Super Bowl Weekend Major Snowstorm

[Snowlover76]

From what I can tell, 12z Euro has snow farther north from previous run...

How is it looking out here in NE? 

[Money]

"Euro is coming north and should be a great run for south of here and hopefully generous up this way. "

[BigDizBliz420]

Euro looks similar to the last run. I think we are seeing better consensus on 1-2" with more south of I80

[Tom]

Euro looks similar to the last run. I think we are seeing better consensus on 1-2" with more south of I80

Absolutely not, the heaviest band of snow moved north about 150-200 miles...

[BigDizBliz420]

Absolutely not, the heaviest band of snow moved north about 150 miles...

 

 

heaviest still south

[gosaints]

Absolutely not, the heaviest band of snow moved north about 150 miles...

We probably shouldnt respond to him.  

[BigDizBliz420]

i said 1-2 and that's exactly what it shows?

 

you guys need to chill

[Money]

i said 1-2 and that's exactly what it shows?

 

you guys need to chill

 

lol. you're such a troll

[Tom]

12z Euro...model is also really picking up on the LES this far out...850's begin to crash around 06z Sunday in NE IL to around -8C, then -16C by 00z Monday.

[Tom]

I am noticing the Euro is kicking out the energy out of the SW a little quicker, correcting its bias of holding energy back to long.  Also, the northern stream is pressing less which allows the southern stream to head farther north.  Should be some interesting runs over the next 24 hours.

[winterfreak]

Solid hit on the EURO. More positives than negatives today.

[Tom]

Notice the better phasing this run....its slight, but BIG difference....comparing 00z/12z

[Maxim]

lol. you're such a troll

Someone really should ban him.

[Maxim]

Are GDR and BigDizBliz420 the same poster?

[East Dubzz]

There is a report button for a reason people. If you have a problem, use it.

[Tony]

Actually the worst model run so far today has been the Gem....go figure. I like where we are sitting now as I believe this has plenty of room to go north as some ensembles have already shown.

 

It's good to see the European models heading north from their previous runs as well as juicing them up. 

[Tom]

Skilling's RPM model showing the northern stream and southern stream interacting a little better.  It looks similar to what the Euro is showing.

[Tony]

Notice the better phasing this run....its slight, but BIG difference....comparing 00z/12z

It's getting closer my friend. Big difference on these maps!

[Money]

Might as well

 

12z JMA

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/jma/2015012912/jma_z500_mslp_us_5.png

[BigDizBliz420]

Might as well

 

12z JMA

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/jma/2015012912/jma_z500_mslp_us_5.png

 

 

Looks GOOD!

 

is this a reliable model?

[Tom]

Phase baby, phase!!!  JMA doesn't do too bad, it is very good with seasonal outlooks and it also doesn't do to bad with storm systems 3-5 days out.

[Money]

JMA precip trough 72

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/jma/2015012912/jma_apcpn_us_3.png

[bud2380]

[BigDizBliz420]

JMA precip trough 72

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/jma/2015012912/jma_apcpn_us_3.png

 

 

i see and raise you

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/jma/2015012912/jma_apcpn_us_5.png

[BigDizBliz420]

i'll ban myself if the 18z NAM doesn't go north

[Tony]

I believe the models are finally picking up on the nice moisture feed (again) from the Gulf/Atlantic just like they were showing a few days back. Really liking that ensemble map bud!!

[Tom]

Very intriguing to see the JMA explode this system...its almost identical to what the GGEM showed Friday night.  Not going to get excited about it yet, but if the 18z NAM/GFS show similar results, it would be a nice gift!  

 

@ Bud, those GFS ensembles look great...some heavy hitters on there.

[Money]

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/jma/2015012912/jma_apcpn_us_5.png

 

1+ for you Chicago posters.

[winterfreak]

Yeah over an inch of precip. Most of it rain though:(.

[Tony]

Have I mentioned lately how much I like the JMA

[GDR]

My meteorological words are better than yours!

[BigDizBliz420]

hope this increases with better model runs today!

 

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1422560662

[GDR]

Sorry that some turd feels like he needs to call people out on his or her point, if it's not better then his.

[GDR]

[Maxim]

Sorry that some turd feels like he needs to call people out on his or her point, if it's not better then his.

Sorry, but I don't think anyone agrees with you.

[Tom]

Let's focus on the storm boys...

[BigDizBliz420]

SREF mean up to 5" for ORD and rising each run!

 

Good sign i think

[Tom]

Can you imagine what the NAM would look like if it is anywhere close to being as amped up as the JMA???  LOL

[BigDizBliz420]

Can you imagine what the NAM would look like if it is anywhere close to being as amped up as the JMA???  LOL

 

 

I think 18z comes north again like 6z

[BigDizBliz420]

cut off looking stronger already