Tom Posted December 24, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 24, 2014 It almost looks like the precip in S IL is moving NNW instead of due north like the HRRR is showing... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted December 24, 2014 Report Share Posted December 24, 2014 RAP has been continuously slowing down the low's progression northward & even nudging it a bit to the west, upon comparison of RAP runs from 22z to 04z, all valid at 08z. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 24, 2014 Report Share Posted December 24, 2014 A bit off topic, but the dying piece of energy still giving us snow in Central Iowa. Much more than was anticipated. Anywhere from 1 1/4" to 2 1/2" throughout the metro. So, don't give up hope...the models can be wrong even 12 hours out as nobody here was expecting more than a half inch in the DSM metro. Happy Festivus to the Iowans!!! Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 24, 2014 Report Share Posted December 24, 2014 Sorry to the Chicago folks on here,,, especially the suburbs to the west. From the LOT disco this AM: IT APPEARS THAT MANY AREAS ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS MAY SEE LITTLEIF ANY SNOW OUT OF THIS SYSTEM...AND THIS COULD POSSIBLY BE THE CASEINTO PORTIONS OF THE CHICAGO METRO AREA AS WELL. THE BEST CHANCESFOR SNOW NOW LOOK TO BE ACROSS NORTHWESTERN INDIANA AND ADJACENTAREAS OF EASTERN ILLINOIS. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sven Posted December 24, 2014 Report Share Posted December 24, 2014 Go to bed grizz...I should have but one last check to see if E. NE. had anything besides pacific northwest rain and cold yielded negative results. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 24, 2014 Report Share Posted December 24, 2014 I work graveyard. I will go to bed when my shift ends. Just stating what is posted from local NWS sites. This site at times is so much "wish casting" -- truth is at times hard to discern. Seems when something is posted that says no/little snow for a certain area-- it gets blasted. Just trying to keep it real. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 24, 2014 Report Share Posted December 24, 2014 I guess totally ignoring globals/euro was not a good thing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted December 24, 2014 Report Share Posted December 24, 2014 The Euro shall regain its crown Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted December 24, 2014 Report Share Posted December 24, 2014 It almost looks like the precip in S IL is moving NNW instead of due north like the HRRR is showing... I think it looks more NNE instead of NNW but I could be wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted December 24, 2014 Report Share Posted December 24, 2014 I'm so glad this system will pass and we will move on lol. It's been impossible to track and keep up with since day 1. Right when there was some consistency with the models they changed at the last second. While the Euro did stay steady the last couple of days it wasn't very consistent before then. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 24, 2014 Report Share Posted December 24, 2014 On to the next storm. Its been a bad setup from the start even though it looked great for about a day or two. Merry Christmas to all. Safe travels!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 24, 2014 Report Share Posted December 24, 2014 Man, this storm really pooped the bed. No cold air, strung out energy, etc. Time to move on to the next clunker. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 24, 2014 Report Share Posted December 24, 2014 I'm so glad this system will pass and we will move on lol. It's been impossible to track and keep up with since day 1. Right when there was some consistency with the models they changed at the last second. While the Euro did stay steady the last couple of days it wasn't very consistent before then. Well said. I can't find any reports of snow from this system. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted December 24, 2014 Report Share Posted December 24, 2014 from LOT:ITS LIKELY THAT THE PLENTIFUL CONVECTION NEAR THE GULF COAST YESTERDAY INTO LAST NIGHTPLAYED A ROLE IN A FARTHER EAST LOW PRESSURE TRACK THANEXPECTED...AS WELL AS DISRUPTING THE MORE RAPID INSENSIFICATION OFTHE UPPER LEVEL AND SURFACE CIRCULATION. THIS IS KEY BECAUSE THEDRIVER OF WHAT WAS ANTICIPATED TO BE A FLIP TO WET SNOW WASDYNAMIC COOLING IN AN INTENSE FGEN DRIVEN DEFORMATION BAND TOOVERCOME THE MILD LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 24, 2014 Report Share Posted December 24, 2014 There's a chance of snow over the weekend maybe. The GGEM shows and inch or two.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted December 24, 2014 Report Share Posted December 24, 2014 jerry taft of wls tv just said that two scenario that 1 no cold air to help with the storm and 2 there wasn't no moisture to feed into the storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 25, 2014 Report Share Posted December 25, 2014 jerry taft of wls tv just said that two scenario that 1 no cold air to help with the storm and 2 there wasn't no moisture to feed into the storm. Storm did not develop quick enough, therefore it didn't generate it's own cold air and that caused the shift east. I would say as far as consistency, the EURO and GGEM did the best. All the models messed up on the snowfall accumulations though. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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