Deweydog Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 I'm taking solace in the fact that there have been a smattering of runs over the last 4-5 days that have warned us things could go this way. It's not like it's a completely new development. I would like to see the trends stabilize now though. Ensembles give me hope.Hindsight is always 20/20. I'll say I had no suspicion whatsoever of such an overall synoptic shift. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Total snow per the 12Z ECMWF... a little better for my area and central King County compared to the 00Z run. Still shows temperatures well above freezing around Seattle tomorrow so all of this snow will not make it until Monday. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 PDX will have to decouple well to get into the teens with the more modified air mass. Looks unlikely. Yeah for sure. Seems likely at some point they'll decouple enough to at least see upper teens at some point. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 What does the Euro snow map look like for the whole run? There should be an overrunning event for the Seattle area I would think.I guess I will have to answer this one myself. edit: Thank you Tim. I know it wasn't in response to my post but thanks anyway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Yeah for sure. Seems likely at some point they'll decouple enough to at least see upper teens.Ok. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Total snow per the 12Z ECMWF... a little better for my area and central King County compared to the 00Z run. Still shows temperatures well above freezing around Seattle tomorrow so all of this snow will not make it until Monday. That doesn't look terrible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 I really can't believe that the Portland NWS issued a WWA for widespread 1 to 2 inches. At this point they just seem like a bunch of weenies praying for snow every event. It seems kind of irresponsible for the general public. People will be all mad that the ground is bare. I guess they figure it would be more irresponsible to have people surprised by snow? They need a bit more Timmy and slightly less Heavy Snow over there. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 I guess I will have to answer this one myself. 12z EURO just started running. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Total snow per the 12Z ECMWF... a little better for my area and central King County compared to the 00Z run. Still shows temperatures well above freezing around Seattle tomorrow so all of this snow will not make it until Monday. Looks about right. Kinda what I have been anticipating. At least we will have a few cold days. Been fun! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Jim I give you props to always holding on to all hope until the ship is already underwater. Kudos to you and hope you're right. I am just struggling with how to deal with the 20foot wide whole in this ship we are riding. If the band keeps playing it will at least keep the passengers calm.You and Dewey have the best zingers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 12z Euro - Tuesday... Still cold but warming... Todays run... Previous run... Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 I guess I will have to answer this one myself. edit: Thank you Tim. I know it wasn't in response to my post but thanks anyway. That is only through Monday... its only out though about 84 hours. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 That doesn't look terrible. I think the I-90 corridor will be the best spot to be in King County. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Euro looks pretty darn similar to GFS at day 3. Low off NorCal is weaker, though. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 I think the I-90 corridor will be the best spot to be in King County. The hills near North Bend are usually a good bet. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 That is only through Monday... its only out though about 84 hours.Yeah, my internal clock was off an hour. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 I think the I-90 corridor will be the best spot to be in King County.Agreed... Pierce County will be the worst. Shadowing sucks Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 The hills near North Bend are usually a good bet.RMAOFL! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 The hills near North Bend are usually a good bet. If I were shopping for a house and loved snow and knew the area well... that would seem pretty obvious. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 WOW!! I can not believe the changes... SO much warmer. AMAZIN' -- Wednesday -- Here it comes! Todays run... Previous run.. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Wednesday low weaker and further south than GFS. Overall, pattern looks a bit more promising for a reload...lower heights further west over the continent than GFS. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Arctic front racing southward from just north of YVR 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Every run is getting better. We all have to love this!!! <_ src="%7B___base_url___%7D/uploads/emoticons/default_laugh.png" alt=":lol:"> Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Suppressed jet!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Jim I give you props to always holding on to all hope until the ship is already underwater. Kudos to you and hope you're right. I am just struggling with how to deal with the 20foot wide whole in this ship we are riding. If the band keeps playing it will at least keep the passengers calm. Still looks pretty good overall. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 I feel like the EURO is overly bullish with snow down here... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Euro definitely holds onto the cold air a little better compared to the 00z last night at day 4. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 If I were shopping for a house and loved snow and knew the area well... that would seem pretty obvious. Yup these days though you need to be willing to throw down at least 600K as an entry fee. Or you can rent a tiny apartment for 2500 a month! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 WOW!! I can not believe the changes... SO much warmer. AMAZIN' -- Wednesday -- Here it comes! Todays run... ecmwf_T850_nwus_5.png Previous run.. ecmwf_T850_nwus_6.png I think it is colder than the 00z though... 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Still looks pretty good overall.Sweet music Jim! I feel better. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Arctic front racing southward from just north of YVR Racing southward and blasting through and still will be in the mid to upper 30s down here tomorrow afternoon. Why can't cold air come in stronger and faster than the models show this year? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 I think it is colder than the 00z though...true. But the ECMWF has been slower all winter to show the transitions. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Arctic front racing southward from just north of YVR Still looks easily more impressive than any front so far this winter. There WILL be surprises. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Yup these days though you need to be willing to throw down at least 600K as an entry fee. I can't even imagine what a nice place near Seattle goes for these days...I know PDX is a bargain compared to Seattle. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Arctic front racing southward from just north of YVR"Like" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goducks09 Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 850s still warming on the Euro when compared to the 00z run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 I can't even imagine what a nice place near Seattle goes for these days...I know PDX is a bargain compared to Seattle. In King County you should be willing to spend at least 500K to buy a decent home. On the East Side probably at least 650K. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Thursday -- Here it comes! lol Gotta love the ever increasing warm up. PLAY THE MUSIC LOUDER!!!! Todays run... Previous run.. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 31, 2016 Report Share Posted December 31, 2016 Yup these days though you need to be willing to throw down at least 600K as an entry fee. Or you can rent a tiny apartment for 2500 a month! Not in the areas up from exit 32. And even in the cold pocket areas south of I-90 off exit 34. Both areas do amazingly well and you can find much less expensive homes. That area south of I-90 on exit 34 seems to be protected from the south wind entirely. I have seen my area lose all of our snow while that area holds onto their snow for days and sometime weeks longer than here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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