Timmy Supercell Posted May 2, 2017 Report Share Posted May 2, 2017 Precipitable Water reaches 1.25" over PDX on Thursday looking at the current SREF run. Surface CAPE 1500 J/kg up and down the valleys, couple small spots of 1750 J/kg west of the Cascades. LI reaches -5 at peak. -4 in many areas. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Nature messed up... rain is too slow! Filtered sun still and 63 here and I am in the yard. Nice to get a small win once in awhile. I am sure rain will start soon though. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Nature messed up... rain is too slow! Filtered sun still and 63 here and I am in the yard. Nice to get a small win once in awhile. I am sure rain will start soon though. You should enjoy Thursday hopefully. T'storms definitely bring a different kind of rain than the typical kinds. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 You should enjoy Thursday hopefully. T'storms definitely bring a different kind of rain than the typical kinds. Yes... but at this point it would be really nice to have the warmest day of the year not crash into heavy rain in the late afternoon. Normally I would be much more interested. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Yes... but at this point it would be really nice to have the warmest day of the year not crash into heavy rain in the late afternoon. Normally I would be much more interested.Spoiled pansy. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Yes... but at this point it would be really nice to have the warmest day of the year not crash into heavy rain in the late afternoon. Normally I would be much more interested. Convective precip is much more hit or miss (usually) compared to stratiform, though. Hard to say who will get heavy rain, but probably not everyone, at least for long. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Wonder how Thursday will stack up to June 4, 2009 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Spoiled pansy. Shut up. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Shut up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Wonder how Thursday will stack up to June 4, 2009I found myself wondering the same thing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Wonder how Thursday will stack up to June 4, 2009 Anything more than pea-sized hail would be quite destructive to the blueberries, apples, and plums right now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Anything more than pea-sized hail would be quite destructive to the blueberries, apples, and plums right now.I imagine they get some pretty wicked thunderstorms/big hailstones at times in Heaven (Charleston, SC). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Wonder how Thursday will stack up to June 4, 2009I've mentioned this before on this forum, but that was another sad frog day for Eugene. A heavy cell was headed straight for Eugene, but right before it got here it split in two. One cell to the west went on to produce a tornado. The other cell to the east had almost golf ball sized hail. I received one thunder. That's it. And I love tstorms. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Wonder how Thursday will stack up to June 4, 2009 That was also a THURSDAY too! Coincidence.... Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 I've mentioned this before on this forum, but that was another sad frog day for Eugene. A heavy cell was headed straight for Eugene, but right before it got here it split in two. One cell to the west went on to produce a tornado. The other cell to the east had almost golf ball sized hail. I received one thunder. That's it. And I love tstorms. That also kind of happened in the PDX area. The giant squall went into two sections (Washington/Yamhill and Clackamas/Multnomah ) That was unfortunate. But I did get 55-60 mph outflow winds in Hillsboro and an amazing shelf/roll cloud display. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 I imagine they get some pretty wicked thunderstorms/big hailstones at times in Heaven (Charleston, SC). Not to mention this. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4_vpeL64ko Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 I imagine they get some pretty wicked thunderstorms/big hailstones at times in Heaven (Charleston, SC).So funny... you are insanely defensive about the PNW. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Not to mention this. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4_vpeL64koAwesome city. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 So funny... you are insanely defensive about the PNW. Not at all. It's more your compulsive drive to show us how bad we are that's humorous. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Not at all. It's more your compulsive drive to show us how bad we are that's humorous. How bad? Not sure where I do that. I praise lots of things about this area. Good and bad everywhere. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Awesome city.Of course it's a nice city. But definitely vulnerable to some nasty, damaging weather. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Wonder how Thursday will stack up to June 4, 2009 5/21/2006 might be a good analog. S-N moving severe warned storms in the valley. That was a fun evening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 That was also a THURSDAY too! Coincidence.... I remember I was fishing at the Wheatland Ferry on the Willamette river that day for smallies. It was hot and muggy. The severe tstorm watch was posted and the rest was history. Impressive storm, very strong winds and almost an inch of rain. Best t storm day ever here was in September 2013 though. Mesoscale convection, intense heavy rain, over 3" and constant thunder for hours. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 So funny... you are insanely defensive about the PNW. Most people here are pretty IMBY and rooting for the home team - especially the Portland area. Nothing wrong with that. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 5/21/2006 might be a good analog. S-N moving severe warned storms in the valley. That was a fun evening. 05/19/1993 also. Described on NCDC Storm Events Database as a "midwest like squall line" in the Willamette Valley. Isolated reports of golfball size hail and high winds. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 5/21/2006 might be a good analog. S-N moving severe warned storms in the valley. That was a fun evening.I remember that one well too. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Most people here are pretty IMBY and rooting for the home team - especially the Portland area. Nothing wrong with that. I would say Seattle and Belligham are just as homerish. No need to single a particular area out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 The drizzly, gloomy transition to this warm pattern, and then the very short lived nature of the warm airmass coming up, is interesting. Brought to mind the mid-May 2008 heatwave. I will never forget sitting under warm frontal drizzle with temps in the 50s then hitting mid-90s a few days later (with an unseasonably muggy airmass, as this one looks to be). This one obviously won't get as warm, but the spike and drop will be even more dramatic. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Here are some of the most picturesque tornado photos ever taken in the western PNW lowlands. First, the EF3 that struck Kent, WA in Dec 1969. Second, the EF-1 that hit Gig Harbor, WA in Jan 2015. Third, the EF-2 in Aumsville, OR in Dec 2010. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 I would say Seattle and Belligham are just as homerish. No need to single a particular area out. I was defending you. Now you may be proving Tim's point of being overly defensive. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Then of course we have the devastating trio of twisters that struck Charleston, SC in August 2014. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Of course it's a nice city. But definitely vulnerable to some nasty, damaging weather. No kidding. And downtown Seattle has nicer weather than all of the surrounding areas. Stating the obvious. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Not sure what's so bad about a little rain, this has been a pretty typical spring overall; maybe even a bit below average in the rain shadow. At least other areas have actually had all the activity materialize into substantial rainfall. Here it just turns into a sunny or partly cloudy day with mabye only 5F in temperature gain over other areas getting rained on; it's a shame we can't pull off full Chinook conditions off the Olympics like areas east of the Rockies often get with 20F+ jumps in temperature. Gets repetitive and boring, worse yet it could exaggerate summer drought conditions. Be thankful if you're not in the rain shadow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 The drizzly, gloomy transition to this warm pattern, and then the very short lived nature of the warm airmass coming up, is interesting. Brought to mind the mid-May 2008 heatwave. I will never forget sitting under warm frontal drizzle with temps in the 50s then hitting mid-90s a few days later (with an unseasonably muggy airmass, as this one looks to be). This one obviously won't get as warm, but the spike and drop will be even more dramatic. This is no 2008. There have been almost no swings and no real cold or warmth. Just consistently normal temps with lots of rain. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 No kidding. And downtown Seattle has nicer weather than all of the surrounding areas. Stating the obvious. The hills near North Bend get more snow than everyone else and have the pics to prove it! Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 This is no 2008. There have been almost no swings and no real cold or warmth. Just consistently normal temps with lots of rain. He was talking about the big swing coming up, doofus. Compared to the mid May 2008 event. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 I was defending you. Now you may be proving Tim's point of being overly defensive.Stop trying to frame things a certain way. You said Portland in particular is homerish. All I said is there was no reason to single out a specific area. Just ask all of the people from the Seattle area who gave this regionally very good winter an F because it didn't snow as much in a relatively narrow urban corridor who's homerish. Like you said. It isn't a bad thing. Human nature. But it seemed odd to throw the "especially Portland" comment in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 Not sure what's so bad about a little rain, this has been a pretty typical spring overall; maybe even a bit below average in the rain shadow. At least other areas have actually had all the activity materialize into substantial rainfall. Here it just turns into a sunny or partly cloudy day with mabye only 5F in temperature gain over other areas getting rained on; it's a shame we can't pull off full Chinook conditions off the Olympics like areas east of the Rockies often get with 20F+ jumps in temperature. Gets repetitive and boring, worse yet it could exaggerate summer drought conditions. Be thankful if you're not in the rain shadow Constant trolling now. Record setting wet spring outside of a tiny area to the NE of the Olympics. About as far from "typical" as possible in terms of rain in many areas. And back-to-back record setting rainy seasons. It does not get any wetter. And we live a in a normally very wet place. Don't talk stupid about being typical overall when you know you are talking about your backyard... and not even as far as the Victoria airport. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 He was talking about the big swing coming up, doofus. Compared to the mid May 2008 event. 2008 was full of swings. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 3, 2017 Report Share Posted May 3, 2017 2008 was full of swings.I wasn't comparing the whole season. Just the event itself. This spring has been much more consistently rainy/slightly below average. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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