I wonder if models latched onto an arctic signal back in early Fall then lost it amidst the seasonal noise. If we do end up managing an extended cold snap sometime between December and February that would be an interesting win for the seasonals.

Fintal rain total with storm #2 is 1.10"

Only 6 weeks out. It’s locked in!

Well, here we are. Standing on the threshold of a potentially memorable LES event when AN lake waters meet with a serious arctic blast. APX: Significant snowfall accumulations are expected in the usual snow belts of northwest lower and eastern upper, particularly during the Friday into Saturday time frame. Moisture appears to be very robust during that time and forecast model soundings look phenomenal with inversion heights through the roof (or in this case 20,000 feet+). The dendritic growth zone (dgz) which is between -12 and -18 C would be entirely in the sounding promoting large snowflakes which would stack up nicely. Actually, I can`t remember seeing soundings reaching this magnitude for this long of a time period (60-72 hours+). The mean steering flow looks to lock in out of the west northwest but embedded short waves could cause the flow to waver a bit from time to time. Either way, would not be surprised if one to one and a half feet or more of snow falls in some areas during that time. In addition, gusty winds later in the week could lead to considerable blowing and drifting snow. Post Thanksgiving Day travel could become risky at best with near zero visibility likely at times in the snow belts.

Why is this model even exist? It’s not remotely consistent unlike the eps weekly.