Thanks man. The relationship between the solar cycle and Indo-Pacific Warm Pool (IPWP) structure is legitimate, really worked this year. You can think of it as a metaphorical pendulum that both regulates intradecadal ENSO tendency and mediates the seasonal expression of ENSO/QBO in the global pattern.

GFS/GEFS ver stubborn. Basically no dawgs. Euro/EPS showing glancing blow/backdoor cold at face value. Dawgs are still in the minority. AI and Op runs are more bullish.

I genuinely thought we were 100% forked so I stopped looking at the models for 3 days. Can someone tl;dr me happened since I just saw the 12z EPS and the last 3 AIFS runs and learned that the fork got pulled out lol

I just can't figure out why the GFS is so hung up on streaming that block energy to the Bering Sea. The resultant pattern is unlike anything I've seen. My motto is if you've never seen a given pattern actually occur it probably won't happen.

Always post your snow man! We are happy for you! When you post snowy images of the east coast, it also gives us something to hate on. Btw, I am flying out to DC/Virginia for a week at the end of March, first round of drinks on me (unless you’re not drinking ).