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May 2024 Pacific Northwest Weather


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Through day 12... the EPS and control run are much more troughy than the 00Z run.   Second ridge is basically gone.   

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1715256000-1715256000-1716271200-10.gif

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Test run before they reintroduce 50 into SILVER FALLS STATE PARK, Andrew.

Seems like a great idea. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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22 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Who cares about sunscreen when only 2.5% of your skin is exposed?

The facial area is the most sensitive to the UV rays because it’s thin skin compared to other parts of the body. I personally don’t wear sunscreen unless I’m going to be out in the sun all day then I’ll put some only on my face. 

 

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2 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

12Z EPS is significantly cooler and wetter next week and beyond. 
 

 

IMG_2402.png

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Some warmer members in there... hope springs eternal!

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Salem sensor is out. What the heck. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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42 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Looks like Tillamook 

image.gif

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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The deck is once again sporting patio furniture after that long stretch of rain and cold! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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I am now in the unfortunate position of being on Team GEFS.   The 12Z run was significantly warmer than its 00Z run.    

gfs-ensemble-all-KSEA-daily_tmin_tmax-5256000 (1).png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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73 and sunny... more Cottonwood puff balls today than yesterday.   Beautiful May day.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I am now in the unfortunate position of being on Team GEFS.   The 12Z run was significantly warmer than its 00Z run.    

gfs-ensemble-all-KSEA-daily_tmin_tmax-5256000 (1).png

Lot of back and forth on all models for the 7-12 day time period. Not sure I believe anything right now.

PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events)

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14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I am now in the unfortunate position of being on Team GEFS.   The 12Z run was significantly warmer than its 00Z run.    

gfs-ensemble-all-KSEA-daily_tmin_tmax-5256000 (1).png

10 straight 70+ days in May...not likely.

Last May pulled it off, but even other very warm Mays like 2019, 2018, or 2016 didn't get close.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Through day 12... the EPS and control run are much more troughy than the 00Z run.   Second ridge is basically gone.   

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1715256000-1715256000-1716271200-10.gif

At least I get a trough too. I don’t mind sharing the blessings. 🥰 

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13 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

10 straight 70+ days in May...not likely.

Last May pulled it off, but even other very warm Mays like 2019, 2018, or 2016 didn't get close.

That is why I said the unfortunate position on being on Team GFS.   😃

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Flight out of NOLA delayed and we will likely miss our connecting flight in SLC. I guess we can hitchhike to Portland?

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Just now, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

FYI. MEGA Solar storm tomorrow night. 

Last I heard, Sunday night was forecast to be the best chance for a light show. Planning to go camping away from the city lights in hopes of seeing one.

It's called clown range for a reason.

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Some as$hole blasting experimental jazz right behind me at the airport gate. This shitt should not be allowed.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Flight out of NOLA delayed and we will likely miss our connecting flight in SLC. I guess we can hitchhike to Portland?

Which airline?

Hopefully they are not @sshol3s about it and will put you up for free in an SLC hotel.

It's called clown range for a reason.

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The deck is actually too hot on my bare feet.  This was not a problem earlier in the week.   It needs to be in the 40s and raining all summer.   That will solve this problem!

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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7 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Last I heard, Sunday night was forecast to be the best chance for a light show. Planning to go camping away from the city lights in hopes of seeing one.

Friday night. First G4 watch since 2005. 

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PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events)

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3 hours ago, bainbridgekid said:

Not really. Almost a clipper type marine push that comes in from the NW so it mainly impacts Seattle North.

GFS also puts a sort of deformation/convergence band North of Seattle with ~0.6" of rain for Everett Sunday night. Euro is also much less dramatic and pretty dry though.

 

qpf_acc-imp.us_state_wa (14).png

Waters may have rough  waves though due to storm going north

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35 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Which airline?

Hopefully they are not @sshol3s about it and will put you up for free in an SLC hotel.

Delta. The next flight out of SLC to PDX isn’t until at least 9AM tomorrow morning.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Just to add to the model riding fun... the 18Z GFS is coming in even more amplified than the 12Z run by the middle of next week.

I am also on Team 18Z GFS!   Likely stuck on the losing side this time around.

gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-5796000.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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11 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Delta. The next flight out of SLC to PDX isn’t until at least 9AM tomorrow morning.

Oh, then there’s a very good chance they put you up for free. Delta has been good to me the times I’ve had a flight plan on their airline go awry. Talk to a Delta agent when you land in SLC and explain what happened.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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Looks like El Nino is gone around Nino Region 3.4. Monday reading was +0.6C probably +0.4C now. I expect La Nina definitely to be in place by time we start August!!!. 

ssta.daily.current.png

Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft

Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft

☥𓂀✡️

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Found a solution to the hot deck problem.   Ingenious invention!

20240509_153726.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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