Jump to content

January 24th/25th Possible Winter Storm Probable Nebraska Screwjob

clintbeed1993

By clintbeed1993
in East of the Rockies

 Share

Recommended Posts

Grizzcoat Veteran

Grizzcoat

Posted
Posted

Euro raw #'s---  broken down into 3 hours and running precip totals--

 

DSM-

TUE 15Z 24-JAN  -0.6     1.9    1012      81      81    0.00     549     540    TUE 18Z 24-JAN   0.4    -0.1    1010      80      99    0.06     549     541    TUE 21Z 24-JAN   1.5     0.9    1005      79      85    0.09     546     542    WED 00Z 25-JAN   0.9    -1.8    1004      87     100    0.13     544     541    WED 03Z 25-JAN   0.6    -1.1    1002      95      98    0.22     542     540    WED 06Z 25-JAN   0.5    -1.4    1001      97      92    0.33     539     539    WED 09Z 25-JAN   0.4    -1.6     999      97      97    0.38     536     537    WED 12Z 25-JAN   0.4    -3.8    1000      96      95    0.40     534     534    WED 15Z 25-JAN   0.5    -4.9    1002      94      98    0.42     534     532    WED 18Z 25-JAN  -0.1    -5.2    1005      90      96    0.46     533     530    WED 21Z 25-JAN  -1.7    -5.7    1007      88      99    0.50     532     527    THU 00Z 26-JAN  -2.3    -6.0    1010      89      94    0.55     534     525    THU 03Z 26-JAN  -2.7    -7.6    1012      87      98    0.56     534     524    THU 06Z 26-JAN  -2.8    -9.6    1014      87      99    0.57     535     524    THU 09Z 26-JAN  -2.9   -10.9    1015      87      81    0.57     535     523
  • Like 1

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Replies 358
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

bud2380
bud2380

I live in Iowa. So I choose the north central region because it's the best view of Iowa. If you're gonna be a **** about I can stop posting and you can pay the $20/month to see it yourself.

Grizzcoat
Grizzcoat

Since I'am a nice guy-- here is MI along with New Brunswick for you and frankie macdonald..

hlcater
hlcater

Just noticed something, this map would likely be snow for quite a lot of IA, but eurowx is flagging it as rain because surface temps are 33-34, while temps at 925, 850 and 500 are all below zero(celsi

Posted Images

Grizzcoat Veteran

Grizzcoat

Posted
Posted

Just NW of DSM about 30 minutes near my pad--

PRO-

TUE 18Z 24-JAN   0.4    -0.6    1010      78      99    0.04     548     540    TUE 21Z 24-JAN   1.1     0.1    1005      79      93    0.10     546     541    WED 00Z 25-JAN   0.4    -2.3    1004      89     100    0.15     543     540    WED 03Z 25-JAN   0.2    -2.9    1003      95     100    0.28     541     538    WED 06Z 25-JAN   0.3    -2.5    1001      96      96    0.41     538     537    WED 09Z 25-JAN   0.3    -2.9    1000      96      94    0.44     536     536    WED 12Z 25-JAN   0.2    -4.3    1001      95      96    0.46     534     533    WED 15Z 25-JAN   0.1    -5.0    1003      93      95    0.49     534     531    WED 18Z 25-JAN  -1.2    -5.4    1005      89      96    0.53     533     529    WED 21Z 25-JAN  -2.2    -5.8    1008      89      98    0.58     533     526    THU 00Z 26-JAN  -2.7    -6.2    1011      89      94    0.63     534     525    THU 03Z 26-JAN  -3.1    -8.3    1013      87      99    0.63     534     524    THU 06Z 26-JAN  -3.1   -10.2    1014      88     100    0.64     535     524    THU 09Z 26-JAN  -3.3   -11.1    1015      88      72    0.65     535     523

OMA-

TUE 15Z 24-JAN  -1.0     0.2    1009      86     100    0.05     548     541    TUE 18Z 24-JAN   1.5     0.2    1006      78      91    0.10     547     542    TUE 21Z 24-JAN   1.8    -1.9    1002      80      86    0.16     543     542    WED 00Z 25-JAN   0.2    -2.8    1003      91     100    0.26     541     539    WED 03Z 25-JAN  -0.1    -2.5    1002      94      99    0.37     539     537    WED 06Z 25-JAN  -0.1    -3.1    1002      93      97    0.42     537     535    WED 09Z 25-JAN  -0.4    -5.0    1003      93      98    0.44     535     533    WED 12Z 25-JAN  -0.8    -6.1    1005      91      96    0.46     534     530    WED 15Z 25-JAN  -2.0    -6.7    1009      87      96    0.48     534     527    WED 18Z 25-JAN  -2.5    -7.1    1011      80      94    0.49     534     525    WED 21Z 25-JAN  -2.7    -7.8    1012      81      97    0.51     534     524    THU 00Z 26-JAN  -3.3    -8.0    1015      85      93    0.53     536     524    THU 03Z 26-JAN  -4.1    -9.7    1017      85      96    0.53     536     523    THU 06Z 26-JAN  -5.0   -10.2    1018      84      94    0.53     537     523    THU 09Z 26-JAN  -5.1   -10.3    1019      83      81    0.53     537     523    THU 12Z 26-JAN  -5.2   -10.0    1020      83      73    0.54     539     523    THU 15Z 26-JAN  -5.8    -9.1    1022      81      57    0.54     541     523

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Grizzcoat Veteran

Grizzcoat

Posted
Posted

LNK-

TUE 12Z 24-JAN  -2.0     2.1    1008      89      73    0.03     549     543    TUE 15Z 24-JAN  -1.2     1.0    1007      86      81    0.06     548     542    TUE 18Z 24-JAN   2.3    -0.7    1004      76      78    0.09     546     543    TUE 21Z 24-JAN   2.4    -2.4    1000      83      88    0.15     542     542    WED 00Z 25-JAN   0.3    -1.6    1002      95      96    0.22     540     539    WED 03Z 25-JAN  -0.6    -2.3    1003      93      88    0.29     539     537    WED 06Z 25-JAN  -0.8    -4.8    1004      92      95    0.31     537     534    WED 09Z 25-JAN  -1.0    -6.2    1005      88      97    0.31     536     531    WED 12Z 25-JAN  -1.4    -7.1    1008      84      89    0.32     535     529    WED 15Z 25-JAN  -2.7    -7.7    1011      77      88    0.32     535     526    WED 18Z 25-JAN  -2.3    -7.9    1014      67      98    0.33     535     524    WED 21Z 25-JAN  -2.5    -7.9    1014      68      93    0.34     535     524    THU 00Z 26-JAN  -3.9    -8.5    1017      77      98    0.34     537     523    THU 03Z 26-JAN  -4.8    -9.6    1019      78      99    0.35     537     523

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Grizzcoat Veteran

Grizzcoat

Posted
Posted

ALO-

TUE 21Z 24-JAN   2.1     0.1    1009      76      92    0.02     547     539    WED 00Z 25-JAN   0.8    -0.2    1007      90     100    0.05     545     540    WED 03Z 25-JAN   0.7    -3.4    1006      94     100    0.10     543     538    WED 06Z 25-JAN   0.8    -3.4    1003      97     100    0.27     541     538    WED 09Z 25-JAN   0.6    -3.0    1000      97     100    0.49     537     537    WED 12Z 25-JAN   0.5    -3.5     999      96      99    0.58     534     535    WED 15Z 25-JAN   0.7    -4.5    1000      95      97    0.66     533     534    WED 18Z 25-JAN   1.1    -5.1    1001      94      94    0.68     533     532    WED 21Z 25-JAN   1.1    -5.3    1003      95      96    0.70     532     530    THU 00Z 26-JAN  -1.2    -5.4    1006      91      98    0.72     532     527    THU 03Z 26-JAN  -2.3    -6.5    1009      89      99    0.73     532     525    THU 06Z 26-JAN  -3.1    -8.7    1010      88      98    0.75     532     524    THU 09Z 26-JAN  -3.8   -10.4    1012      88      73    0.75     533     524    THU 12Z 26-JAN  -3.3   -10.3    1013      88      56    0.76     534     524    THU 15Z 26-JAN  -4.5   -10.5    1016      86      48    0.76     536     524    THU 18Z 26-JAN  -4.3   -11.2    1017      83      38    0.76     538     524    THU 21Z 26-JAN  -4.5   -10.7    1018      82      67    0.76     538     524    FRI 00Z 27-JAN  -5.8   -10.9    1019      85      77    0.76     537     522    FRI 03Z 27-JAN  -6.9   -13.2    1019      82      47    0.76     534     519    FRI 06Z 27-JAN  -6.7   -15.7    1018      84      82    0.77     532     518

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
gabel23 Mentor

gabel23

Posted
Posted

ALO-

TUE 21Z 24-JAN 2.1 0.1 1009 76 92 0.02 547 539

WED 00Z 25-JAN 0.8 -0.2 1007 90 100 0.05 545 540

WED 03Z 25-JAN 0.7 -3.4 1006 94 100 0.10 543 538

WED 06Z 25-JAN 0.8 -3.4 1003 97 100 0.27 541 538

WED 09Z 25-JAN 0.6 -3.0 1000 97 100 0.49 537 537

WED 12Z 25-JAN 0.5 -3.5 999 96 99 0.58 534 535

WED 15Z 25-JAN 0.7 -4.5 1000 95 97 0.66 533 534

WED 18Z 25-JAN 1.1 -5.1 1001 94 94 0.68 533 532

WED 21Z 25-JAN 1.1 -5.3 1003 95 96 0.70 532 530

THU 00Z 26-JAN -1.2 -5.4 1006 91 98 0.72 532 527

THU 03Z 26-JAN -2.3 -6.5 1009 89 99 0.73 532 525

THU 06Z 26-JAN -3.1 -8.7 1010 88 98 0.75 532 524

THU 09Z 26-JAN -3.8 -10.4 1012 88 73 0.75 533 524

THU 12Z 26-JAN -3.3 -10.3 1013 88 56 0.76 534 524

THU 15Z 26-JAN -4.5 -10.5 1016 86 48 0.76 536 524

THU 18Z 26-JAN -4.3 -11.2 1017 83 38 0.76 538 524

THU 21Z 26-JAN -4.5 -10.7 1018 82 67 0.76 538 524

FRI 00Z 27-JAN -5.8 -10.9 1019 85 77 0.76 537 522

FRI 03Z 27-JAN -6.9 -13.2 1019 82 47 0.76 534 519

FRI 06Z 27-JAN -6.7 -15.7 1018 84 82 0.77 532 518

 

Did you mean olu? If so thanks, if not please give me Columbus. Thanks grizz!!!!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Grizzcoat Veteran

Grizzcoat

Posted
Posted

olu-

TUE 15Z 24-JAN  -1.6    -0.9    1008      86      98    0.05     546     540    TUE 18Z 24-JAN   0.5    -2.2    1005      76      98    0.08     544     540    TUE 21Z 24-JAN   0.4    -5.2    1003      81     100    0.18     541     539    WED 00Z 25-JAN  -1.0    -5.4    1004      92      99    0.32     539     536    WED 03Z 25-JAN  -1.4    -5.8    1005      92      96    0.38     538     534    WED 06Z 25-JAN  -1.6    -6.4    1006      90      97    0.40     537     532    WED 09Z 25-JAN  -1.8    -7.1    1007      89      94    0.41     535     529    WED 12Z 25-JAN  -3.4    -7.9    1010      86      91    0.42     534     527    WED 15Z 25-JAN  -4.8    -8.1    1013      82      90    0.43     534     524    WED 18Z 25-JAN  -4.9    -8.0    1015      78      99    0.44     535     523    WED 21Z 25-JAN  -4.4    -8.4    1016      79      97    0.45     536     523    THU 00Z 26-JAN  -5.0    -9.6    1018      83      97    0.46     537     523
  • Like 1

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Grizzcoat Veteran

Grizzcoat

Posted
Posted

MSP-

WED 00Z 25-JAN   0.4    -4.3    1011      79      69    0.00     543     535    WED 03Z 25-JAN  -0.1    -6.2    1010      84      70    0.01     542     533    WED 06Z 25-JAN  -0.4    -5.7    1009      88      85    0.04     539     532    WED 09Z 25-JAN  -1.0    -4.9    1007      90      99    0.10     537     531    WED 12Z 25-JAN  -2.1    -4.9    1007      87     100    0.17     535     529    WED 15Z 25-JAN  -3.2    -5.0    1007      85      98    0.24     534     528    WED 18Z 25-JAN  -1.7    -5.5    1007      76      88    0.27     533     528    WED 21Z 25-JAN  -0.5    -6.7    1007      71      96    0.28     533     527    THU 00Z 26-JAN  -1.9    -9.4    1009      74      77    0.28     533     526    THU 03Z 26-JAN  -2.5   -10.7    1010      78      59    0.28     533     525    THU 06Z 26-JAN  -2.5   -10.2    1011      81      46    0.29     534     525

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Grizzcoat Veteran

Grizzcoat

Posted
Posted

ord-  (even some wet snow?)

WED 03Z 25-JAN   2.2     0.2    1010      90      98    0.01     550     542    WED 06Z 25-JAN   2.0    -0.7    1008      91      96    0.02     548     541    WED 09Z 25-JAN   2.3    -0.3    1005      88      85    0.03     545     541    WED 12Z 25-JAN   2.2     1.6    1001      89      76    0.08     542     541    WED 15Z 25-JAN   3.0     2.8     998      90      55    0.14     538     540    WED 18Z 25-JAN   7.3     0.3     995      88      55    0.15     535     539    WED 21Z 25-JAN   4.6    -2.2     996      84      32    0.15     533     537    THU 00Z 26-JAN   3.3    -4.3     997      83      76    0.16     532     534    THU 03Z 26-JAN   1.4    -4.9     999      94      97    0.18     531     531    THU 06Z 26-JAN   1.2    -5.6    1001      93      97    0.21     530     529    THU 09Z 26-JAN   0.8    -6.0    1003      89      97    0.23     530     528    THU 12Z 26-JAN   0.1    -6.0    1006      86      91    0.24     531     526    THU 15Z 26-JAN  -0.4    -7.4    1009      78      93    0.25     532     525    THU 18Z 26-JAN   0.5    -8.9    1010      67      83    0.25     534     525    THU 21Z 26-JAN   0.8   -10.2    1011      55      45    0.26     535     526    FRI 00Z 27-JAN  -0.4   -10.4    1013      66      27    0.26     536     526    FRI 03Z 27-JAN  -2.0   -10.7    1014      77      28    0.26     536     525    FRI 06Z 27-JAN  -3.6    -9.6    1014      75      65    0.26     534     523    FRI 09Z 27-JAN  -5.0   -10.8    1014      71      66    0.26     531     520    FRI 12Z 27-JAN  -5.7   -16.1    1014      56      89    0.27     528     517    FRI 15Z 27-JAN  -4.4   -15.2    1013      56      90    0.27     527     517
  • Like 1

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
mlgamer Experienced

mlgamer

Posted
Posted

My lord, did the thread title actually work?

 

Careful, you don't want to jinx it before it happens!  :lol:

 

Congrats on you guys cashing in.  It will be 60 degrees today IMBY today.  Winter is like a forgotten memory here...

  • Like 1

23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24)

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Grizzcoat Veteran

Grizzcoat

Posted
Posted

Noticeable S shift when you compare older runs of the HRRR with newer ones.... Here in C.IA -- hope it's right and that the trends S continue. PL or sleet is likely to really eat into totals in spots but you got be near that at times to really cash in.

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Tom Grand Master

Tom

Posted
Posted

The lower ratio snows should condense into frozen concrete when the cold comes.  For those who get hit, you should be lucky enough to see snow OTG for several weeks the way the pattern is aligning as we head into Feb.  NE region may get a bit to volatile but from IA on north seems like it will be cold 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Grizzcoat Veteran

Grizzcoat

Posted
Posted

Seems the 12KM NAM went just a bump N,, but mainly the totals went down except the NW IA. The 3 and 4KM NAM continued the S and E shift.

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Tom Grand Master

Tom

Posted
Posted

06z RGEM...showing a signature where there may be thundersnow in IA...

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2017012406/rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ncus_8.png

 

 

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2017012406/rgem_asnow_ncus_16.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Bryan1117 Mentor

Bryan1117

Posted
Posted

Did 6+ area come south a bit on GFS?

It either looks like it came south a bit or expanded? Maybe the models are picking up on the possible convection later this afternoon/evening. The Omaha metro is right on the edge of the heavier band, a slight shift by 25-30 miles either way is going to make a huge difference. The bust potential on the southern end of this system is extremely high I would say.

 

I am in Sioux City currently, 31 degrees with a heavy band of snow just to the south about to move overhead. Leaving here in about an hour or so to drive back to Omaha before conditions really go downhill this afternoon.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Tom Grand Master

Tom

Posted
Posted

It either looks like it came south a bit or expanded? Maybe the models are picking up on the possible convection later this afternoon/evening. The Omaha metro is right on the edge of the heavier band, a slight shift by 25-30 miles either way is going to make a huge difference. The bust potential on the southern end of this system is extremely high I would say.

 

I am in Sioux City currently, 31 degrees with a heavy band of snow just to the south about to move overhead. Leaving here in about an hour or so to drive back to Omaha before conditions really go downhill this afternoon.

That band is producing 30+dbz rates, no doubt heavy snow is falling in that band.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Grizzcoat Veteran

Grizzcoat

Posted
Posted

12z HRRR at the end of the run

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hrrr/2017012412/hrrr_ref_frzn_us_17.png

 

Same time frame--- subtle shift S, but that is really going to be the difference for some.

hrrr_ref_frzn_us_15.png

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
NEJeremy Newbie

NEJeremy

Posted
Posted

we're even getting pretty close to the 6" line here in Omaha on the RGEM. My parents are in Yankton, SD right on the river with Nebraska and they're expecting 14" with localized areas of 18" :o I about drove up there this morning to experience a true snowstorm for the first time in a LONG time!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
 Share
Go to topic listing

  • Popular Contributors

  • Activity Stream

    1. 7457

      Polite Politics

      What are you talking about? I'm not taunting you at all. You are way off base here.
      roadtonowhere08 in Off Topic
    2. 2668

      April 2024 Weather in the PNW

      The GFS is really turning it around today. Let’s keep up JOEmentum
      Cascadia_Wx in West of the Rockies
    3. 2668

      April 2024 Weather in the PNW

      Up to 38 now, low of 30.
      Sunriver Snow Zone in West of the Rockies
    4. 7457

      Polite Politics

      Very true. The crazy thing is that as an American, I have seen my vacation time actually DECREASE since being bought out by a French Company. The site I worked at got closed and folks got absorbed into another division, and in the process my almost 6 weeks of PTO (I worked there 18 years) with a 6.5 week cap, got cut down to 4.5 weeks. The biggest thing I would love to see (not necessarily a French thing) would be a 4 day work week. My previous tenure at the company, I was salary and working with a Japanese customer. Since our Friday was their Saturday, we usually cut out about 1-2pm on Fridays. I worked briefly for a refinery services company and they did the same thing, working 9-ish hour days Monday through Thursday, then on Friday we would check in for a few hours in the morning then the rest of the day was ours. My current role, everything happens at 5pm on Friday.
      Chewbacca Defense in Off Topic
    5. 420

      Coming Economic/Markets Crash

      https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/04/26/trump-oust-powell-set-interest-rates-himself-secret-plan/ Talk about a plan to ruin the value of the dollar. When he was president, the man threatened the Reserve Chair to keep interest rates low.
      SnarkyGoblin in Off Topic
×
×
  • Create New...