11/19 - 11/22 Arklatex Low - Great Lakes/OHV Cutter???

[Bryan1117]

Ended up with 0.40” total from this system… not going to lie, I expected much less than that. We will take it!

[Grizzcoat]

.07" at KDSM.  18 days with not even a trace of precip broken with .07".  Last stretch longer than this 18 day stretch was 20 days from Sept 30 - Oct 19th 2015.  ( crappy winter)

There have been only 18 stretches of 18 or more consecutive days of no precip in the Des Moines climo record.

The longest on record is 25 days. NWS didn't say the year.

[OttumwaSnomow]

2 hours ago, Grizzcoat said:

.07" at KDSM.  18 days with not even a trace of precip broken with .07".  Last stretch longer than this 18 day stretch was 20 days from Sept 30 - Oct 19th 2015.  ( crappy winter)

There have been only 18 stretches of 18 or more consecutive days of no precip in the Des Moines climo record.

The longest on record is 25 days. NWS didn't say the year.

 

I recorded .35 for this system.    I had 24 consecutive  days without  1 drop.  I have 8 straight  months with below avg precip.

OTM  has 18.08" for the year 2023.

OTM yearly deficit  now sits at 16.81" and sad to say climbing. 

While I keep hear that Iowa and the midwest  is becoming  wetter with climate  change. I see just the opposite  in my area. 8 of the past 12 years have been below  avg precip. And the 4 wet years WERE NOT MUCH WETTER THAN THE AVERAGES.  I have no clue what is going on. I have no clue why one of the farthest  south  and east parts of Iowa  can be the driest?  My company  has literally  lost millions  in revenue.  And theres no insurance  as with Ag crops.  In 2017 wapello  and davis counties  were declared federal  disasters and after 60 pages of paperwork we didn't  get 1 cent. But in 2020  bankers begged us to tap into the Covid relief by the 10s of thousands.   Twisted place!

If someone  knows of a higher rainfall deficit  in the plains/midwest than the OTM 16.81 please let me know.  OTM WILL PROBABLY  RUN A 31 OR 32 INCH DEFICIT  FOR 2022/2023. UNREAL!

[jaster220]

Not too far off the forecasted 0.5-1" issued by DTX for this event, but at 0.47" here it certainly was opposite of what I was hoping for. As per usual/typical with these larger S Streamers, the best forcing & duration bisected SMI in a strip from the bottom of Lake Michigan NE towards Saginaw Bay. Along that axis you can find the 1"+ totals I was hoping for here. It also appears that some of the larger numbers put up were in those two regions and likely the lake waters with a NE wind made some contribution. 

@Tom Looks like the slight "bump" N in the jet stream would've been winter magic for a good portion of Chicago. The SW side put up some of the highest numbers. This reminds me a bit of the 2/24-25 2016 storm that @Hoosier was referring to from the strong Nino analogs. 

[jaster220]

LES bands streaming across NMI, where I hope to living soon.

[Tom]

7 hours ago, jaster220 said:

Not too far off the forecasted 0.5-1" issued by DTX for this event, but at 0.47" here it certainly was opposite of what I was hoping for. As per usual/typical with these larger S Streamers, the best forcing & duration bisected SMI in a strip from the bottom of Lake Michigan NE towards Saginaw Bay. Along that axis you can find the 1"+ totals I was hoping for here. It also appears that some of the larger numbers put up were in those two regions and likely the lake waters with a NE wind made some contribution. 

@Tom Looks like the slight "bump" N in the jet stream would've been winter magic for a good portion of Chicago. The SW side put up some of the highest numbers. This reminds me a bit of the 2/24-25 2016 storm that @Hoosier was referring to from the strong Nino analogs. 

Yup, ORD did good with 1.05" along with a raw NE wind off the lake....it was probably one of those gloomy depressing autumn days that I'm glad I wasn't around for! 

[jaster220]

On 11/22/2023 at 5:07 PM, Tom said:

Yup, ORD did good with 1.05" along with a raw NE wind off the lake....it was probably one of those gloomy depressing autumn days that I'm glad I wasn't around for! 

I'm dreaming of a solid 1" qpf event (non-summer convection). Over here it seems hard to achieve. Gone many months with smaller events. What was fairly common place in Marshall seems to be a challenge here. I think maybe we had one last Nov or Dec. Will have to look. 

Edit- Sort of correct. No 1"+ events this autumn yet, but last winter (more wet than white here) we were able to score about one event per month. This autumn has been noticeably drier and the deficit is growing at -2.63" for SON.

[Hawkeye]

I got 0.24" from this system.