Phil was right about a series of duds being on the menu. We all laughed at him and proceeded to lynch him. I am never doubting him again.

Another all day rain event here.

Wonder why you outperform Chehalem Mtn so well? An old student of mine lives by the towers at 1,500' and only had a light dusting this am and only 2" total for the week. She has a commanding view straight across to the Coast Range and points everywhere else. Wind currents maybe? Warmest am this week at 35f. Only .02" precip overnight. Disappointing but didn't expect much here. First Spring Chinook caught on the Willamette River the other day near Sellwood/Portland so time to shift gears from hoping for cold and snow. Need some warmth now if I'm in my sled out fishing. I don't fish in the cold anymore. My luck will be we have a cold spring now and I'll freeze my almost 76 year old baggettes off. I'm ready for some warmer May sun angles on my skin IF I'm fishing and I will be in April. I'll let March be March but when April rolls around, I'm ready for some nice warmer weather to fish in. Go Mariners!!!

Right, and of course these things don't exist in a vacuum either. A colder antecedent airmass would likely yield a stronger, more developed low offshore and like I said earlier, better forcing overall. All of those dynamics matter a lot in terms of snow potential. There's definitely been a few examples of semi-cold offshore flow delivering snowstorms around this time of year. You can find some pretty uninspiring setups from the 20th century that delivered lowland snowstorms like 2/13/1909 in Western WA, 2/19/1952 in Western OR and parts of Western WA(Salem had 5" and Olympia had 6"), 2/15/1980 in SW WA, and more recently 2/16/2001 in the Puget Sound region. Those were all setups where the antecedent airmasses were probably just a bit colder than this one in all likelihood, but it made a difference in terms of the resultant dynamics for some parts of the lowlands.

God bless Jim Little for saying snow was inevitable…