Jesse Posted April 23, 2018 Report Share Posted April 23, 2018 Highs and lows. PDX and/or SEA. Tomorrow through Saturday. Entries due tonight at midnight. Or whenever. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 23, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 23, 2018 SEA: 4/24 - 75/474/25 - 77/524/26 - 80/524/27 - 65/504/28 - 56/47 PDX: 4/24 - 83/484/25 - 85/514/26 - 79/534/27 - 62/504/28 - 58/47 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 23, 2018 Report Share Posted April 23, 2018 I’m in. Will mull over the data, meditate, and brb. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 24, 2018 Report Share Posted April 24, 2018 I'll have my submission before midnight. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 24, 2018 Report Share Posted April 24, 2018 Must__not__let__frontal__snowsquall__win. Waiting for the ECMWF to come in before throwing down. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 24, 2018 Report Share Posted April 24, 2018 SEA: 4/24 - 75/504/25 - 71/504/26 - 80/514/27 - 61/494/28 - 53/47 PDX: 4/24 - 83/534/25 - 86/564/26 - 85/544/27 - 60/504/28 - 57/47 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 24, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 24, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 24, 2018 Report Share Posted April 24, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 24, 2018 Report Share Posted April 24, 2018 30mins late, hope that doesn’t disqualify me. SEA: 76/4874/5180/5464/5458/49 PDX: 81/5185/5386/5559/5458/53 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted April 24, 2018 Report Share Posted April 24, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 24, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 24, 2018 30mins late, hope that doesn’t disqualify me. SEA: 76/4874/5180/5464/5458/49 PDX: 81/5185/5386/5559/5458/53Nah, you’re good. Few enough people participated that it wouldn’t make sense to disqualify anyone. Snowsquall may be getting sued by Jim Cantore, though. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 24, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 24, 2018 Frontal snow squall possibly writes the forecast for the weather channel. What’s with the drop off tomorrow?A frontal soundsquall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 24, 2018 Report Share Posted April 24, 2018 Frontal snow squall possibly writes the forecast for the weather channel. What’s with the drop off tomorrow?Both the ECMWF and GFS have a slightly deeper boundary layer tomorrow over SEA, for whatever reason. I don’t understand PNW climo well at all, but I factored it in somewhat. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 24, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 24, 2018 Both the ECMWF and GFS have a slightly deeper boundary layer tomorrow over SEA, for whatever reason. I don’t understand PNW climo well at all, but I factored it in somewhat.Probably the weak shortwave brushing us to the north and east. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 24, 2018 Report Share Posted April 24, 2018 Probably the weak shortwave brushing us to the north and east.Ah. Your climate is a b*tch to figure out. I would think that with the Pacific Ocean upstream, that a shortwave graze would increase mid-level moisture draw, but that’s not what last night’s soundings showed, despite the lower sfc temps. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted April 24, 2018 Report Share Posted April 24, 2018 Both the ECMWF and GFS have a slightly deeper boundary layer tomorrow over SEA, for whatever reason. I don’t understand PNW climo well at all, but I factored it in somewhat.Hmm. Maybe it’s a Puget Sound thing. I’d be surprised if tomorrow isn’t as warm or warmer than today up this way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted April 25, 2018 Report Share Posted April 25, 2018 Why the slightly cooler day on Wednesday before the big crash on Friday? Dirty ridge? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 25, 2018 Report Share Posted April 25, 2018 Looks like 77/49 at SEA and 80/53 at PDX today unless rounding ups the highs a degree. Right now the unofficial standings after day 1: Phil: -5FrontalSnowsquall:-6Jesse: -12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 25, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 25, 2018 Looks like 77/49 at SEA and 80/53 at PDX today unless rounding ups the highs a degree. Right now the unofficial standings after day 1: Phil: -5FrontalSnowsquall:-6Jesse: -12I biffed it on the low. Should have trusted my phone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 25, 2018 Report Share Posted April 25, 2018 I biffed it on the low. Should have trusted my phone.Those east winds never really died down. Deep/dry mixing layer was later revealed on the soundings. FrontalSnowSquall’s phone is a genius. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 25, 2018 Report Share Posted April 25, 2018 Hmm. Maybe it’s a Puget Sound thing. I’d be surprised if tomorrow isn’t as warm or warmer than today up this way.I have no clue why..maybe it’s just wrong. Most models still have it cooler at the surface in Seattle tomorrow, but hotter in Portland. For whatever reason. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 25, 2018 Report Share Posted April 25, 2018 I biffed it on the low. Should have trusted my phone.Those east winds never really died down. Deep/dry mixing layer was later revealed on the soundings. FrontalSnowSquall’s phone is a genius.TWC is my all time favorite weather app. I love all the different weather features it has. Other the years I've found their forecast to be the most accurate especially if you're not familiar with a specific location. For PDX though, I put a little more weight on the KPTV forecast, especially if it's Mark's. All the other stations forecast aren't as accurate IMHO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 25, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 25, 2018 TWC is my all time favorite weather app. I love all the different weather features it has. Other the years I've found their forecast to be the most accurate especially if you're not familiar with a specific location. For PDX though, I put a little more weight on the KPTV forecast, especially if it's Mark's. All the other stations forecast aren't as accurate IMHO.Yeah, but the point of a forecast contest is making your own forecast. If those numbers end up the closest TWC wins, not you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 25, 2018 Report Share Posted April 25, 2018 Yeah, but the point of a forecast contest is making your own forecast. If those numbers end up the closest TWC wins, not you. Ok fair point. I wasn't going to make a forecast for SEA but at the last minute changed my mind and was sleepy. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 25, 2018 Report Share Posted April 25, 2018 Now you guys know my secret to winning so many of these contests... Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 25, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 25, 2018 SEA is up to 75 and will probably rise another degree or two. I am rooting for them to get warmer today so they are closer to my forecast of 77 and farther from 71. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 26, 2018 Report Share Posted April 26, 2018 SEA is up to 75 and will probably rise another degree or two. I am rooting for them to get warmer today so they are closer to my forecast of 77 and farther from 71. Looks like the high was 75. So that weird mini-cooldown on the models was for real. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 26, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 26, 2018 Looks like the high was 75. So that weird mini-cooldown on the models was for real.Yeah, although Cantore oversold it by a few degrees. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 26, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 26, 2018 Unofficial numbers for today so far: 84/52 at PDX 75/51 at SEA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 26, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 26, 2018 Unofficial numbers for today so far: 84/52 at PDX 75/51 at SEA These numbers are now official, which would put the day 2 standings at: Phil: -8Jesse: -17Frontalsnowsquall: -17 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 26, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 26, 2018 Tomorrow could be rough for me if that marine push comes in too late. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 26, 2018 Report Share Posted April 26, 2018 These numbers are now official, which would put the day 2 standings at: Phil: -8Jesse: -17Frontalsnowsquall: -17Phil is blowing us out of the water! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 27, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 27, 2018 I screwed up bad today. Just 25 miles shy of a high in the 70s. At least there were no 90s! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 27, 2018 Report Share Posted April 27, 2018 I screwed up bad today. Just 25 miles shy of a high in the 70s. At least there were no 90s!The atmosphere screwed up, not you! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 27, 2018 Report Share Posted April 27, 2018 Based on today’s preliminary numbers: Jesse - 28 FrontalSquall - 22 Phil - 15 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 27, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 27, 2018 I suck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 27, 2018 Report Share Posted April 27, 2018 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 27, 2018 Report Share Posted April 27, 2018 We’re all taking a beating today. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 27, 2018 Report Share Posted April 27, 2018 TWC FTW! Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 27, 2018 Report Share Posted April 27, 2018 Now you guys know my secret to winning so many of these contests...Maybe I’m missing the joke, but can’t recall you ever winning a forecast contest. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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