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Major shift on the 12z EPS to lower heights over the West with rising heights in the SE compared to the 00z last night. Looking like a really fun mid month on through the Holidays. Perfect timing IMO!

I love when the low lying fog forms, so picturesque. The rising full moon only added to it!

Meant to post these earlier, but there were some great early season snow conditions up on Hood this weekend. Snowshoed the PCT in the Barlow Pass area, then to Enid Lake by Gov’t Camp for sunset. Easily 2+ snow around Barlow, maybe a foot or so near Gov’t.

We have a rare lake effect snow band sitting over us today with 15" of snow so far.

Low clouds and fog made for a neat scene at Cape Horn this afternoon. Managed to get a short hike in and catch the 4:45 pm moonrise at the end.

Zoom in on the snow...

Foggy right in Battle Ground, but just 3 miles east it was beautiful ground fog with frozen spider webs

GEFS control shows a strong retrogression signal beginning on Dec 9-10th with all the major players locking in the cold air with Arctic intrusions into the Northwest leading up to Christmas. This is just about the ideal scenario IMO!

Hey folks! As we have what might be our first big event of the season, I want to ask everyone their input to an idea and a favor. First, what are people's thoughts to kicking off a separate topic to track this storm? Not that we would kick people out of this thread, but having a thread where people can nowcast, hit repeatedly with maps and pictures, and something that would be easier to reference in the future. Secondly, please get the word out about the forum. I would like to see more people participate, new members on, and some old timers come out of hiding. We don't make mone

Briefly beautiful sunrise this morning. Shot from the car. You can even see the inverted shadow of Mt. Hood.

Crazy to think that just a week ago we were in the 70's all week! This turned out to be quite the ice storm to say the least. Ice accretion is around .5-.75" and trees are breaking like match sticks. Hoping to keep power today as school was called off. Correction: After doing the actual way, came out to .375" of ice.

All filters and manipulation here, sunrise was boring... It's already raining after this epic sunrise complete with the moon setting and a small rainbow to the west! Watermarks remain as I recently had a photo used nationally without my permission.

Don’t worry one bit and don’t shut up. Very few of us have passed through the Jesse gauntlet of perception/preference perfection and come out clean on the other side.

Today in Banff. Some guy took the pic on his way home from work. He has a sweet commute! Grabbed from Reddit.... thought I would share.

My phone cameras not super great but still got the moon and the planets.

Ahh Cape D! When I first started taking wave pictures there, I'd be the only one...now there is a row of photographers! This one worked best in black and white.

Made it down to the Long Beach Peninsula today, seemed fairly typical storm there, though a tree took out a major transmission line and a lot of the pen was out even after we left. Decent waves, but not the largest I've seen. Here's a couple of cell phone pics, almost 1,500 pics on the camera to go through! Surprised at the amount of downed trees too given this seemed fairly typical for the coast.

Probably going to be the theme of winter. Thanks for showing up in time while we were distracted by this impending windstorm to give us a few warm EPS maps. We can't have people get emotionally invested in this winter when all of the good models are telling us that nothing will happen. Thanks again buddy.

We went on Monday so it was chilly but there was a strong NW wind. There was some fresh snow on top of Table Mtn to the NE, and some very cool cloud formations ahead of the incoming system.

Since it'll be raining the next 7-10 days, here's another look at yesterday's sunrise.

Came to West Virginia last week and have been here since. I’ve been lucky to have a lot of time off with Covid. It’s easily the most beautiful place I’ve ever been. Too bad the storm wiped most of the leaves but I was able to get glimpses of it atleast! IMG_0768.MP4 IMG_0779.MP4

I’m pretty sure I can speak for everyone and say we’re all glad you post here. You do post valuable info here...it’s hard to know all the stats for your location unless your recording them and have access to records going back a long time.

Happy Thanksgiving everybody!

Happy Thanksgiving you goddamn savages.

I still find it interesting how nice quality the webcams are in Alaska, but on a pass that sees hundreds (or thousands?) of cars a day looks like it does...

Apparently a lightning bolt struck a tree on my parents property last night around 7PM, pretty close to their house. They said it sounded like it was right on top of them. Top branches of the tree are burned to a crisp and a sliver of the tree was carved out and fell off. Carnation always gets more interesting weather than Maple Valley. Should have never moved.

Beginning to look like Christmas in the Northwoods 3.5" down today after calling for snow showers.

While not the best here are some pictures of Lake Michigan today0

Meanwhile, in Spokane

I was able to make my work trip out to Kearney, NE this morning... lots of ice just west of Lincoln. Stopped in York to check in with a client, and was amazed at how much ice they accumulated out there overnight and this morning. The pictures turned out nicely as the sun came out as I was leaving town to jump back on I-80, which really wasn’t bad at all this morning.

1.41” of rain/freezing rain here so far. Crazy how much of a difference one or maybe two degrees make. looking at my weather station, the temperature was between 31.6-32.2 all night long while we’ve had .93” of the total rain since midnight. Bc it was so close to freezing we only got minimal accumulation on the trees and elevated surfaces. You go west from here about 20-30 miles and further and that’s where the major ice accumulations occurred. The first pic is from my house, the rest off of Twitter from areas west of here.

End of the past few GFS runs have that spooky "oh something is going to happen" feel. Cold building in Alaska, over and over and over again.

My buddies place in south Redmond Or. Current temp 33

Fog thick over Lake Washington, but crystal clear out over the Sound.

My Christmas lights are hot off the Amazon Sprinter van...Winter is saved! Going up now!

A lovely day up at Samish Bay! And a little snow up in the hills.

Happy Thanksgiving everyone! This year has been an unusual one, but as we celebrate the holiday today, I am ever so grateful to be alive, healthy and have such amazing family and friends....of course, I'm also grateful for all of you on here that contribute each and every day.

What I don't get is that we get a week of ridging and suddenly people are bringing up the CFS, Phil is throwing around 50 acronyms, Tim is posting again, and winter is #cancelled. It's super unlikely, in any climate, with any SST configuration, that there will be wall-to-wall troughing. That is just unrealistic. Was that just something people... expected? Honestly at a loss of words here.

Today the sun will rise at 12:54 in Barrow (Utqiagvik), Alaska and sets just 34 minutes later. It will be the last time the town sees the sun until January 22nd, 2021. Another interesting fact, the sun would not be visible above the horizon, but refraction from the earth's atmosphere bends the light so it is able to be seen. The sun never make it past -0.2 degrees BELOW the horizon. So, when you think it's dark and gloomy here...remember this

Did an interesting look at first year Ninas which followed a Nino. Looked at 11 examples dating back to 1951. One clear signal was for a wet November. At SLE November's during these years averaged 142% of average monthly Precip. December also has a strong signal for being wet, January tends more toward average. February has been the wildcard month, with some very dry ones, and also some of our wettest all time.

From Mark Nelsen!

Happy Veterans Day, friends! If you served in a branch of the Armed Forces, thank you for your service.

Got ours up yesterday before the big storm moved in!

Oh, are we just gonna share sunset pics now? These are from March, 2019. So maybe good sunsets immediately follow snowy periods?

Headed down to Omaha on Thursday and then KC. Gonna enjoy some upper 60s and low 70s for a few days before reality strikes again. Road trippin’ with the wife for a few days to get out of the house. Weather looks perfect for the drive.

Good Sunday morning. The GFS has been trending stronger and colder with our next system and could there be another tropical influence on this storm? As the models begin to digest the blocking this system could explode and be our first share the wealth storm of the season.