Dan the Weatherman Posted August 11, 2023 Report Share Posted August 11, 2023 0.03" fell here in Orange yesterday with the tropical moisture. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan the Weatherman Posted August 11, 2023 Report Share Posted August 11, 2023 (edited) 4 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said: Broken on my computer now too. Maybe Jesse cannot downvote. I cannot react to any comment either and am getting the same error as was stated above. I am using a Desktop PC w/ Windows 11 & Edge. Edited August 11, 2023 by Dan the Weatherman Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 11, 2023 Report Share Posted August 11, 2023 Very deep marine layer this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted August 11, 2023 Report Share Posted August 11, 2023 Very rare that the marine layer reaches out to here in August, but it did this morning. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted August 11, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 11, 2023 Currently 68F with a dewpoint of 64F, muggy! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted August 12, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 12, 2023 High today was 77F, about 7 degrees warmer than forecasted. Dew points were quite high today in the mid 60's, feeling muggy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 12, 2023 Report Share Posted August 12, 2023 Website was down for a while. Reacts still broken Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted August 12, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 12, 2023 Today is the last day that the sun angle is at 70 degrees or higher until the very end of next April in my neck of the woods. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 12, 2023 Report Share Posted August 12, 2023 No more drizzle in the forecast this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 12, 2023 Report Share Posted August 12, 2023 Low clouds sticking to San Diego coast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted August 13, 2023 Report Share Posted August 13, 2023 The last few runs of the GFS have been insistent on putting a dying former category 4 hurricane right near SoCal. Most runs have kept it just offshore or making landfall in northern Baja, but the 00z was a perfect bullseye with it tracking right up the coast and making landfall at LA County. On this run it's even still at tropical storm strength at landfall with 60mph winds. Pretty decent ensemble support as well for at least a huge surge of remnant tropical moisture into SoCal. I'd say this bears close watching. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted August 13, 2023 Report Share Posted August 13, 2023 1 hour ago, SpaceRace22 said: The last few runs of the GFS have been insistent on putting a dying former category 4 hurricane right near SoCal. Most runs have kept it just offshore or making landfall in northern Baja, but the 00z was a perfect bullseye with it tracking right up the coast and making landfall at LA County. On this run it's even still at tropical storm strength at landfall with 60mph winds. Pretty decent ensemble support as well for at least a huge surge of remnant tropical moisture into SoCal. I'd say this bears close watching. And it looks like the Canadian agrees too! Soaks the entire state of California and sends a crazy amount of tropical moisture all the way up to Portland. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reg Posted August 13, 2023 Report Share Posted August 13, 2023 Keeping a close eye on this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 13, 2023 Report Share Posted August 13, 2023 Ocean is clouded over Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted August 13, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 13, 2023 Warm and muggy today, to become like 2015 again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted August 14, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 14, 2023 High today was a muggy 77F. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted August 14, 2023 Report Share Posted August 14, 2023 The 12z and 18z GFS were back to showing what is likely to be Hurricane Greg curving just offshore of SoCal, but even then we still get a remarkable surge of tropical moisture with lots of instability and PWAT values near 2.5" even on the coast. Ensemble support continues to increase with about 50% of all GFS members showing at least .5" of rain in San Diego. The Euro operational still shows Greg tracking west and remaining well south of CA, however the ECMWF Ensemble now has a few members picking up on the possibility of it impacting SoCal, which is a change from yesterday which had very little Euro Ensemble support. The Euro is historically less accurate than the GFS with tropical system tracks anyway, so giving a lot more weight to the GFS here regardless. The exciting part is this is all starting to come within the plausible range now, too. On the GFS, Greg is a raging Category 4 and its associated moisture is beginning to surge into SoCal by Friday evening, which is only 5 days out now. The tropical wave that will create this storm is clearly visible on satellite, pushing west into the Pacific from Central America, and Tropical Storm Greg should form within the next 48 hours. Tonight's 00z runs will be big ones. Shoutout to the 1 member of the 18z Ensemble that soaks San Diego with 8" of rain: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 14, 2023 Report Share Posted August 14, 2023 Things could get interesting but even if they do we'll still have 1/100 the amount of the posts that the PNW thread gets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted August 14, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 14, 2023 The 1st half of the summer was just like 2010, but the 2nd half of the summer is now becoming a lot like 2015 and 1997. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted August 14, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 14, 2023 And just like that, cold pool of water along the CA coast is almost all gone. Waters along SB Coast is now above avg. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 14, 2023 Report Share Posted August 14, 2023 1 hour ago, Thunder98 said: And just like that, cold pool of water along the CA coast is almost all gone. Waters along SB Coast is now above avg. Hooray Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 14, 2023 Report Share Posted August 14, 2023 School is In session. Let the kids suffer in the heat while the first few weeks of their summer were screwed over by the June Gloom. That's what caring teachers do. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan the Weatherman Posted August 14, 2023 Report Share Posted August 14, 2023 2 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said: School is In session. Let the kids suffer in the heat while the first few weeks of their summer were screwed over by the June Gloom. That's what caring teachers do. I think they should move the start of school back to around the 2nd week of September like it used to be back in the 1990's and before. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted August 14, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 14, 2023 Currently 75F with a DP of 63F. Dew points have been elevated since the remnants of Eugene on Thursday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted August 15, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 15, 2023 High was 77F again today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 15, 2023 Report Share Posted August 15, 2023 The future is uncertain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reg Posted August 15, 2023 Report Share Posted August 15, 2023 On 8/13/2023 at 5:49 PM, SpaceRace22 said: Should be very interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted August 15, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 15, 2023 Lows next week look very warm now due to Hilary. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 15, 2023 Report Share Posted August 15, 2023 Last day of 2023 for the sun angle to reach 70 degrees here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 16, 2023 Report Share Posted August 16, 2023 Nice clouds today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 16, 2023 Report Share Posted August 16, 2023 The tropical system has not even developed yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AquariusRadar Posted August 16, 2023 Report Share Posted August 16, 2023 Greg will have to get his running shoes on in order to make SoCal by the 22nd. If he decides to form up and head north. A nice rain would be appreciated..but please no flooding. Enough natural disasters already. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted August 16, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 16, 2023 High was 76F today Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 16, 2023 Report Share Posted August 16, 2023 Warm and humid again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted August 16, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 16, 2023 What a difference compared to 2 months ago Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted August 16, 2023 Report Share Posted August 16, 2023 Welp the Euro is now fully on board with the GFS and the Canadian about this hurricane making a beeline for SoCal. Every single deterministic run of every model today since the 12z suite has shown a near direct hit, and most of them with the storm making landfall between LA and Pt Conception as a Tropical Storm or even a weak Category 1. Still highly doubtful the storm will maintain that level of wind speed by the time it gets here, but it's looking increasingly likely that most of SoCal could get get an extremely anomalous amount of rain with. Ensembles are significantly more on board as well. My favorite run was the 00z Canadian, which showed 5" of rain for San Diego and OC. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 16, 2023 Report Share Posted August 16, 2023 Forecast discussion ain't too excited about it yet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted August 16, 2023 Report Share Posted August 16, 2023 38 minutes ago, SpaceRace22 said: Welp the Euro is now fully on board with the GFS and the Canadian about this hurricane making a beeline for SoCal. Every single deterministic run of every model today since the 12z suite has shown a near direct hit, and most of them with the storm making landfall between LA and Pt Conception as a Tropical Storm or even a weak Category 1. Still highly doubtful the storm will maintain that level of wind speed by the time it gets here, but it's looking increasingly likely that most of SoCal could get get an extremely anomalous amount of rain with. Ensembles are significantly more on board as well. My favorite run was the 00z Canadian, which showed 5" of rain for San Diego and OC. Looks like fun Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reg Posted August 16, 2023 Report Share Posted August 16, 2023 2:23 AM and suddenly it's raining outside. 0.01" so far, my first measurable precipitation of the season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reg Posted August 16, 2023 Report Share Posted August 16, 2023 Cameras up near Margarita Peak showing the rain showers hitting me right now: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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