! 1.32" and still not over! 2 rounds of pea size hail! FINALLY SOME RUN OFF FOR PONDS! KDMX - Super-Res Reflectivity 1, 10_52 PM.mp4

I hear they only have Coors Light. It is Hell after all.

It keeps raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and raining and 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Loving the sunshine. 56 with bluebird sky

ECMWF was much improved for eclipse day in Texas.

There's a tad of snow on Saddleback Mountain.

The first 1/2 of April is looking very dry right now, at face value.

Blame it on Jesse

Can't tell you how much this means to me to be able to track ULL's through the PHX Valley. This has to be the #3 or #4 ULL this season that tracked right overhead. Nature has been awesome for the SW region.

GFS/Euro/NAM all further NW with the low and defo band. Very narrow band of heavy snow but cut these totals in half on Kuchera and that’s still 6-8 inch storm for April

Beautiful shot….enjoyed as arrived home from PDX this evening. Rainer was wearing a nice little hat as well

No big changes on tomorrow evening. Dry line storms appear likely with large hail being the primary threat. My best guess on timing is 6 to 9 PM. We will see!

It’s more of a yuppie, 1% type place. They have the plebs grow their food other places.

What didn’t I elaborate on? I defined the SAO (think of it has a faster version of the QBO occurring higher up). Timing of +QBO transition matters because it affects tropical convection to some degree. Faster transition will boost off-equator convection and intensify the Walker Cell relative to the Hadley Cell, aiding the development of La Niña over the summer. Vice versa for a slower transition. Years like 2010 (with subtropics/PMM and ENSO in alignment) saw shear stress downwell very quickly. Where-as on the other end of the spectrum you have 1992. Of course there are multiple factors involved (inertia of thermocline/intensity of upwelling kelvin wave activity, in-situ state of the PMM, warm-water volume within the indo-pacific warm pool (and its overall structure), etc). But the QBO plays one of the more outsized role regarding how “well integrated” transitioning ENSO is with modes of extratropical circulation, which is very important for sensible weather in the PNW and other middle latitude regions. For instance, you can have a sharp transition from niño to niña, but the extratropics are somewhat dissociated and take longer to synchronize. A primary example of this is 1998. Where as 1973 and 2010 are very well integrated transitions.

Happy Easter!

And we did it ...LOWEST MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE RECORDS BROKEN OR TIED ON MAR 30 2024 ... LOCATION NEW RECORD OLD RECORD PERIOD OF RECORD ANAHEIM 56 63 IN 1998 1989 SANTA ANA 58 TIED 58 IN 1946 1906 NEWPORT BEACH 56 58 IN 1990 1921 VISTA 57 60 IN 1977 1957 CHULA VISTA 58 TIED 58 IN 1953 1918 RIVERSIDE 52 58 IN 1946 1893 LAKE ELSINORE 52 54 IN 1909 1897 SAN JACINTO 53 54 IN 1986 1948 ESCONDIDO 56 TIED 56 IN 1927 1893 RAMONA 53 57 IN 2008 1974 ALPINE 53 57 IN 1998 1951 BIG BEAR 36 38 IN 2016 1960 IDYLLWILD 40 43 IN 1977 1943 PALM SPRINGS 62 64 IN 1927 1893 THERMAL 68 70 IN 1967 1950 INDIO 61 68 IN 1975 1894 ...DAILY PRECIP RECORDS BROKEN ON MAR 30 2024 ... LOCATION NEW RECORD OLD RECORD PERIOD OF RECORD ANAHEIM 1.40 0.03 IN 2008 1989 SAN DIEGO 1.26 1.00 IN 1946 1875 VISTA 0.73 0.21 IN 1982 1957 CHULA VISTA 0.68 0.48 IN 1954 1918 RIVERSIDE 0.84 0.60 IN 1946 1893 SAN JACINTO 0.95 0.40 IN 1982 1948 RAMONA 1.22 0.25 IN 1978 1974 ALPINE 1.18 0.41 IN 1954 1951 PALM SPRINGS 0.03 0.02 IN 1978 1893

Rain is picking up, been windy all afternoon

Winter Storm Watch. Next county west is Blizzard Warning. Might get put in this later today, depending on models. Would be the 3rd blizzard this season. We can go several years without even one